Summer Sun

Central thunderstorms Sunny Mediterranean Issued: 0530hrs Saturday 11th June 2011 Duty forecaster: Simon Keeling Thundery through central areas, but fair to the south Saturday Lots of showers to come across a chilly England and occasional showers too across into Belgium, Holland into Denmark. Eastern parts of France will continue to see showers with the west and the south sunny and dry. Heavy showers and thunderstorms are forecast across Italy into the Alps and the far south of Germany. Much of Spain and Portugal looks sunny, dry and warm with lots of sunshine into the Balearic's across into Corsica. Southern parts of Germany will catch some heavy showers with the north fair and dry. Rain across eastern Poland otherwise a dry day across Poland. Some rain across northern parts of Norway and Sweden into Belarus and Romania with heavy, thundery showers across the Ukraine and southern Russia. Hot and sunny across Finland today with showers into the Baltic States. Sunshine and showers to come across Turkey today but dry and sunny across Greece and much of the former Yugoslavia. Sunday A few showers may break out across central parts of Spain today but for most it should be fine and sunny. There will be some cloud and rain over the far northwest of Spain, with Portugal being dry. Most of the Mediterranean stays fine with plenty of sunshine from west to east. However, some cloud and showers could affect northern Turkey, with heavy showers to the south. Cloud and rain affects northwest France but the rest of the country should be dry. The Low Counties, Switzerland, Germany and Austria are all going to be dry with more sunshine to come here, and this fine weather will be extending into Denmark and Poland. To the north there will be rain and string winds through the UK and Ireland with some cloud and rain affecting southwest Norway. The rest of southern Scandinavia is rather cloudy with some spots of rain, and these extending into the Baltic States too. Some cloud and showery rain across Finland.

The up and coming week will again will again be dominated by low pressure the south and south east / East Anglia look like they'll hold onto high pressure for most of the week. Small hints of something a little warmer and settled towards next weekend from the south? or yet more LP heading our way?

Well just to prove how cold it is a present there was snow at the top of the Snowdon mountain railway today, summer remains on hold for now, GFS FI shows LP been pushed away on the 21st with HP taking over from the 22nd, but as it's GFS and FI i wouldn't get your hopes up

Maybe hope at the end of June? All in FI i know but keep faith the end of June may turn out to be nice who knows.

Following on from Netweather's summer forecast predicition, the bbc's Paul Hudson has today released his blog, June's weather looks set to deteriorate further as low pressure intensifies its grip across the UK. The timing couldn't be more awkward for the Environment Agency who this morning issued a drought order for parts of Eastern England. Only hours later, the Met Office issued yellow warnings in parts of the country, including drought-order hit Lincolnshire, for prolonged thundery downpours that could produce 25-45mm in places, with the associated risk of localised flooding. Just as the atmosphere was 'blocked' through March and April, with persistent areas of high pressure that led to the dry conditions, the atmosphere looks set to stay stuck in a rut of persistent areas of low pressure, possibly for much of the rest of June. On Sunday a deep area of low pressure will bring rain sweeping across the UK, including drought-hit Eastern England. A respite will follow into next week with a little ridge of high pressure, before another area of low pressure swings back in from the west bringing more rain to many areas later in the week. It also highlights once more the dangers of long range forecasting. These headlines came from a detailed forecast from private weather company Netweather. They said only last month that 'Within the summer, we expect the core of the hot and settled weather to occur during June and July, particularly June which we think will be very pleasant with high pressure in charge across much of western Europe and the UK. 'Rarely has a long range forecast gone so spectacularly wrong, so quickly. Netweather will be hoping that July and August shows a rapid and sharp improvement - or more likely that their 'shades of 1976' forecast is quietly forgotten. Is Mr Hudson having a dig at Netweather? http://www.bbc.co.uk/blogs/paulhudson/2011/06/flaming-june-could-end-up-a-wa.shtml

Hi, from here - http://www.wetterzen...n/fsecmeur.html - plenty of dire outputs at present And the deepest into FI Loads of heat all around us but the low pressure is been very stubborn and just won't leave at present.

Fine and dry, eastern Europe, Scandinavia Today A day of sunshine and showers across England heavy rain in the south west. Lots of showers, some heavy and thundery are forecast across France, Germany and across the Alps into northern parts of Italy. Mainly dry across eastern Germany and across Belgium, Holland and Denmark with sunny spells. A band of rain will lie from Norway into Sweden into Poland and Romania with frequent, heavy showers and thunderstorms across Belarus, Russia and the Ukraine. A hot, sunny day to come across Finland and the Baltic States. Very warm across the former Yugoslavia and Bulgaria with just a few showers. Sunny and warm into Greece. A few sharp thundery showers develop across Turkey with sunny spells. Dry and sunny in the Mediterranean across southern Italy into Corsica, Sardinia and the Balearics while a few showers affect northern parts of Spain. Saturday Lots of showers to come across a chilly England and occasional showers too across into Belgium, Holland into Denmark. Eastern parts of France will continue to see showers with the west and the south sunny and dry. Heavy showers and thunderstorms are forecast across Italy into the Alps and the far south of Germany. Much of Spain and Portugal looks sunny, dry and warm with lots of sunshine into the Balearics across into Corsica. Southern parts of Germany will catch some heavy showers with the north fair and dry. Rain across eastern Poland otherwise a dry day across Poland. Some rain across northern parts of Norway and Sweden into Belarus and Romania with heavy, thundery showers across the Ukraine and southern Russia. Hot and sunny across Finland today with showers into the Baltic States. Sunshine and showers to come across Turkey today but dry and sunny across Greece and much of the former Yugoslavia. http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-app/reports?LANG=en&MENU=204&FILE=eus&DAY=20110610

Well that wasn't hard was it, why couldn't you have done that ages ago when asked? look fairly accurate to me.

Would be hard if they banned your IP address then you couldn't, the only way you can gain a little respect on here is stop arguing go away do your lrf and come back and post it, until then i can see these arguments continuing which don't look good for any guests who browse these forums that's no way of attracting members is it.

Yes well said, let's just ignore him and let him annoy people elsewhere the more we respond to him the more he replies, just ignore him and he'll give up in the end.

Should be a top up for the needed areas.

Stick it in the Weather Discussion and Chat Forum, i can't wait to see this from a "trained" forcaster

To the end of the month.

HA HA very good, weather12 are you going to provide us with a short term forecast ? as you keep telling us you are a trained forecaster i would like to see what your prediction is.

Thanks

UK Outlook for Friday 24 Jun 2011 to Friday 8 Jul 2011: Fairly changeable weather is expected to continue, especially across northern and western parts of the United Kingdom, where showers or rain are most likely. The south and east should see more in the way of drier and brighter conditions but there is still a chance of a little rain at times. Temperatures are likely to remain close to average in most areas, but will probably remain a little below average where any rain persists in the north and west. However, some southern and eastern parts of the UK may continue to see above average temperatures at times. Updated: 1142 on Thu 9 Jun 2011 http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

UK Outlook for Tuesday 14 Jun 2011 to Thursday 23 Jun 2011: Starting mainly unsettled and windy, with showers or longer spells of rain, heaviest and most persistent towards the northwest, coupled with a low risk of gales here at times. The best drier weather and sunny spells will be focused towards the east and southeast. Temperatures should be mainly near-normal, although suppressed slightly in persisting wetter conditions. Towards the weekend, a north-south split should develop, with the bulk of unsettled weather likely towards northern UK, with brisk winds here at first. Lighter winds in the south may give warm conditions in any prolonged sunshine. Into the final week, a northwest-southeast split looks to develop, with showers and sunny spells possible across all parts, however more commonplace towards the northwest, with brisk winds and longer spells of rain here limiting brighter weather. Updated: 1142 on Thu 9 Jun 2011 http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

I hope your predicition is true, if you don't mind me asking what does ENSO and QBO stand for?

Lucky you, would be nice if you could bring the weather back with you lol.

The fact that GP hasn't posted for a few day's now tells its own story really, nothing settled even deepest into FI which goes out to June 25th Low pressure after Low pressure making its way over us, Wimbledon and Glastonbury looking rather unsettled, I know Wimbledon is 2 weeks but at present the 1st week could be interrupted quite a few times with rain if the low pressure stays over us like it's showing now.

Deepest into FI but some hope? If that in the Atlantic shifted over to us we would be well hot.

Fair, summer sunshine Thundery in east Issued: 0530hrs Wednesday 8th June 2011 Duty forecaster: Simon Keeling Plenty of sunshine for much of Europe, thundery showers in central areas Wednesday A fair day for Portugal and Spain with some good spells of sunshine. There will be decent sunny spells across France too and it should be largely dry here. A few showers breaking out over the Low Countries with more widespread showers and rain over Germany and Poland. This area of low pressure brings more thundery showers over Austria, Hungary and Switzerland. Thundery showers across northern Italy, although central and southern areas will be dry with good spells of sunshine. Fair over Greece and Turkey with sunny spells here. This sunshine extending into Bulgaria and Romania. To the north high pressure will bring sunny spells and dry weather through Scandinavia and the Baltic States. Scattered showers for Sweden, these becoming heavy and more widespread over Denmark. Norway will have broken cloud and mainly dry weather. Thursday Cloud and some outbreaks of rain affecting the far west of Portugal, most of this showery. Elsewhere across Iberia the day is going to be bright and dry with sunny spells. There will be good spells of sunshine for much of central Europe, this extending through France and into Germany and Poland. More sunshine to come across the Mediterranean where it should be staying dry. Remaining sunny across Turkey, Bulgaria and Romania although there will be some heavy showers forming in the west. Low pressure through the UK and Ireland brings some cloud and showers here. Denmark stays dry with sunny spells. Some showers affecting southern Norway and Sweden. More northern areas will be dry with sunny spells and it should stay dry and sunny throughout Finland and the Baltic States. http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-app/reports?LANG=en&MENU=204&DAY=20110608

Most rain in north & west Drier south and east Issued: 0900hrs Wednesday 8th June 2011 Duty forecaster: Simon Keeling High pressure brings drier weather to south and east Through the coming week it will always be the west and north of the country that sees most rain. Here low pressure will be brushing through from time to time, bringing fronts and associated cloud and periods of rain. More southern and eastern areas will become drier as a ridge of high pressure builds. http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-app/reports?LANG=en&MENU=weekahead&DAY=20110608

The drought is back, UK told Four regions to be given official drought status and have controls applied to water supply Four major regions of the UK will be officially declared drought-stricken this week, in a move that is likely to see special powers introduced over water supplies on farms and businesses across large swaths of the country. Wales, the south-west, the Midlands and East Anglia will be raised to official drought status, enabling the government and water companies to invoke extra controls over water supplies as a lack of rain afflicts a huge band across the middle of the country. However, regions that have suffered drought in the past, such as Kent and the south-east, will be spared many of the restrictions as rainfall has been at normal or almost normal levels there in the past six months. Scotland and the north of England are also drought-free. Paul Leinster, chief executive of the Environment Agency, said this year would not see a repeat of the scenes of 1976, as some commentators have predicted, as last winter there was enough rain and snowfall to fill reservoirs. But he added: "It depends on what we see this winter – next year could be the crunch year."The drought of 1976 followed a dry autumn and winter, during which stocks in reservoirs were severely depleted."We are in a much better position this year," he said. "Then, one of the big issues was that the previous year had been so dry, so you did not get a ground water recharge."Leinster added that the UK's water supply system had been made more resilient in the intervening decades. "We have learned lessons since then," he said. Although at present there are no domestic hosepipe bans in force in reaction to the drought, consumers may face restrictions if the dry weather continues. http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2011/jun/07/uk-regions-given-drought-warning

Too much high pressure over Greenland and the west of Ireland i guess? as it's acting as blocking pattern sending all the bad weather over the UK, as per other summers, unless there is a big change expect things to stay as they are now.