wolvesman
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Posts posted by wolvesman
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Overall I think the Midlands (particularly the further East you are at least initially) looks to be in a reasonable position for this cold snap. Whilst the SE and possibly the SW later look to hold the jackpot winning tickets they do come at a higher risk and we may well end up with pretty good results throughout the week but at a much reduced risk.
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I cannot remember a year of such frequent temperature contrasts over such small distances. Currently it is a tropical 8c here but less than 10 miles away it is still 3c at very similar altitudes.
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50 minutes ago, I remember Atlantic 252 said:
Stafford normally good location for E'lys
Likewise provided it is anything East of rather than North of NE tends to be quite good for the Birmingham/Black country region - otherwise it tends to be an East Midlands only affair. Does look quite exciting for a few days early next week.
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Despite living in the Midlands I work for a Company based in Hove and prior to lockdown was spending around half my time down there. From a weather perspective winter time is very bleak down on the South coast often wet and windy but with very little in the way of snow or even frost so can understand the excitement when a possible easterly seems imminent. However mid March to mid September the weather is so much better than here with lots more sun and generally less humid weather. So whilst I have had lots of jealous work colleagues admiring some of my snowy pictures this winter I know I will be equally jealous looking at the blue sky and sunshine days on the coast in mid summer so do not have that much sympathy. You make your choice of where you live and make the most of the corresponding weather fortunes.
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1 hour ago, MattStoke said:
Now their app changes to something more wintry having only shown rain while we were under the warning
So as the temperatures rise and the precipitation gets lighter the sleet will turn to snow - those weather apps are just bonkers.
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Just been driving around Dudley area, the snow line is around 200m but you need to get to 250m plus around Oakham area before it is a truly white world. Even up there settling snow is probably only 5cm or so which is quite low given the volume of snow that has fallen.
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Trying to stick to the lawn but looks a struggle.
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Turned to snow now but still quite wet. Will we get the intensity or cold enough air for it to settle.
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Arpege looks tasty for midweek.
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2 minutes ago, Tim Bland said:
GFS p doesn’t go much further north than m4 neither show anywhere near as much snow as the ECM...yet.
I didn’t know the M4 went to Anglesey.
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GFS looks peachy.
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2 minutes ago, weirpig said:
If im honest it looks like the northern extent could be around Glos they always go south we shall see not really that bothered to be honest a little snowed out
Can never be snowed out in this country but have actually enjoyed the hint of spring out there today as well. Agree likely trend is Southwards now.
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The BBC Weather forecast at 1.30 made good viewing with snow for much of Saturday and Sunday in line with the earlier ECM although they did say the weather system was causing some difficulties in forecasting.
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Hopefully they will be right Matt but just feel that the intensity will have to be sufficient and long enough to get the ground temperature sufficiently cold as the air temp certainly doesn’t look to be. May be a rapid thaw of any accumulated snow once intensity drops as well.
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Obviously still quite a lot can change re track/intensity for Saturday but it does feel to me more of a Wales/Shropshire hills event, whilst some other areas in the Midlands (more particularly on higher ground) may get lucky I am not expecting a repeat of last weekend. Appreciate some models are saying otherwise so hope springs eternal.
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2 hours ago, wolvesman said:
Whilst there is still some uncertainty on the exact track Saturday looks to be quite a marginal event, certainly more so than last weekend. I suspect height will be needed for significant accumulations although at this stage not sure what altitude required but probably 200m or so. May still see some temporary accumulations lower down but track and consequent intensity will be key.
See the Met office are using NW for their warnings.
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I should have started my previous post by saying how refreshing it is to talk about another snow opportunity, seems like one a week this year - definitely a good winter for our area.
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Whilst there is still some uncertainty on the exact track Saturday looks to be quite a marginal event, certainly more so than last weekend. I suspect height will be needed for significant accumulations although at this stage not sure what altitude required but probably 200m or so. May still see some temporary accumulations lower down but track and consequent intensity will be key.
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Can it stall now please.
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Started to stick on the cars and grass, but everywhere is so wet so will need to get temp slightly lower to settle properly. Current temp 1c.
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It’s finally turned to wet snow but just a bit to warm to get anything settling I think.
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The precipitation over Wales is getting quite beefy, could be interesting if this activity is sustained into the early evening - temp c. 3c now.
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I do not expect to see any settling snow from showers this afternoon, indeed rain/sleet looks likely. From this evening we stand more chance particularly In the North of our area. Tomorrow could give temporary settling snow in any heavy showers but more particularly with altitude- Staffordshire moors favoured spot to see longer lasting lying snow. As for Sunday still all to play for but perhaps a more South of the region event with a few cm possible.All in all a pretty wintery short term outlook.
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Anybody else just seen the latest bbc forecast talking about a band of showers possibly crossing the Midlands later tomorrow - in the words of Chris Fawkes “something a bit more exciting “
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Midlands Regional Discussion Jan 2021 Onward
in Regional
Posted
Whilst always wanting to be in the sweet spot for snow events it clearly cannot be the case - to be fair the Central and West Midlands have done well already this year and those in the SE are due a turn. Still hope to see more than a few flakes over the Sun-midweek period and who knows it may then be our turn to be in the right place for the fronts trying to get in later next week.