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Stuie

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Everything posted by Stuie

  1. Stuie
    Well I don`t like the graphics, bin that run... Chart 1, is this one of those periods where our weather mirrors the US?
  2. Stuie
    Probably right, I did edit my post to show the Hirlam not having the sector. What is noticeable is that it appears even further delayed coming in so room for upgrading further.
  3. Stuie
    It keep the theme and you do have to wonder about the channel having an effect in that bizarre zone between South UK and France. Cheers mate. EDIT: The Hirlam doesn`t have the sector.
  4. Stuie
    Haven`t flicked through today`s thread and maybe already mentioned but the Arpege has a modified take on Saturday`s rain/snaw.
  5. Stuie
    Glad you agree. blimey it can get edgy in here...
  6. Stuie
    Bolded the word which I wasn`t referring to. Absolutely, complete strat gurus on this site and no way would I ever undermine their skill. A general SSW is what my lucky dip comment was about.
  7. Stuie
    Placement of the SSW is key though and yes it can go in our favour certainly, bloody lucky dip though.
  8. Stuie
    Chart 2 please, ditch the others. Azores Greeny ridge.
  9. Stuie
    Can`t help noticing that it isn`t that heavy either away from the North. I can see why the Arpege showed it`s chart fro snow in France, misses southern England and then maybe Midlands North. If you want more than a fleeting flake you need decent rainfall.
  10. Stuie
    when was the last vortex split in winter? Did I read we had one last Feb or was that just a warming? Agreed, I think a little bit too much faith is put in these scenarios.
  11. Stuie
    Week 6 as in 42 days? Blimey.
  12. Stuie
    True but it`s the same UKMO which has been just as confused as us recently.
  13. Stuie
    It`s this little B which is just enough to draw up some milder air.
  14. Stuie
    Just think it`s it take on the milder sector being mixed out which is much more southern than what, let`s say the ECM is suggesting. It`s easy to see why sticking a forecast out must be a right mare tbh.
  15. Stuie
    Bizarre chart from the Arpege for Sat, Snow in France and Midlands above. That must be some weird mild sector in between.
  16. Stuie
    But at least we are not in a Bartlett scenario.
  17. Stuie
    Me neither and what is more annoying is that it is right more times than it`s wrong.
  18. Stuie
    This is really a warped game being set by the ECM. Oh no not Saturday, Friday the 21st.
  19. Stuie
    Don`t forget the trap door we normally get... EDIT: You have to applaud that Scandi high though, sterling efforts recently.
  20. Stuie
    If I had a £1 for every time I saw the cold air at this distance... Just shows that when surrounded by water you need everything to play the game and that Azores we crave in summer still gives you a kick in the proverbial`s at this time of year.
  21. Stuie
    Knew that was coming, Daniel re my post earlier regarding less colour on that. Tomorrow is another day which you would think would be decisive.
  22. Stuie
    So glad I am not the only person on here chasing this event, Steve...
  23. Stuie
    I knew you had a soft spot for East Anglia...
  24. Stuie
    We will monitor, Tony and yes I have bolded the most important word imo. Plenty of theories about that period, all good from what I read but will stick with the bolded word for now.
  25. Stuie
    Very true mate but compared to last nights 12z, pretty stark to the point of it will only rain Saturday. On this run my wee chase is over but will see what tomorrow brings. 1st chart 12Z yesterday
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