Dampdorset82
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Posts posted by Dampdorset82
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Interestingly enough there is a pattern change which has just started. The forecasted temps over the next week to 10 days look to drop off to about 5-7c in the south and 4-6c further north. Although we have "zonal" conditions forecast the source of the air is from a cooler source now and will continue to do so in the reliable time frame. Predictions of white Christmas for some from the met o, interesting storms and the potential for some colder weather as we get into January via a SSW and southerly jet.......don't forget last week many were adamant that the high was set to stay......keep your eyes peeled some interesting charts to come!!!
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wet here in Poole, Dorset. Temp 9.2c
The snow is nice for a while but very glad to see it go!! could get interesting mid Feb me thinks!
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I remember hearing about the 4c limit mentioned on a bbc weather forecast a few years back, so while it might be rare it can snow at 4c.
im not doubting it at all just unusual especially right next to the south coast
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It can snow upto 4c, depending on other factors like 850s, dew points, wbfl etc etc.
but for 4c is very rare for that to happen the conditions othere than the actual temp need to be 100% perfect
very unusal wimborne should be colder really
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Its snowing in Wimborne too!! But the temp is 4.0c - how can this be?
strange, what are you using to read the temp?
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temp is 1.9c and dew point 0.3c
flakes getting bigger
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snow becoming moderate
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Friend on twitter says its snowing in Poole, and thats on the coast!
Still snowing, thought it would have just been rain here!
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Snowing in Poole Dorset!
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A35 is on high ground mate between Bridport and Dorchester and if it is any consolation it is raining in Bridport!!
ok mate that makes sense, I was thinking it must be so marginal for that kind of set up. although A35 in places still relatively close to the coast though
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I cant understand how dorchester/bridport have snow and Poole just has rain? its crazy
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yep so much potential earlier washed away thats being on the coast for you temp 1.8c
Snow all gone now, tbh its probably not a bad thing it wasnt ever going to be heavy and enjoybale here. Id rather it be clear and safe here rather than thin slushy slippery ice
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rain in poole dorset as it has been for the past 2/3 hours............no surface snow left
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heavy snow for the past 30 mins in Poole. Starting to settle on the grass and cars and a little on the pavements temp 0.9c
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Heavy rain in Portsmouth, how come it's heavy when it rains but only light when it snows??
water (liquid) is heavier than formed snow flakes.
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Rain rain rain here in Poole Dorset
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What does it matter whether it's a horse a cow or a sheep, it's still all sorts of animal parts in most burgers such as intentines, doofers etc ....Poor buggers....So glad I don't eat animal flesh or secretions....
for different religions they cant eat pork.....also just the deception of it all.......i think
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Looks like the snow signal is for shaftesbury upto evesham northwest to brecon beacons the down to neath then back through to Exeter (Exeter likely to be snow to sleet/rain) . Areas further south and east to within 3-5 miles of the coast will get light sleet and 0-3 miles of the coast will be light rain potentially freezing rain to begin with.
the snow prone areas will look at 5-10 cm lower areas 3-5cm. The greater risk between 6pm-12am Tuesday for the heaviest ppm. will then going into Wednesday morning fizzle out to the south of our region and will remain cold.
The likely hood of milder air pushing in on Saturday is about 60% at this stage with all models coming on board with the evolution of the transistion all slightly different with each model hence the 60%.
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There is increasing confidence that an area of low pressure will bring its attendant weather fronts in across the South West during the course of Tuesday bringing another period of potentially significant snowfall to parts of South West and Southern England.
We have issued a % probability of disruption due to snowfall on Tuesday with the most emphasis placed on areas immediately around and South of the M4 corridor with some areas to the North of the M4 also included. Main counties of concern for the risk of 5-10cm or perhaps more are currently North Somerset, North Dorset, Bristol, Gloucestershire, Wilts and Hampshire.
There remains some uncertainty on snow totals and the extent of the snowfall to the South and close to coastal areas, it's likely that precipitation will fall as rain and sleet initially across Devon, South Somerset, South Dorset and Coastal Hampshire, but as the cold air undercuts later it's likely to turn increasingly to snow - giving accumulations.
The main snow line is generally in line with the M4 corridor with strongest and most persistent signals for severe disruption around the Forest of Dean, Bristol, Bath and Central/Southern Wilts into North Somerset and North Dorset.
The Northern extent of the band could also be extended and progression East across the South Coast to affect West and East Sussex also remains a possibility.
We'll have further updates through the course of today and tomorrow.
I think its important to remember that Fridays Snow wasnt forecast to fall as snow on the south coast untill pretty close to the event........I for one will not be looking at that type of information with too many inconsistancies between models and positionings of LPs and PPn.
Just to show this, the attached picture shows Christchurch (mudeford) beach
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Absolutely delighted with how much we've had on iow, Ian ferguson spot on last night so thanks v much to him lol shame I had to work th morn so missed the heaviest fall but made up for it this aft built a snowman n had snowball fights with th kids
hoping for more but not too worried if we don't as I'm at st Mary's mon night to c my beloved Everton hopefully hammer the saints Anyone know if we're likely to c anymore??
See any more everton supporters?...............i doubt it
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heavy snow in Poole
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7cm here in Poole now.
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So am I reading right that the sleet and rain forecast for this afternoon here in Bournemouth/christchurch could stay as snow?
Also just a gentle reminder to check on your neighbours if they are elderly or infirm. I have just phoned my two neighbours to see they are alright and the heating hasn't broken etc..,,
Temp of 0.3c an dp of 0c
staying all as snow in our region
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suprised to see some in Poole and Bmouth moaning???
Just think back between 1996 and 2008 hardly anything.....
Interesting to note our bigger falls over the past 3 years have been due to E/SE winds rather than a northerly....Our winter pattern in the UK has certainly changed and long may it continue!!!
5cms here in Poole!
hoping for more but not too worried if we don't as I'm at st Mary's mon night to c my beloved Everton hopefully hammer the saints 
Model Output Discussion 17th Dec.2013-12z onwards.
in Forecast Model Discussion
Posted
I agree, my earlier post suggests that we are entering a real change in the pattern and the storms over the next week start that process. The artic high will be crucial regardless of where the chunk of PV sits saying that the PV could be great for the under cut scenario as you refer too.....looking forward to it