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Everything posted by DTHFCJ
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Model Output Discussion 06Z, 13 Sep. 2013 ---->
DTHFCJ replied to Methuselah's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
A very interesting piece over on the BBC site,explaining what the difference Humberto looks like giving us here in the UK. Temps up some 11 degrees in places -
Model Output Discussion 18z 28/07/13
DTHFCJ replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/MT8_London_ens.png Yo-yo anyone..... -
Model Output Discussion 18z 28/07/13
DTHFCJ replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~fxg1/ECMWF_0z/test8.gif http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/610day/610day.03.gif feel free to call me a nosey bugger but im sure John H is referring to these -
Model Output Discussion 18z 28/07/13
DTHFCJ replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~fxg1/ECMWF_12z/test8.gif http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/610day/610day.03.gif all 3 agree(ish) John H correct me if im wrong. still it been a great summer loved every minute of it -
Model Output Discussion 18z 28/07/13
DTHFCJ replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Frosty you have made my summer this year,top top enthusiastic posts well done mate...gotta say Bluearmy is very good come summer or winter always says it how it is and shows no preferences hats off to you both sorry off topic mods id better add... trust me i aint after no brownie points if you knew me youd know,gotta give credit where is due -
Model Output Discussion 18z 28/07/13
DTHFCJ replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Im confused very confused,i check the ops,check the mean now its check the spreads....which one is more reliable ECM spreads NAEFS anomolies..... its confusing this weather lark think il stick to hating arsenal -
Model Output Discussion 18z 28/07/13
DTHFCJ replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~fxg1/ECMWF_12z/test8.gif okay whos nicked all them black lines off the UK..(GFS) on the right -
Model Output Discussion 18z 28/07/13
DTHFCJ replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Many Thanks John for taking the time to reply and with a top post to boot,o dear i have a lot of learning to do,no wonder the other day you was puzzled by my post(#676)dont blame you...il continue to learn just like many on here. Thanks again sorry for off topic. -
Model Output Discussion 18z 28/07/13
DTHFCJ replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
another top post cheers Frosty mixed to start hopefully better later,itl be nice for the kids to finish the school hols on a warm and hopefully sunny note John H are we getting there http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~fxg1/ECMWF_0z/test8.gif im still learning and taking on board your posts(i know you also say a few days running with them showing the same kind of picture),atm there appears to be ridging more so(ish) on the ECM? also i notice you posted the other day ref to these... http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/814day.03.gif you mentioned "The anomaly part of the charts shows nothing of any substance near the UK, 30DM is neither here nor there",i was just curious to what 30DM means?... thanks John -
Model Output Discussion 18z 28/07/13
DTHFCJ replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
yes William looks like we are in the firing line for some of the wet stuff,check out the weather for the week ahead on the BBC site...tues weds and fri looks damp i wouldnt say washout though Thanks again to Tamara for a top post and Frosty great input guys....ive still got me L plates on -
Model Output Discussion 18z 28/07/13
DTHFCJ replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
i said signs??a very small +ve anomalys a start and the further south and east you are.......... -
Model Output Discussion 18z 28/07/13
DTHFCJ replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~fxg1/ECMWF_12z/test8.gif http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/814day.03.gif signs of Something getting better.....?? yet again the further south and east you live -
Model Output Discussion 18z 28/07/13
DTHFCJ replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/610day/610day.03.gif This the "slightly" better of the two http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/814day.03.gif itl be updated shortly, http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~fxg1/ECMWF_12z/test8.gif no idea where the ECM'S take on things is on the left these chop and change alot more than the noaa and yes John Holmes does always say about agreement and for a number of days im still learning too -
Model Output Discussion 18z 28/07/13
DTHFCJ replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/naefs_cartes.php?ech=0&code=0&mode=0 running through these things dont look too bad at all, more so for southern areas... more (reds) than blues?should say (pinks) really. I dont pretend to be an expert on these,far far from on but i take the colours to be anomalys -
yep the catcher is half way down the garden,ive also read similar to what you have said if you kill one more will come to help him...or her.. lol @ the kitchen windowsill,no offence of course to your Mum also agree ref drowning...thats my biggest fear,i never step foot on a boat cause you can guarantee the minute i do itl get that sinking feeling
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i can think of better things to embrace lol...in fact i took her to a supermarket i dont know why but i had to start it somewhere so it started.....
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made me giggle you saying your Dad got chased round the garden...because this morning i was doing exactly the same thing never thought i could run that fast.....plenty around by us,the most ive seen in years, i even purchased a wasp catcher,you fill it with sugar,honey something sweet etc they fly in through the small holes and are supposed to drown i checked it the other day....its really good, so far its caught none and upon walking back towards the house there was one looking at me by the back door i swear it was laughing at me,not that i hung around!
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Weather in the general media (Newspaper features etc)
DTHFCJ replied to Summer Sun's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
cheers again Summer Sun...mixed(ish) but i can live with that -
Model Output Discussion 18z 28/07/13
DTHFCJ replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yet another top post from a clever Lady,cheers Tamara. -
Model Output Discussion 18z 28/07/13
DTHFCJ replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
looks fairly good mid week onwards atm,just waiting for the last ECM chart, http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Recm1201.gif http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Recm1441.gif http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Recm1681.gif http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Recm1921.gif http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Recm2161.gif i wonder where this will lead us.... http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Recm2401.gif .here -
Model Output Discussion 18z 28/07/13
DTHFCJ replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
the precipitation charts you have posted there Draztik,tie in well with the Meto's 6-15 dayer,northwest/southeast split.. still i for one will not complain,really enjoyed this summer i know its not over yet,even though the charts are not fantastic some good days some bad days tbh after july's at times stunning conditions i can live with that -
Model Output Discussion 18z 28/07/13
DTHFCJ replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
i see where your coming from ref autumnal with a north west flow .........................albeit 2 weeks away Phil taken on board ,Mushy purely a joke -
Model Output Discussion 18z 28/07/13
DTHFCJ replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Many thanks John -
Model Output Discussion 18z 28/07/13
DTHFCJ replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~fxg1/ECMWF_0z/test8.gif Plenty of chopping and changing ive noticed of late,as John Holmes says we need consistency to get an idea of what might occur at the moment there aint none lets hope these continue to look like this for 3 days+ running,(edit)i know these are not fantastic i should say but maybe they might lead to something better along the way http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/814day.03.gif John question for you which of these do you think is the more reliable? -
excellent 100% excellent kids have had the pool out many many times we have had some beautiful sunsets,and bar today id give july a big fat 9.9/10....for the 1st time in 7 years i got my milk bottle legs out and even they managed to get a tan i have enjoyed every single minute and its just goes to show the uk can indeed get beautiful summer weather.....like i say to everyone i know "every days a blue sky day its just the **** thats underneath it" incredible really getting up nearly every day to sunshine..great stuff