Convective

Alright then. What about the Isle of Man..? Nothing here for the last 10 days but 1 drizzle shower. Is it only winter time things can form over the sea? No hail here at all. No heavy rain..

Nothing here! Light drizzle before.. Not even had hail these last weeks..? Strange.

Looking very good here! Some great organised anvils over the roofs!

Wow! This shower off the north of the Isle of Man! Any chance of thunder?

You honestly think a Plume could be pulled off? Please, please, please, please!!

Next Thursday, Friday, Saturday and Sunday look fantastic at the moment!

It is so irritating. Practically everywhere has heard a rumble of thunder except here It's the wrong time of year to be honest here. The sea temperature and air temperature are too similar for anything to blow in..

I see.. Thanks for that! I doubt I will see anything tomorrow.. nothing yesterday and nothing today apart from before. I opened the conservatory door to let some air in and heard a very faint but intense/ deep rumble of thunder. It must of originated from Dumfries and Galloway!

Ah I see. Thanks for that! Just out of interest, what is the highest CAPE you have seen before Robbie?

I know this one isn't because the centre of the low pressure is drifting off slowly from eastern Scotland at the moment. What I mean is what about the charts in my last post? They are for 27th April roughly.. What do you think?

Hi guys and gals again! Basically, I have just been looking at the long range forecasting charts and I don't know exactly what is takes but common sense is telling me that this is a Spanish Plume? I know that low pressure systems rotate anticlockwise and therefore when this low pressure arrive south of the UK, surely it should fire up milder air and if we were to have colder air from the north at the same time there would be some serious convection? Could be the first more severe event of 2012? If I have got the whole thing wrong, pardon me.. at the end of the day I am a 13 year old student and I know hardly anything

Well tbh, its been absolutely rubbish here.. Not even a thundery sky. Moderate rain and thats it. I wonder if tomorrow could pull anything off? Such a shame if not. 3 days of nothing whilst everywhere else has practically heard a rumble of thunder, even if it was 30 miles away.. Ah well

Don't think there is any chance of ANYTHING here.. no land mass for convection to initiate. :'(

I see.. I do know what you mean, it is quite early for something like that to sprout up. It's usually around 2pm - 3pm when it really starts going. The sun is strongest therefore the updrafts are strongest plus the moisture levels in the atmosphere are highest after evaporating out the ground all day. One question I have though is.. Is there a certain time period or does it take specific conditions to allow nocturnal cooling to affect any cells? I saw yesterday on the radar as soon as the sun went down, the cells started to die off however in the summer, after sundown, the cells go mental. Is it because the convection within cells during summer months is much stronger so they are able to continue into the night? I understand what nocturnal cooling is etc its just that one question..

I mean I'm surprised it hasn't already

Surely that will go off with a boom soon!?

Already a few convective clouds here, a better start than yesterday by far! 52% T-Storm risk although I can't see it.. LI -1 and CAPE 230j/kg. Secondly, was it possible that I saw a funnel cloud yesterday? It was very brief and out over the sea. No where near a waterspout, just a small rotating strand of cloud hanging from a small wall cloud that was formed as part of a cell. I will post a picture later of the cell itself.

No! What about the IoM, the line cuts straight through here :o

This was taken earlier, light rain and thats it...

I am so annoyed.. There is hardly ever anything here.. As soon as the storms approach they break down into light rain!

Massive wall cloud approaching! And possible funnel cloud.. just ran downstairs to get the camera and she'd gone.. Hopefully not the first! Expecting alot from this!!

My friend just sent these:

Quite jealous! Nothing here still, very small cumulus blasting by on the breeze..

I'll second that. Nothing here at the moment. There was a light shower before but thats about it for now.

Jees Coast, I really hope the IoM does well!