legritter

It looks like a very interesting spell of weather coming up going by todays runs .with some very active weather systems setting up close to the uk or even possibly right over us .another forecasting nightmare as watching regional bulletins from around the uk i have the feeling that they are being very cautiouse .lets hope eventually we all get some good warm and dry weather .but the first third of summer looks certainly to be in the unsettled camp .Great to have some good posters today ,and the possibility of some action weather next week .

Evening all ,current modells still not giving us any heatwave or real beach weather ,not too dire especially in my kneck of the woods but trying to put beens in today felt like a zephyr ,with local ,small branches over roads .plenty of potential for a continuation of current conditions if you go by todays outputs and current data .but giving a close scrutiny of charts there is the possibility of some warmer conditions to our south east ,but this could only fuell any low pressure that sets up near the uk so a close eye on the charts from me over coming days as i plan camping mid week next week .for those looking for dry warm conditions ,easy jet is a good option .cheers

Well just got used to spending time on garden ,and going by tonights charts and data i think the following week will be a time of watching the veg grow .not all doom but no heatwave as outside at present feels more like a normal early spring night .The Azores high trying to help us but at this range theres plenty of ifs and buts .indeed looking at todays ECM Runs if we get these troughs and lows in the right places it could be a wet cold mid June ,perhaps summer 2013 wants to play coppycat to summer 2012 .lets hope it doesnt want to play catch up 2013 .some realy good posts around today ,SUMMER SUN FROM DONCASTER, Lets hope we do get some heat creeping up on us ,but good old modells could be latching onto a warm plume well to our east or just to our east ,but as we know we then have big different air masses ,iv got a gut feeling , as iv said before look at the previouse severall summers ,last severall winters and the winters of say 1987 till about 2007 ,all about patterns ,no guarantee im right but it does occur from time to time over a long period .im sure what goes on up there many miles above us is the key ,oh one DAY our long range modells will crack it .well bed calls, we will know more tomorrow ,when latest data arrives, happy modell watching

Going by tonights latest charts the period late 15th to 19th june looks interesting with some potent rain about but as always at this range exact areas are hard to pin down .another good day tomorrow so lets grab it while we can .then fronts some potent some weakening attack us from the atlantic as our main source of weather starts to become atlantic dominated but with the sun at its strongest any fronts that do become slow moving especially if different air masses become sluggish things could slide into some miserable mid to late june weather .But plenty of summer days left and as always things could pick up .It does look like any high pressure after the 19th would creep in from the s west but we know that orientation of any high pressure is critical in the weather at the surface ,perhaps after all this flooding in central europe ,relief in the way of a euro high is on the horizon just another way of looking at things .cheers gang

Yes i will take current conditions and whats forecasted modelled over coming 6/7 days .beyond that at this range it could go severall ways especially with atlantic lows waking up and knocking perhaps on our western shores ,certainly different to last year but i was not here as i spent five wks in Canada hol and bereavement ,but good old UK made it onto their weather show over there most weeks .Lets get some different air masses and a bit of action ,although we have had the full monty last 12 months .perhaps tonights runs will show where those lows if any are supposed to form and track ,cheers

We have our fire on again ,absolutely horrid afternoon and looks like some realy interesting weather now showing on radar for east coast ,will it make it here .might just crack open some thatchers cheers all

What a brilliant forum we have for learning about the weather [and as we all know Not an exact Science ,but becoming a very interesting hobby especially now in the days of Super computers etc etc .any new or learner posters watchers etc Take a big note of regular contributers dont even get involved with some of the posters who just come on here to stir up trouble ,a bit of fun ok but bashing people for their views is bullying ,weather forecasting using long range modells will always upset some ,i get upset if a fantastic coldspell is modelled and the next day it disappears but a nice beer and a big fat bacon butty and a few straw clutches usually helps ,no one needs to get personal .so onto data and todays output very interesting we have some sun to look forward to ,then the big question of next week in my opinion is where does any dominant high pressure set up or come to that where does low pressure set up ,as iv stated before at 240HRS if we take each Hour and add a 4 mile difference per hour ,and thats not far in forecasting we finish up with nearly 1000 Miles .so in our small island with many influences all around us its going to be a hard one to call for any modell any organisation ,thats why we have an update every day for 16 days and 30 days ,wonder what tonights runs will bring ,cheers gang

I can only do a quick post ,looking at todays data so far i think it could be a hard one to call from next weekend onwards .IF a NW /se situation IS going to set up and the possibility is certainly there, it would only need slight adjustments over our island to bring the more populated areas under a mixed bag of rain sun rain .this time last year i spent 5 wks in canada ,holiday and bereavement .the weather channel over there was constantly showing the UKS interesting weather .todays met office update should be interesting when it comes out soon ,i think at the moment those looking for solid dry and warm need to be looking to the NW for developements and pressure predictions for central europe .As always alot to watch out for ,but of course thats why we have modell runs ,and a great Forum to discuss any possible outcome ,sorry gang i told a lie saying i would keep it short ,tend to get carried away .

Certainly its steady as she goes .a mixed bag to start the week then a promise of high pressure settling in .i think most folk will be glad if we can get some nice warm weather and with long daylight hours we can all get some outside living in .its a hard one to call past next weekend but atleast we are looking at good possibilitys .but looking at all modells and Data i would be inclined to keep an eye on energy to our north west as this could be our enemy for some while ,but enjoy anything summerlike we certainly need some .

Evening ,a bit of autumn ,winter and spring but as of now no big signs of summer . we seem to have high pressure either to our west or perhaps some northern blocking trying to rule the roost .But with 12 days till june starts alot can change and at this range we could see a turnaround with some nice summary weather .so looking at tonights charts not a total disaster but next weekend could go either way at this range .AS Gavin as just pointed out Highs to our north and possible lows over near continent ,carry on weather your stuck in a rut sort yourself out soon .regards Legritter

Some of the rain over south does look a bit further north as compared to last nights forecast and even early this mornings forecast but will it make it up to bristol area ,going by radar i think south of say frome but could be proved wrong . iv just taken of hvy top for t shirt thats the first time for a while a hot flush or is it becoming a bit thundery ,time will tell .looks like a bit more summary this week but further outlook going by charts keeps spring going for a while .bring on warm summer days and spanish plumes at night ,catch up later .

Just popped in for a catch up ,sheltering from a very isolated but sharp shower and quite a cold burst .data and modells certainly pointing to a warm up eventually as high pressure pushes away troughs from our shores .But its going to be a long while i think before temp pick up to anything dizzy .i wouldnt look to far ahead as it only needs any high pressure to slip into the right place and it could turn v warm Quickly but the other side of the coin could bring about the opposite .it was only a couple of days ago or so that i was convinced that sat and sunday would be a wash out in the south ,as for UK MET outlook which is based on modells i tend to use it as a guide but read between lines and always expect the unexpected after all ,we have updates every day and just taking any modell past say 144hrs there is very often big pressure differences twice daily .but lets keep fingers crossed for a nice spell of weather although i like the nasty stuff me Legs and joints could do with some nice warmth ,cheers gang

Well it certainly looks like a very unsettled weekend but detail even at this fairly short range is currently a bit not sure .then next week high pressure seems to push systems quickly away south from our shores ,but trying to put detail past this is proving very difficult . even if high pressure sets up more over us which is possible it would take a while for temp to be classed as well up on normal .but if warmth does come off i for one will be cheering it on, although i am an action weather watcher the past 12 months have provided plenty of action so i will be happy with a nice warm settled spell .tonights Met Office Fax should be interesting .will it bring fronts further south ,that was the original thinking a couple of days ago and if you look at pressure forecasts for the beginning of next week it does in my opinion suggest that central and southern parts could cop the lot sat and sunday ,just my little take on affairs ,cheers gang

rain now getting hvy here and trees starting to sway ,a very hvy area of rain is now building behind centre of our low ,and predictions for this weekend are getting worse by the hour .time for a thatchers and a nice sausage fry up .cheers

We have plenty to keep us very interested over the coming days a weather watchers dream i would say .todays action i would put at a very high levell of Adrenaline for some of us and this weekend could prove just as action packed.so met office FAX very important as for finer detail .it does look from todays charts and data that high pressure could eventually take control but all is calculated in an ever changing complicated Jigsaw ,and as iv said before put the jigsaw together with all your highs and lows and get it right then place the completed puzzle on to the map ,this is the critical part ,so current thinking by some is high pressure to our north or n/east low to our south, but its that critical placement that will determine our weather .although i love action weather it would be nice for severall weeks of warmish summary weather .i will catch up later after tonights modell runs cheers

Yes we must not write off the summer by anymeans yet ,heat thunderstorms and bbqs are still quite possible .but we now have the technology to look at the next 10days in great detail and at twice a day from the ecm and uk met plus Gfs 4 times daily and all the data and forecasts from other sources .so in my personal opinion after looking at tonights data i will say spells of v hvy rain and at times cool conditions will prevail for a time yet with some hints of higher pressure trying to push its way in .but as we are all aware ,what mother nature as got for us in June is probably being cooked up right now in upper atmosphere and depending on where pressure areas set up over the globe and many other variables this will then allow weather systems to develope so right now the fate of this yrs hurricane season is now being moulded by todays events on one massive scale .im patiently awaiting tonights Fax for SAT as this could hint at another spell of hvy rain to follow tomorrows ,a thanks to those who post data and charts and once again Gibby for his twice daily forecast based on modell runs .

I would realy love to see a good warm spell it would certainly do me good and millions of others .but looking at all the available data at our disposal Changeable wet and on the cool side sums it up for quite a while but a few signs that pressure could rise to our south later in the month .its quite possible that the Azores high could kick in or it may just stay asleep untill this december ,just in time to spoil the party .i have noticed around the internet chat rooms that there are no big longrange forecasts well not many but who knows whats past that horizon but im pretty sure what ever it is will be noteworthy .untill something changes big aloft and that could be happening right now i personally think sand bags at the ready ,here we go again but it could all change into a flaming June ,BBQS out but nobody can afford the food ,catch you all up after tonights runs cheers

Hello gang ,Certainly not boring weather on the horizon going by charts but some would certainly love a long warm spell especially those in weather sensitive jobs especially the british holiday sector .i certainly would not want to bet past day 10 ,certainly one to watch past midweek and where that boundary of different air masses sets up along with an increasing stronger sun things could get very interesting .remember all those mild very windy winters over a period of say 18 /20 yrs well its certainly changed now and summers seem to be running in a string of similar fashion .its a very hard Nut to crack the reason why and although its possibly some sort of cycle its the cause which is very interesting for us weather watchers .once again the Fax charts should make interesting discussion as we approach next weeks possible clash of different air masses .

IV been very lucky with rainfall today ,not enough to wet the ground but radar showing plenty so cant always go by radar in this set up .yes its been windy but so far 42 mph gust at 4pm ish .could get interesting with showers over coming days .felt more like autumn today lets hope we do get a summer this year ,going to pour a nice Thatchers gold cheers gang

Evening ,atleast we have some very interesting weather coming up for our little island .like previouse years Here we go again comes to mind .ECM seems keen on UK having low pressure near or on us and GFS similar but with a promise of some warmth later in outlook .having spent last end of may june and early july in canada i missed a lot of our action ,but it did make news on the canadian weather shows so perhaps this year i can witness it first hand .so lets enjoy what we have and hope something warm and lasting but not boring arrives .

Evening all ,iv been mostly lurking lately but enjoying our forum and all the hard work that goes into it .todays charts and data is hinting at some active weather gracing our shores with a mixture of spring weather even autumnalat times .having spent today digging my veg patch its unbelievably dry soil for quite a depth and not a worm in sight ,oh what varied weather we have on our small island .Iwould certainly not want to stick my kneck out past say mid month but what ever turns up im pretty sure that its going to be interesting not normal fair ,i can feel it in me water ,cheers gang ,Fantastic sunset tonight ahead of our incoming trouble ,

Evening gang ,May here we come ,it looks to me like a graduall change to perhaps some warmer weather past next week but that is looking far ahead .i certainly wouldnt want to bet on the weather for mid month at this range .going by current modell output and data and Met office thoughts id say keep the woolys handy but remember where you put the sun cream .one thing iv certainly learnt this past year is ,expect absolutely any weather type here in our small tiny island .

Iv been a lurker lately as our friends from Canada have been here for past 3 wks and travelling around our small island we have seen a big range of temp ,and been in the right places for the best weather . onto the charts and data and it looks to me as May will deliver below average temp but nothing of big note ,atleast the first half .as always any high pressure that sets up at this time of year could bring us mirk warmth or even cold so at the moment looking too far ahead would be unwise ,but a nice warm spell would be welcome by many .

afternoon all ,iv been running around friends from canada last 2 weeks and plenty of varied weather .will catch up with you all after they return next week .its amazing but we seemed to miss or dodge most of the nasty weather but possible change on the horizon soon .nice to see plenty of constructive posts cheers .

Snowing lightly here ,we could get some mod snow if area continues to move west .feels like the freezer outside today .