Benny123
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Posts posted by Benny123
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Still going strong in Stoke!
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We have thunder in Stoke!
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1 hour ago, Ryukai said:
Lightning showing on Lightningmaps just to the SW of Shrewsbury, heading and towards there and then onto Stoke on Trent (if it doesn't die off before it gets here )
Cells still firing! Theres hope for us Stokies!
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30 minutes ago, Kirkcaldy Weather said:
Small chance for Ireland and SW uk tomorrow with fronts and some CAPE developing.
Some shear aloft too.
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Convergence zone developing across the NE later.
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1 hour ago, sparky1972 said:
Not a lot of hope for storms here today going by the bbc forecast, but please can we have rain, garden looking desperate
Just 2.5mm of rainfall here in North Staffs this Month! I was hoping for an April record here, but looks like next week will balance the books a bit..
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3 hours ago, Kirkcaldy Weather said:
Wrf nmm on meteociel has theta-e charts the 2km is highest resolution and you can use the wind charts to look for convergence zones also you can zoom into different areas of uk.
looks like some elevated rainfall into the sw overnight tonight, there is some cape over Wales today but lack of a trigger. Both SBCAPE and MUCAPE across wales tomorrow and a front could see some storms will see what the runs later show and might pick a virtual target zone
Cheers for this! Fri-Sat does look better, mostly frontal though so maybe some elevated interest. Just 0.8mm of rainfall for April so far... whatever happened to April showers..!?
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Can anyone recommend a good place to find UK Theta-e, Streamlines (convergence and divergence) maps? Lightning Wizard convective maps are really good, but a higher resolution for the UK would be really useful! Thanks!
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A good covering here in NUL!
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A covering of snow in Newcastle-Under-Lyme. Settling on cars, roofs and now the road.
GFS has been on this all week, but the MO wasn’t keen!
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The BBC going for a cluster of snow showers this evening, maybe even a Cheshire streamer overnight.. not much mention of it though.. thoughts?
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FInally an Easterly shift on the streamer, getting some decent showers here in Newcastle Under Lyme- up to 2-3cm now.
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22 minutes ago, RobR said:
Any chance of the winds shifting to include Stoke in the showers?
Thats what I'm hoping for too! We're just on the edge of it all. But there is a chance overnight into tomorrow the winds will shift ever to slightly to the North West, so that might encourage the streamer to move more South Easterly. Here's hoping!
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On top of what settles today/tomorrow, there could be a lot of snow around by Sunday/Monday! Amber from the MO too!
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Nice streamer going just to the West of me, been dry here for a few hours with 1cm of lying snow.
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6 hours ago, Ian Ballinger said:
What do you class as the NW Midlands?
Probably the Staffordshire area? Just quoting the MO
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1 hour ago, weirpig said:
Im sure you will be fine. The wording is also very interesting. It now says Areas could expect 10-20cm including NW Midlands. thats been added on during its update which means more heavy showers are expected.
*Perhaps* the NW Midlands
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Nice little occlusion following behind the main front on Thursday night, probably an area of more organised snow, then followed by a streamer event! Looking good for the Midlands!
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Evidence of a decent Cheshire streamer Thursday/Friday! Can't say the GFS simulates the most reliable/accurate shower clusters, but we'll see!
Ps. new to this thread!
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12z gfs great synoptics, but I suspect leading us up the 'arctic path' once again. t200+ still very much in FI
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Finally looks like that horizontal front is clearing. River levels have been on the rise again this evening.. lots more rain in the forecast too!
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I don't think this weekends storm will be much to talk about. It begins to fill quite far West of the UK before riding the Jet over us again. We'll see, charts are all over the place at this stage
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Do we know if there are any implications of an active Atlantic in Autumn regarding the Winter months?
Model Output Discussion - heading into April
in Forecast Model Discussion
Posted
Anybody got ideas what is causing this persistent ridging pattern over NW Europe? I'm not complaining, just seems unusual.