Summer Sun

I notice today the Daily Express has a story on this warm spell this weekend but they have used the weather outlook as there source and not Positive weather solutions. (Have the express got fed up of PWS?) and i must say what the weather outlooks have stated seem's more reasonable to me. BRITAIN’S promised heatwave is set to kick in today with temperatures likely to soar to a sizzling 91F (33C)by the end of the month. Forecasters expect the mercury to reach highs not seen for five years in time for the summer’s big music and sporting events including Glastonbury and Wimbledon. But farmers desperate for rain after the driest May on record were warned that rainfall is likely to be below average for the whole of June, especially in the South. Parts of England were as dry as Iraq last month. East Anglia had just 5.3 millimetres of rainfall up to May 25, just 0.3mm more than parched Basra. The UK would usually expect to see 44.8mm of rainfall in May. The country could end up hotter than north Africa and the Mediterranean this week as a front of high pressure brings temperatures of 77F by Friday. But the really scorching weather is predicted to arrive at the end of the month Forecaster Brian Gaze from The Weather Outlook said: “June should bring a good deal of dry and very warm weather at times, with temperatures peaking close to 91.4F in the South in late June or early July.†Temperatures of 91F would be the highest in the UK for five years. Mr Gaze warned: “By later next week, cooler and showery weather is expected, although rainfall in the South will probably be below average. But July may well bring warm weather to much of the country.â€Londoners got a taste of things to come yesterday as an aquatic ice cream van floated down the Thames playing Rod Stewart’s We Are Sailing to mark National Ice Cream Week this week. Driver Dave Mounfield from Brighton plans to take it on a tour of Britain’s beaches this summer. Read more: http://www.express.c...F#ixzz1O7mi4Vx1

I think people in Scotland and Ireland would change that headline of this topic to Summer Forecast - Wet & Cool - Shades Of previous summers What people should do is look at the met office site for how the summer of 1976 started This was the UK’s hottest summer on record, with temperatures between June and August averaging 17.8C. Starting in East Anglia during June, the heatwave spread north and west to affect much of mainland Britain. The hottest period occurred between 23rd June and 7th July, when the temperature topped 32C (90F) every day at one or more stations. 11 such days were observed in Cheltenham, where the mercury reached 35.9C on 3rd July, the highest temperature recorded during the heatwave. And 2003 http://www.metoffice.../2003/june.html http://www.metoffice.../2003/july.html http://www.metoffice...003/august.html - Note August was the hottest month in 2003.

Here is another prediction for summer 2011 June summary Another difficult month to forecast as the upper patterning is quite complicated. We are going ‘against the weather forecasting grain’ slightly in suggesting that it will be a rather unsettled June for some. However, a generally settled dry start in the first week of June for most though some northern parts cool at times but general warm in the south for a few days at least with high pressure’s influence; but pressure falling away by the end of the week with low pressure to the south east in a short lived E-NE flow giving some showery rain and then by week two, with low pressure to the north or NW and high to the west or south west, a more north westerly flow will bring unsettled quite showery conditions into the north and west but it should stay somewhat drier and brighter in the south and east, especially the far SE but especially warm. High pressure may dominate more after midweek onwards bringing a return to a more settled period for most though still with some showers in the north but with cool nights and local ground frosts as well and later the south & SW in particular may see low pressure bring some showery outbreaks, possible thundery at times. Confidence is not particularly high for the second half of June but week three looks as if high pressure may dominate more but it’s difficult at present to pin down exactly where it will be but probably to the west or SW allowing a rather NW’ly upper flow across many parts. So some dry fairly warm weather about by day in the south with rather cool nights but the risk of showers as well at times, perhaps thunderywhilst the north stays more unsettled with shower bursts. The last week again is uncertain but climatology and patterning currently suggests more rather unsettled showery weather in the north west and high pressure to the south & south west with some chilly nights in places but day time temperatures near average and locally quite warm at times in places. Temperatures generally near or slightly above average in the south, somewhat below in the north, especially at night. Sunshine overall should be near average in the south & east with the north doing less well overall. Rainfall generally rather below average in central and eastern areas but the west and NW probably rather above average again and parts of the south west & south maybe near or slightly above average in places due to localised thundery downpours. Thunder will be near average, except possibly in the north where it may be slightly below. Sea temperatures seem likely to be somewhat above average for most coastal areas and well above around SE coasts but around average on north western coasts. Soil temperatures generally slightly above average for most parts though nearer average in the NW and soil moisture below average for most areas, locally well below average in the south & east but in Scotland and Northern Ireland it will be near or above average. June 2011 week by week summary: Week 1 1st-7th June A generally settled and dry start everywhere except may the far north from the second day of June with a lot of warm sunshine away from coasts where sea breezes will set in; some mist and fog patches inland by night too with a touch of ground frost in northern & central parts very possible. By the 5th though pressure falling away to the north east and low pressure will swing south towards the east or south east bringing a relatively short lived E-NE’ly flow and giving some showery rain for most as it does so, possibly heavy at times with thunder especially in the SE later and sea fret on east coasts. Temperatures will be near or above average in the first week overall especially in the south east and east but overnight it will stay quite chilly, especially in the north. Rainfall will be below average in most parts whilst sunshine will be generally rather above average in central, southern and eastern areas but with the north faring a little less well but it should still stay above average. Week 2 8th-14th June By week two, the N-NE flow moving away SE and after a few days pressure may be higher, albeit briefly in the south & east, with some cold air across Scotland and northern England giving rather widespread late air frosts here. However low pressure never far away to the north or NW and then high pressure generally building up to the west and a polar north westerly flow will bring quite showery conditions into the north and north west in particular but from around midweek it should be generally drier and sunnier by day in central, south and eastern areas, especially the far SE. A ridge of high pressure may dominate more after midweek in the south bringing a return to a more settled period for most here but still rather more unsettled in the north & NW in particular with cool nights and local ground frosts. By the end of week lower pressure bringing some showery outbreaks, possible thundery at times down across the UK, these lingering in the SE & east. Temperatures will be near average in the south but below in the north, helped by chilly nights with some late frosts expected & maybe central parts too at times. Rainfall will probably be somewhat below average for most eastern & southern parts though the north east may be only a little below average but nearer average in the west, and NW. Sunshine near and locally slightly above average for most SE & eastern parts but maybe a little below average elsewhere. Week 3 15th-21st June As mentioned above the second half of June has a relatively low confidence level at present but taking all things into account it looks as if high pressure may dominate more but it’s very difficult at present to pin down exactly where it will be. At present we feel it will probably tend to lie to the west allowing a continuation of rather NW’ly upper flow that we have seen recently across many parts. Whilst the south may therefore see some dry sunny weather about by day there will be rather cool nights and still the risk of some showers at times, perhaps thundery but it does seem the north- and the NW in particular- will again stay more unsettled with showery bursts.Temperatures near average in the main in the south & Midlands though some chilly nights in these central areas but rather cool overall in the north. Rainfall will remain below average for the south and east though some localised downpours may create local high spots, near average in the NW; sunshine will be near or slightly above average in the east and maybe the south as well but near average in the west, central areas and the SW and slightly below in the north. Week 4/5 22nd-30th June By week 4 although confidence isn’t very high, climatology and current patterning currently suggests more in the way of rather unsettled and showery weather is likely to continue in the north west but that there will be at least some days of high pressure in or close to the south & south west; this will give a few chilly nights in places. This pattern mat persist until the end of June but perhaps high pressure more dominant for all for a few days at least by the end of the month giving more in the way of sunshine generally across the UK. Day time temperatures should be reasonable and locally quite warm at times in places whilst the north struggles to reach average. Rainfall will be near or perhaps rather below average for most central, southern SE’ern and SW’ern areas but near average in the north & NW. Sunshine will a little above average in southern & eastern areas but slightly below average in northern, western & northwestern areas. http://www.wiseweather.co.uk/id18.html

An interesting read i never saw the link to you pointed it out - http://worcestershireweather.blogspot.com/ - Thanks

Netweather are still expecting a warm up mid month. Our long term forecaster expects temperatures to return to typical June averages after the weekend, but still remain mainly dry. We are looking at the potential for much warmer temperatures to develop from mid month onwards. http://www.facebook.com/netweather

The Weather outlook have issued their summer forecast, and what stands out is how different it is to the Netweather summer forecast. Summer 2011 often reasonable but not special Overview The forecast headline is for another mixed summer after a dry start. Some very warm spells of weather are likely with temperatures probably peaking at close to 33C (91F) in the south, but with increasing rainfall later in the season. Summer 2011 is unlikely to be remembered as a classic. Precipitation Over the three-month period significant variation is forecast in rainfall levels. In the north and Scotland rainfall levels are likely to be below average, but further south rainfall should be close to or slightly above the seasonal average. The driest conditions are forecast for the first third of the summer, and possibly the last week or two, with wetter spells more likely. June Temperature: Slightly above average Precipitation: Slightly below average First half A warm and dry spell of weather is forecast to develop during the early part of the month as high pressure builds north across the country. By the second week of the month a change to cooler and showery weather is expected to push south across the whole of Britain, although rainfall amounts in the south will probably remain below average. Second half Showery conditions in the north early in the period are likely to be replaced by drier weather. Fine weather should develop in the south for a time, though towards the end of the month an increasing risk of heavy and showery rain is predicted. Northern areas may remain mostly dry for a time as the less settled weather develops in the south. July Temperature: Slightly above average Precipitation: Close to average First half The first half of the month may well bring a spell of warm weather to much of the country early in the period. Towards the middle of the month showery rain is expected to develop and extend north across the country, and become heavy at times. Temperatures returning back towards average value as it becomes less settled. Second half Mixed weather is expected during the second half of the month. Temperatures over the period will probably be slightly above the seasonal average. Some warm sunny days are likely, but these will be offset by cooler and wetter days with the possibility of some heavy rainfall, most probably in the south and south-west. August Temperature: Close to average Precipitation: Slightly above average First half Rather unsettled conditions are expected during much of the first half of the month. Significant rainfall is possible in the form of heavy showers or more persistent and longer spells. Temperatures are likely to be slightly below the seasonal average. Second half The second half of the month is forecast to bring mixed weather early in the period with showers or longer spells of rain. During the last third of the month drier and brighter spells of weather should develop across most of the country. Temperatures over the period are close to or slightly above the seasonal average. . Forecast Issued 31/05/2011

SUMMER is set for a sizzling start today with temperatures soaring to 88F (31C) by the weekend, say forecasters As June ushers in the main holiday season, a front of high pressure will turn Britain hotter than parts of ­Africa, in marked contrast to the chilly last days of May. The South can expect highs of 68F today, rising by another 20 degrees in some parts by the weekend. Families flocking to the beaches in Bournemouth and Brighton are likely to bask in 79F sunshine. In the Midlands it is expected to hit 77F, and 72F in the North. Jonathan Powell, forecaster at Positive Weather Solutions, said: “We are in for a very nice five or six days as high pressure builds. “This weekend is going to be a flamer and a taste of summers past – reminiscent of the late Seventies with some really good temperatures and clear skies over a lot of the country. “It looks a bit wobbly early next week, but will pick up again after that.†The return of the hot weather comes just in time for thousands of families to make the most of the half-term break. The UK is set to put North Africa and the Mediterranean to shame this weekend. Casablanca in Morocco may reach 81F on Saturday, but Mallorca only 75F, and Malta and Istanbul in Turkey just 73F. The good news comes after the soggy, windy Bank Holiday weekend. Only a few holidaymakers braved the beaches, sheltered by windbreaks and huddling in coats and blankets. But the washout end to May was not enough to stop spring being the hottest since records began 353 years ago. The highest temperature was 82F, recorded on Easter Saturday in parts of Surrey. The Met Office said the average temperature from the beginning of March to the end of May was 50.5F. Erm hotter North Africa and the Mediterranean i don't think so infact i know so, talk about getting people's hopes up, i don't know why the Daily Express continue with these ridiculous stories as they are never right. Read more: http://www.express.co.uk/posts/view/250044/-Flamer-of-a-weekend-on-the-way-Flamer-of-a-weekend-on-the-way#ixzz1O1GxtWhp

HI, with the Wimbledon fortnight getting under way in 19 day's i thought I'd start a topic for anyone on here who may be going to Wimbledon so you can discuss / find out how Hot and Dry or Wet and Cold it maybe

Summery Warm & dry Issued: 0920 Tuesday 31st May 2011 Duty forecaster: John Ejdowski Cooler by next week High pressure will builds in across the United Kingdom this week. It becomes settled and largely dry with temperatures rising to above normal for early June. By next week it looks mainly fair and dry bit it turns cooler. http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-app/reports?LANG=en&MENU=weekahead&DAY=20110531

Becoming warm, summery High pressure to build in Issued: 0708 Sunday 29th May 2011 Duty forecaster: John Ejdowski Becoming settled The upcoming week starts unsettled with a front bring rain in on Monday followed by showers Tuesday. We then expect high pressure to build in across much of Britain. This will turn things settled and more summery as temperatures progressively rise through the week to above normal. http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-app/reports?LANG=en&MENU=weekahead&DAY=20110529

16.9 for me please

An improvement later Rain at first Issued: 0900hrs Thursday 26th May 2011 Duty forecaster: Simon Keeling A wet and windy start to the week, but an improvement later An unsettled start to the week ahead with outbreaks of rain and plenty of cloud at first. Conditions may be windy too with a chance of gales in the north and west. By the end of the forecast period high pressure is beginning to build to the south bringing fairer conditions with sunny spells and increasing temperatures. http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-app/reports?LANG=en&MENU=weekahead&DAY=20110526

Mixed week ahead Better south later Issued: 0900hrs Wednesday 25th May 2011 Duty forecaster: Simon Keeling Better weather later in the south, although more mixed elsewhere A mixed period of weather ahead. There will be some periods of rain, most of these to the north and west of the country, although more southern and eastern areas see less. By the end of the forecast period we begin to see pressure building again to the south, bringing dry weather and sunny spells here. http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-app/reports?LANG=en&MENU=weekahead&DAY=20110525

UK Outlook for Thursday 9 Jun 2011 to Thursday 23 Jun 2011: For this period, rainfall amounts look to be close to or below average for the time of year for most parts of the UK. Sunshine is likely to be above average for the most part and this will help temperatures to achieve above average occasionally, or even well above the average in some parts, especially in the south. Updated: 1150 on Wed 25 May 2011 http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

UK Outlook for Monday 30 May 2011 to Wednesday 8 Jun 2011: A continuation of the changeable weather looks likely during this period, mainly the first week, but most of the unsettled weather should be in the north of the UK with often brighter and drier conditions towards the south. So rain or showers are likely to be heaviest and most persistent across Scotland and Northern Ireland, with only occasional rain or showers expected across southern areas at times. Winds will be strong at times in the unsettled weather towards the north, with a risk of gales in exposure, but the winds should be lighter elsewhere. Temperatures on the whole look to remain around the seasonal average, but occasionally cooler in the north with the more unsettled conditions, and warmer in the southeast in any dry and bright weather. Updated: 1126 on Wed 25 May 2011 http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

Yes they are.

And let's remember it was PWS who a few months back said it would be a sunshine and brolly summer and only last week PWS said it would be a hot summer, PWS don't have a clue Netweather is the best online group in my opinion. PWS are that small (5 workers) they just like to see there name quoted in News papers and online.

UK Outlook for Wednesday 8 Jun 2011 to Wednesday 22 Jun 2011: For this period, rainfall amounts look to be close to or below average for the time of year for most parts of the UK. Sunshine is likely to be above average for the most part and this will help temperatures to be above average, or even well above the average in some areas, for much of the period, especially in the south. Updated: 1128 on Tue 24 May 2011 http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

UK Outlook for Sunday 29 May 2011 to Tuesday 7 Jun 2011: A continuation of the changeable weather looks likely during the first part of this period, with further spells of rain or showers moving in from the west. This is likely to be heaviest and most persistent across more northern parts, with little significant rain expected across many southern areas, although occasional light rain or showers are possible. Winds will be strong at times across Scotland in particular, with a risk of gales in exposure, but should remain mainly light elsewhere. Temperatures on the whole look to remain around the seasonal average, but some eastern areas may see above average temperatures, given sunnier conditions. As we move further into June, there is some indication for increased chances of seeing some showers across the south and east of the UK. Updated: 1127 on Tue 24 May 2011 http://www.metoffice...st_weather.html

The Express is at it again 80MPH GALES TO TEAR ACROSS BRITAIN...BUT HEATWAVE WILL RETURN SEVERE gales strong enough to uproot trees and cause damage to buildings are set to batter the country, experts warned last night. Storm-force gusts of 80mph are expected to tear across Scotland and the North today, the Met Office said. The forecasters have issued severe weather warnings for “exceptionally windy weatherâ€, with advice to the public to “take extra careâ€. Scotland, the North-east and North-west have been placed on the amber “be prepared†alert – the second most serious ranking. Yorkshire, Humber and Wales have been placed on the slightly less severe “be aware†yellow alert. Temperatures of 75F (24C) are due this week before a heatwave arrives for the bank holiday weekend with mercury set to hit 77F (25C) on Saturday. Forecasters predict it will be the hottest summer ever with the chance of 101F (38C). But experts are warning a lack of rain will spell misery for farmers whose crops are already suffering. Read more: http://www.express.c...n#ixzz1NAwjDDBj

UK Outlook for Saturday 28 May 2011 to Monday 6 Jun 2011: A mixture of some bright or sunny spells, but also periods of rain or showers this weekend, with the wettest conditions likely in the west and northwest, but little rain in the south and east. Unsettled conditions are then likely to continue early next week with the risk of some heavy rain in the northwest, although with southern and eastern parts remaining generally drier, brighter and warmer. For the rest of next week and into early June the north and west looks like staying mainly unsettled and rather cool at times, with further showers or longer spells of rain, while the southeast sees the more settled, mostly dry conditions and also with a trend to rather warmer conditions here. Updated: 1158 on Mon 23 May 2011 http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html

UK Outlook for Tuesday 7 Jun 2011 to Tuesday 21 Jun 2011: For this period, rainfall amounts look to be close to or below average for the time of year for most parts of the UK. Sunshine is likely to be above average for the most part and this will help temperatures to be above average, or even well above the average in some areas, for much of the period, especially in the south. Updated: 1205 on Mon 23 May 2011 http://www.metoffice...st_weather.html

Summary May leaves its mark but June looks more settled May so far has seen a split between the northwest and the southeast. Parts of western Scotland have seen well over their monthly rainfall averages, compared to well under in parts of southern and eastern England. The first part of the period looks set to repeat this pattern with a number of low pressure systems bringing strong winds and rain to the north and west, but with much of the rainfall struggling to make its way to the southeast. Towards the end of the period it's looking warmer and rather more settled for everyone but without a great deal of that much-needed rain in sight! Monday 23 May 2011 to Sunday 29 May 2011 A dramatic start to the week A deep low pressure system tracking across the north of the UK will bring winds that will be unusually strong for this time of year. It will settle down a little on Tuesday and Wednesday across England and Wales with high pressure briefly trying to assert itself from the south, bringing warm weather for a time. However, it will stay rather unsettled across Scotland and Northern Ireland. Further depressions will move in from the Atlantic through the rest of the week. This rather unsettled picture will bring rain to the north and west, but only small amounts of rain will reach the southeast. The best chance of any rain here will be on Friday. It will feel rather cool in the northwest but normal or warm at times in the southeast. Monday 30 May 2011 to Sunday 5 June 2011 A tale of two halves The rather unsettled weather will continue into the beginning of next week but high pressure to the south of the UK will once again make inroads into southern counties. This will lead to a warming trend as well as a fairly dry outlook here, but further north and west there's more wet, windy and cool weather in prospect. Monday 6 June 2011 to Sunday 19 June 2011 Sunshine in store Warm, sunny weather looks likely to take hold across the UK for the middle of June. Perhaps this will be rather welcome in the north and west but for anyone hoping for rain, the totals look likely to be around or below the amounts we would normally expect at this time of year. Next week Will the end of June bring some good news for farmers and gardeners or will the sun-seekers be celebrating....? http://news.bbc.co.u...10&region=world

UK Outlook for Monday 6 Jun 2011 to Monday 20 Jun 2011: For this period, rainfall amounts look to be close to or below average for the time of year for most parts of the UK. Sunshine is likely to be above average for the most part and this will help temperatures to be above average, or even well above the average in some areas, for much of the period, especially in the south. Updated: 1208 on Sun 22 May 2011 http://www.metoffice...st_weather.html

UK Outlook for Friday 27 May 2011 to Sunday 5 Jun 2011: Breezy, with sunshine and showers for most areas on Friday, perhaps some longer outbreaks of rain in the east at first. More generally dry and bright or clear conditions are expected for a time before rain or drizzle develops once again over northern and western parts for Saturday. Unsettled conditions are then likely to continue early next week, although with southern and eastern parts likely to become more settled and rather warmer. For the rest of next week and into early June the north and west looks like staying mainly unsettled, with further showers or longer spells of rain, while the southeast sees the more settled, mostly dry conditions and also with a trend to rather warmer conditions here. Updated: 1206 on Sun 22 May 2011 http://www.metoffice...st_weather.html