[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 22/02/2018 Onwards]

4 minutes ago, Zephyr said:

Fair bit of precip coming from the east by the looks of it 

 

 

Been patchy as it reached here so far. Hopefully peps up slightly. currently a lull.  chilterns taking some of the precip out of it. 

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 22/02/2018 Onwards]

14 minutes ago, tomjwlx said:

No 18z data yet?

Thats the 12z! 

http://wxcharts.eu/?panel=large&model=arpege,arpege,arpege,arpege&region=eng&chart=overview,overview,wind10mkph,wind10mkph&run=12&step=102&plottype=10&lat=51.763&lon=-1.199&skewtstep=0

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 22/02/2018 Onwards]

Snowing here in Headington. Lightly. 

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 22/02/2018 Onwards]

1 minute ago, karlos1983 said:

12z EURO4 

6z Euro 4 lad. i had same mistake. 

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 22/02/2018 Onwards]

12z Euro 4. First output.. 

  

  

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 22/02/2018 Onwards]

6z Euro 4. 12z rolling as i type... 

    

 

EDIT- Thats the 6z scrap that! 

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 22/02/2018 Onwards]

27 minutes ago, Singularity said:

Oh I see thanks, I wonder what model it's based from? GFS does not appear to be predicting this feature even on the higher-res charts.

I think this looks at the last few radar returns and as you go out into future it shows its projected path.. This doesn't take into consideration change of wind conditions, just what has happened previously if you get my drift? 

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 22/02/2018 Onwards]

Down she goes! ( yes i’m on about my weather station lol) 

 

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 22/02/2018 Onwards]

1 minute ago, wiltshire weather said:

I'd happily bank that! 

Ditto! 

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 22/02/2018 Onwards]

2 minutes ago, tomjwlx said:

BANK!

Bank indeed! 

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 22/02/2018 Onwards]

Sunshine with snow flurries now! Nice last 2 hrs in Headington. Few cms in places.

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 22/02/2018 Onwards]

I’m sure we had Thunder here. Settling rapidly now 

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 22/02/2018 Onwards]

Heavy again. Biggest flakes for about 30 secs like 50p pieces. Back to moderate again now. Can see Cumulonimbus to the North. 

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 22/02/2018 Onwards]

Big 20p flakes again as it turns heavier. 

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 22/02/2018 Onwards]

Snow showers since 12:15pm on/off 1/2cm in places. Some pics earlier on. 

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 22/02/2018 Onwards]

Big flakes settled on everything apart from parts of road. 

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 22/02/2018 Onwards]

Heavy snow shower here 

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 22/02/2018 Onwards]

Snowing here darker to E/NE surely heavier burst imminent? 

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 22/02/2018 Onwards]

Tis coming down here. Light flurry currently 

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 22/02/2018 Onwards]

4 minutes ago, AWD said:

If that snow over the home counties holds, it looks like North Wiltshire, Gloucestershire & South Gloucestershire getting hit.

Bristol itself looks literally a couple of miles south of it based on current track.

Oxfordshire too? Just a few miles away should have a report for you folks soon! 

[East Anglia and North London weather discussion (25/02/2018) onward]

Yep BBc News latest for Friday! 

 

[Kent, Home counties and south London general weather discussion 25/02/2018 onwards]

Just now, SnowBorder said:

Snow is getting heavier here, a decent 6 on the Murr scale

I got laughed in SW thread yesterday when i mentioned the Murr Scale. Good to see others using the famous snow measuring  scale! 

[Kent, Home counties and south London general weather discussion 25/02/2018 onwards]

Intrigued by what is happening much east of here for you guys and girls! Up watching Nz vs England in ODI cricket so keep checking radar and your reports  

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 22/02/2018 Onwards]

-5.8c here. Dewpoint -7c. 

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 22/02/2018 Onwards]

2 minutes ago, Matty-H said:

How is the accuracy of this model generally viewed? I’ve never really used it. 

EURO4 often leaves me a little sceptical.  Take the 9pm to midnight chart for tonight. A blanket of pink from the top of our area north. There’s barely been more than the odd shower or flurry across this area

In terms of yesterdays shower alignment from the Easterly it was the closest model. I believe it is held in regard as a short term tool, so it will be tested next few days.. Incidentally, Gem showed similar but was quashed by myself included as progressive and precip signal in a low resolution for our part of the world. Be interested to know more senior views on Hirlam?

Euro 4 precip signal is very poor, even Fergieweather said it is too progressive with showers/etc sometimes. Even showed an area of precip across central london at 6hrs notice when nothing in that area so pinch of salt with the Euro 4 from my own experience, its a shame as we look to that one as not much else for the UK at such a short range, UKV is under lock and key from Met office and paid weather companies...