Jump to content
Will it snow? 7 day forecast Weather Radar Will it be cold?
Snow?
Local
Radar
Cold?

Skeggy Winter Storm

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    490

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Posts posted by Skeggy Winter Storm

    Winter Model Discussion - Cold Hunting -12Z 30/12/12

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    Yes I think that the lag time between this SSW event and effects on the ground so to speak are likely to be a couple of weeks at best, I believe we have to wait for a SSW to propogate down to lower levels and it makes sense to me if you think about it, it's a bit like taking a car journey, you don't reach your desired destination the moment you leave, you have to navigate your chosen route and will eventually reach your destination (destination cold and snowy) and there's lots of pitfalls along the way, your Sat Nav (GFS) will only start to show your destination once you get closer to it...same applies with the various models they can't pick up on a SSW event, that hasn't happened yet and so will only show the general destination as a big red blob over the place your going, only when you get cloe will the fine detail be pinned down (turn left, take the 3rd exit on the right...blah blah blah).

    So with that in mind, I doubt we'll see much in the way of possible and probable outcomes of the coming SSW event for another 4-5 days, during which time I for one will be making the most of the dry weather and warmer temperatures , and will be doing some silly snow dances on the hills, far far away from prying eyes :-)

    very good post and well put :)

    Winter Model Discussion - Cold Hunting - 20th Dec

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    ECH1-192.GIF?22-0

    EC op at 192, elongated lp system to the east bringing in east to north-west winds over the UK, a rather rare synoptic in its alignment. Cold as well, with snow shrs on high ground in the north and north-east.

    Indeed we must urge caution, but the net result was near record lows for many eastern and south-eastern parts of England, with some large snowfalls in the SE in early February. The effects of the SSW dramatically altered the NH pattern, ask Europe.

    we got 3 decent snow events here in feb this year and it got very cold towards the end of the cold spell was -8 or something :)

    Model Mayhem - Moan, Ramp, Go Nuts

    in Forecast Model Discussion

    Posted

    Lets all be positive,,,,,Just think how lucky we are to be avoiding cold frosty mornings,scrapping ice off windscreens,late night lamp post watching, kids out building snowman, weather forecasters saying "no end insight to deep freeze" Blue sky crisp frosty days, We are so lucky, [ depressed myself now]

    . I feel depressed now would like it to b like that lol

    Model Mayhem - Moan, Ramp, Go Nuts

    in Forecast Model Discussion

    Posted

    Loads of wrist slashing occurring on the main thread this morning over a possible "blowtorch" (how I dislike that misleading phrase!) Xmas.

    You just can't trust the models at more than 5 days. Remember, we were supposed to be experiencing blizzards this weekend if you believed the models 10 days ago, so why believe that in 10 days time it will be mild?

    There's a good reason why most forecasts don't go beyond 5 days; it's one of the first things I learnt about weather!

    Its always the same in mod thread "theres cold showing in fi its not gna happen" " theres mild showing in fi its def gna happen
×
×
  • Create New...