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Everything posted by Allseasons-Si
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Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
Allseasons-Si replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
Allseasons-Si replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
El nino tends to favor back loaded winter's so stay tuned happy new year to you. -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
Allseasons-Si replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
We can be lenient at this moment in time as long as it's friendly happy new year to you too,you have been a diamond on these forums of late,keep it up me lad as for the cold and snow,...i am sure it will come sooner or later(no pun)as el nino's are back loaded winters and with an -EQBO to boot with a weak pv it betters our chances and it's not January yet,...plenty of time. -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
Allseasons-Si replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
OK ,...i am signing off for now remember please keep it friendly and MOD related in here i know the models can be fickle at times(most of the time lol) and there is nothing we can do to change them but comment on them so on that note,...i wish all of you a happy and prosperous 2024 -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
Allseasons-Si replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I like the ext'd there mike,it shows just what i was thinking,...a retrogression NW and that was what i was talking about in my earlier post/s. -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
Allseasons-Si replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Go on wetter site here:- Wetterzentrale.de - Diagrams WWW.WETTERZENTRALE.DE Forecasted 850 hPa Temp. from GFS, 12Z click diagrams then sellect one of the models and sellect 850s,then you can hover over the ens to show them or you can hover over a single ens at the bottom. -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
Allseasons-Si replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I wouldn't mind a UK high TBF as it would be nice from all the wind and rain we have had so far this season,bring on the hoar frost's i would say,then we look for the next renewed amplification heading towards mid-month as the ECM/GEM op and conrol as well as the KMA at day ten show(black arrow) let's be patiant and see where we head in the next few day's -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Allseasons-Si replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Second bite... this has been advertised of late by some ops and ens,and by me aswell,i will say it again that the Met has this for mid Jan too. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Allseasons-Si replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Allseasons-Si replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Now onto the 00z gfs but i am flaking a bit,...it is late but i will hold on for a bit more,...jeez sod it,hit me,it's Chistmas -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Allseasons-Si replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
TBF i think it's a great looking chart,...low height's to our south,height's to our NW are pretty good and if it went further that whole section of the trop pv to our NE would drop south don't forget that it is only at t180,...i would take this chart as a good run. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Allseasons-Si replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Allseasons-Si replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
In the ext'd gefs mean i see renewed push of heights in the Atlantic,...i don't think we a done after this initial cool/cold blast in the medium term and would tie in with the Met's thought's. there is some bangers in there. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Allseasons-Si replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Clearly the op and control are on the mild side (outliers) ,that's a pretty decent set of EPS ens... -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Allseasons-Si replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Allseasons-Si replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Allseasons-Si replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Allseasons-Si replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
All part of the fun my friend there is pressure rise forecast in the Atlantic,the anomalies show it,now how far this pressure rise north is yet to be surfaced because there is still timing issues with how these lows off NE Canada play out. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Allseasons-Si replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Allseasons-Si replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Allseasons-Si replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
That Atlantic low should disrupt SE by 168 like it did on the 00z run. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Allseasons-Si replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Allseasons-Si replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Allseasons-Si replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion