For Birmingham, this has not been the coldest, but it has been snowier than 2010 and when we take about 'the hunt for cold' most members are looking for snow. This snowy spells reminds me of the ones I saw some often in the 80's. By the way in the 80's there where many occasions when forecasters said snow turning to rain and mild weather sweeping in and guess what, we had our biggest snows. I'm not suggesting this will happen and you can only comment on what the models are showing but you can never be 100% certain.