Allseasons-Si

Stunning charts tonight and look at the gfs at 234.... there is no wonder why the NAO/AO are tanking -ve.... temps for my local dipping to or just below -5 supportive of snow esp from a dry air source from the continent de-built wind direction shows a good easterly for a good chunk too flip flops have been put away for the time being.

Nice.

Thanks Matty40s for the heads up,Mark Drees is onto something. https://livestormchasing.com/map thats a nice cell developing now and is slightly rotating.

That is a good shot that,thanks for sharing.

I have got to give credit to Karl,Matt and a few others for continueing to contribute to this wonderful thread and why not,it has been a long slog over the winter months trying to find some credence out of the cold charts that haven't come off and we have been left dangling this winter with glancing blows to our east only for the rest of Europe to get the golden ticket to cold and snow but saying all that,we could have a chance at the turn of the month for a cooler/colder shot from the N/NW,the models have been hinting of this with systems tracking NW>SE as was the case at the end of Jan,yes it's getting late into the season but i still wouldn't rule out a cold shot,it has happened before the latest from cpc 8-14 days shows nothing out of the woodshed but it wouldn't show shots from the north either,the AO does show the oscillation slow down maybe into neg values but thats expected as the pv wains from it's winter state i will keep an eye open on the end of the month,turn of next month on this poss shot of cooler/maybe colder weather from the north in the coming days but it cold all disappear in a puff. laters. P.S i think i may have to change my profile pic soon.

Forget the NW,look NE

The gps/p has a poss easterly if fl i wouldn't rule it out in subsequent runs,it has been showing it on previus runs.

I think if we do get a bout from the north it would be noticeable looking at the state of the pv and how much it has re-formed,the NH is looking V cold at the moment here is the latest from the strat 30/10 hpa graph,look how cold it is and i don't recall such a cold pv in my time on here,maybe someone can jog my memory? poss a slow spring coming i would of thought.

I took a trip to the peak district yesterday and what a windy day it was with hail and snow showers with the odd rumble of thunder thrown in,took a layby just past the snake pass inn then headed up toward Win hill here are some pics of edale valley with Lose hill,back tor,hollins cross and mam tor,the last pic is of Kinder scout Map and location where i was(black circle) overall it has been a pour winter here and i hope that next winter will be much better in terms of cold and snow,i am looking forward to some good weather now and hopefully some good storms.

Updated by Jón Frímann Strong earthquake swarm in Bárðarbunga volcano (not high number of earthquakes) Posted on March 4, 2019 by Jón Frímann This morning (4-March-2019) a strong earthquake swarm took place in Bárðarbunga volcano. Largest earthquake had a magnitude of 4,1 (at 05:52 UTC), second largest had a magnitude of 3,8 (at 05:46 UTC) and the third largest earthquake had a magnitude of 3,3 (at 06:03 UTC). Other earthquakes were smaller in magnitude. The earthquake activity in Bárðarbunga volcano (green stars). Copyright of this image belongs to Icelandic Met Office. Total of eight earthquakes where recorded in this swarm. This earthquake swarm is slightly unusual because its only been two weeks since a magnitude 4,2 earthquake took place in Bárðarbunga volcano. This are inflation related earthquakes, since Bárðarbunga volcano has been inflating since end of the eruption in Holuhraun in February 2015. This process is going to continue until next eruption happens in Bárðarbunga volcano system. This process can be at shortest be 1 year and at the longest this can take 104 years. I base this on Bárðarbunga volcano known eruption history. Details can be found in Global Volcanism Program information website about Bárðarbunga volcano. https://www.jonfr.com/volcano/

Have you been diggling with the gefs members Feb

Low height's lifting out to our NW over NE Canada to be replaced by higher heights on the control ties in with the anomoly charts from cpc 8-14 days and the eps. can we slow that spinning wheel to our north called the pv? the AO tanking into neg values but the NAO is in two minds.

That's an upgrade from this mornings suits,flatlining near -5,can it get colder nearer the term?

Just got back in from work and i have to say there has been upgrades in the cold hunt this afternoon,the gfs/gfsp 12z have several bites at cold from the north/NW from 144hrs> to the end,not looked at the individual ens from gefs yet here is a few frames from this site and snow starting from this Sun,and even the Channel islands gets in on the act(forecasted),in fact anyone is in with a shout next week?️ http://www.myweather2.com/synop/player.aspx?synop=2 the 18z isn't too shoddy either,the gfs in fl goes for a Scandi high but the gfs/p goes for another northerly,great model output at the moment and one final thing that i have noticed is that low height's are forecasted to lift out to our NW allowing heights to build there creating more amplification lets see how this goes through the week,can we keep the momentum up for a final cold shot before winters out?

Bardarbunga seven hours ago had three earthquakes over a mag of 3+ http://baering.github.io/ http://hraun.vedur.is/ja/oroi/allarsort.html https://en.vedur.is/earthquakes-and-volcanism/earthquakes#view=table no updates on Jón Frímann site yet but maybe soon. https://www.jonfr.com/volcano/

Stunning chart that is as i have said earlyier the models are showing a block either Scandi or Atlantic,could be a long March

Hay guys been browsing for a couple of weeks on here and i see the cold hunt thread has gone,well i am still hunting.... the ens has been steadfast at decreasing the temps over the last few days from showing a flatlining of 0c isotherm to near -5 now so upgrades on a cooler/colder feal to things as we go through next week i see models are toying with height rises into Scandi or the Atlantic but what i have seen of late is for systems to track in a nw>se trajectory,back to square one like late jan? it has been an exeptional feb for warmth and i have enjoyed it,it gets me out and about and to get things done early in the garden of which is a bonus and feel uplifted,i have not got out this early in the garden in the entire time i have been on this forum,is it june? a shock to the system coming next week but it is not unheard of as late feb/early march can throw everything at us whether it be warm days or frigid beast's don't hang up your sledges yet,you could be putting your flip flops away.

? did anyone post or comment on the ec46 last night,no.

The latest ICON is more amplified at 120 compared to it's 12z 123 the trough into Scandi is more aligned south than SE, these little steps can have big effects later on,watch for further cutbacks SW on later runs. whilst we see temps pumping up(of which i will enjoy,don't get me wrong)in the next week of so,this should give the trop pv a kick in the goolashes and with the Alaskan ridge showing it's hand too i wouldn't discount a trop split sometime in March,watch this space. Edit:well the 18z gfs doesn't read the script at 120,who is right! the icon or the gfs?

B&q have just announced that they are reducing there BBQ'S to half price due to the BFTE later next week,i am opening an early BBQ day if anyone is interested,