A long time lurker here finally making my first post, so go easy on me
There looks like a considerable low passing through the English Channel on Friday 16th December on most of the models. This could be a very disruptive event in the south if it comes off. I was half expecting it to have disappeared from the model run by todays 18z but it seems like there is now even more agreement on it.
Still a long way into FI though, so I'm certainly not putting any bets on it!