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latitude

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Everything posted by latitude

  1. latitude
    Have a good night mate. Things could look very different on Sundays 0z's!
  2. latitude
    All sounds like a wintry mix for the SW Bristle boy. Not the proper cold we were expecting.
  3. latitude
    Im not disappointed its only the weather! Its a learing curve that nothing is nailed even this close to the 'event'. Things can still change change as you say, but think your hoping for better output later today too!
  4. latitude
    Haha yes. I have said this before, cornwall and the Cotswolds are worlds apart!! But all taken as the SW!
  5. latitude
    Those two paragraphs sum it up really. We have gone from amazing charts to even lack of snow shower activity in the East. A probabal snow to rain event for the SW. Things really have changed in the last day!
  6. latitude
    Fair enough. Thursday next week is a long way off, but I remember the more experienced members saying how important it was to get the cold synoptics within 144. The 'supposed' breakdown is within 144. If the cold can hold out we could be in for lots of snow. Im just saying how I feel, I hate snow to rain events, thats why I say it could be a non event. A few days of sunny cold weather and frosts then snow to rain in a few hours is definately a non event in my book. I hope this wont happen, snow to snow will suit me just fine.
  7. latitude
    Shoot me down if you like. But this is the way I see it. Some cold days on Monday to Wednesday. Breakdown Thursday with southerly winds after maybe a bit of wet snow. This is turning into a non event for us in SW. Very disppointed once again.
  8. latitude
    Really? > Nearly all SW not under -5 850's.
  9. latitude
    at 132 the -5 line is heading out of Devon. Looks like the breakdown is quicker on this run by Thursday. Edit: Interesting for SW on Thursday, is the cold air staying put?
  10. latitude
    -5 850 struggling to reach Devon by Tuesday.
  11. latitude
    Yeah your right. But it seems a slack NE flow for next week could happen. That means any showers in the East will not make our region. Then we could be looking at a wet breakdown with transitional front edge snow. We want the cold block to stay strong, I havent seen it yet. Even in 2010 the cold spell ended the day after boxing day with an Atlantic system. Right now we are knowhere near 2010 synoptics.
  12. latitude
    Totally agree. I have been saying all along the GFS has never shown an Easterly. It has always been a slack NE flow which may have some interest for Eastern members here. The cold air looks like making it across to the west. A little bit IMBY here, but looks like settled and cold for the west, before a wet breakdown later in the week. Im just hoping the cold air wins for once, nothing worse than a snow to rain event. The next set of model runs will be interesting, its fair to say the East will some snow next week, but its out west where the interest now lies.
  13. latitude
    Well seems my prediction was right. An Atlantic breakdown next week, with snow to rain. Disappointing once again for us in the SW.
  14. latitude
    I never saw an easterly coming from this. It was all NE, with showers around the E coasts, sunshine for everyone else. The Atlantic will attack, but will the cold air win out?
  15. latitude
    I hope you right mate. But all I can see for us is blue skys and sunshine and watching the showers over the east struggle to make inroads to the West. I think we will have to wait for the Atlantic to try........and hope it fails, bringing an all snow event for us.
  16. latitude
    Look at the isobars from that snowy spell. A real strong easterly blast with two LP systems bring in the snow. Using the GFS run, it never shows such synopics as Feb 91. The ECM did the other night, but we know that would be downgraded as it has been, but still very good. I cant see a Feb 91 event just yet.
  17. latitude
    You wont get that will the slack flow being modelled.
  18. latitude
    The models wont struggle, they will output whats fed in. This cold spell is looking like a slack NE pattern at first with snow showers in Eastern regions and dry and sunny for the rest before the Atlantic comes in with a snow to rain event for the SW. Thats how its looking to me. But could the cold hold out?
  19. latitude
    You could be in for a suprise at 700ft, not the rest of us!
  20. latitude
    If this easterly pattern does emerge we need it to be pretty potent to get the shower activity across to us in the SW. If we end up in a slack NE/E flow as shown by the GFS we will be watching the radar and getting anoyed that the snow showers just wont penentrate enough to reach our area.
  21. latitude
    At last a chart that shows the easterly everyone been talking about. Only one direction from that output!!
  22. latitude
    Please, people here talking of an beast from the east. I cant see an easterly flow on the GFS, it looks NE then turns to a slack NE flow. Its cold but not a 91 or 87 type event right now. Oh and its not until tues/weds next week. Thats a long way off in this game!
  23. latitude
    Still cant see an easterly up to 180 on GFS 12.
  24. latitude
    The signals are there, but the cold party hasnt even started yet. If it is showing something simular on Saturday/Sunday then game on.
  25. latitude
    I think the ECM spotted the spoiler from that LP from Southern Greenland last time around. This week we should of been colder a lot colder. Cant remember at what time frame the ECM spotted the spoiler?
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