Ian Suffolk
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Posts posted by Ian Suffolk
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Weather station is showing 0.9 degrees so it is certainly cold enough. The radar has the second wave heading directly for lowestoft however the forecast is saying that the temperature will rise to 4 degrees as it passes, hopefully we may get something from the leading edge.
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Really not liking the look of that northerly on Friday. Great for wintry showers in the east, however I am very concerned as it clashes almost perfectly with the spring tide. Still nothing from the environment agency as yet...
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11 minutes ago, radiohead said:
12Z shows heavy snow with 85-90 km/h gusts there at 66 hours. -5 to -7 windchill. Very wintry! If that happens....
I hope that doesn't clash with a spring tide. That has tidal surge written all over it. Full moon the day before as well.
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Sounding angry out there now. Been plenty of activity along the leading edge of this. Managed to capture a quick video.
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Rain has just started in Lowestoft. Increasing steadily in intensity. 2 quite large flashes of lightning within the last minute. This could be good!
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About 2cm on the ground in Lowestoft!
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49 minutes ago, Kent Blizzard said:
Lowestoft certainly the place to be in this current cold spell, meto have forecast that area well the last 24hrs imo. Also Sunday could be of interest to you there nice dollop of precipitation clips East Anglia.
...It's annoying that we can't switch in to a proper NE'ly, Majority of the white stuff get's wasted in the North Sea to most of our East as per usual!
It is often a frustrating game living on the east coast. Lowestoft funnily enough often loses out when there is an easterly as the sea raises the temperature a degree or two when compared to inland and it just rains! We have been quite lucky so far during this spell though, personally I always prefer a northerly :-). As you say, there is so much being wasted in the North Sea though, if that would edge just a little further west it would be game on for a lot more people. Annoyingly, these frustrating setups seem commonplace when there is a cold spell!!
im sure Kent will get something over the next few days!
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Snowing heavily in Lowestoft again. That band running along the Far East coast is just clipping us!
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Looks like this feature turned out to be the right side of marginal! Teaming down here in Lowestoft with almost blizzard like conditions!
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BRUTAL!!
This is incredible.
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Looks like there is something forming over southern Essex at the moment and its heading my way.
Anyone got any gen on it who may be in the area?
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That is quite a marked change at only 30 hours in. This must be a classic example of explosive cyclogenesis?
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Massive storm just raged over Norwich. Haven't seen rain like that in a long time. Had a brief period of very heavy hail too and quite a light show!
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Amazing here in Lowestoft tonight. Spectacular lightning pretty much constant since 22:30!
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We had a flash of lightning around 10pm in Lowestoft. The rain is still persisting, it has been a very wet night here in East Anglia.
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I think having a jab at the government is a little unfair. There is no blame to apportion here; it isn't due to the action or inaction of the government. Unfortunately it is catch 22 for them; whatever they may have done beforehand would never have prevented this from happening; we are talking about one of the biggest rivers in the country here! If that can't cope, then there's not a lot that can be done. If we really need to blame someone it is the planners of these grand homes, who built them on flood plains in the first place. And I don't in any way mean that disrespectfully towards those poor people who may have lost their homes or livelihoods due to this disaster.
Anyway, the storm looks like it will pass slightly further north than the GFS was initially progging. It will be interesting to watch the storm develop on the satellite; as always with these things, its a matter of nowcasting!
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The low at T72 is a little more flabby on the GFS but we still get that easterly feed. If only those uppers were lower!
Let's hope the Scandinavia high can hold this time....
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I don't think I could describe the pattern shown on the 00z runs as "Zonal". As a matter of fact I still think what is shown is quite favourable for cold. The Scandi high is going to be quite a beast to shift.
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Not particularly liking the GFS 00z which throws out yet again another outcome. The low just sits out in the Atlantic and fills as it has nowhere to go. Thanks to this the colder uppers to our east don't even come close to our shores and even begin retreating back towards the reforming PV in the latter frames. Let's hope this is an outlier and the ensembles keep up the theme of backing colder outcomes. This really is knife edge stuff!
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The NAE 12Z shows a pretty intense little low over east Anglia tomorrow morning, could prove quite a gusty and wet rush hour!
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Uncancelling the trains is easier said than done. All the stock and crews will be in the wrong place; it would take well over an hour or so to get everything up and running.
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UKMO has also downgraded substantially. It still produces strong winds in the far south but doesn't develop the depression fully. It seems like the models are falling in line with what the 18Z GFS spotted last night.
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GFS once again says no to the storm on the 00z operational. I await the ensemble suite with bated breath. For some reason the system just doesn't seem to develop anywhere near as intensely as first modelled.
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Sorry to hear that CS. It was a pretty close call for you guys though, must have only been a couple of miles in it! Hopefully August will bring a hefty storm to both Lowestoft and Yarmouth for once!
Storms and Convective Discussion - 20th April 2019 onwards
in Storms & Severe Weather
Posted
Well it seems that here in Lowestoft has been directly in the firing line this evening. The last half an hour has been really active!