-
Posts
233 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Forums
Blogs
Gallery
Events
Learn About Weather and Meteorology
Community guides
Everything posted by pdiddy
-
Scotland/Alba Regional Weather Discussion - 16/01/2018 Onwards
pdiddy replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Regional
just in fae the Edinburgh cooncil twatter Please note: all primary, secondary and special schools and nurseries will be CLOSED tomorrow, due to weather conditions -
Scotland/Alba Regional Weather Discussion - 16/01/2018 Onwards
pdiddy replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Regional
yes, snow/graupel mix in Edinburgh atm. -
Scotland/Alba Regional Weather Discussion - 16/01/2018 Onwards
pdiddy replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Regional
On the cusp of Red Warning in Scotland: http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-43200598 -
Scotland/Alba Regional Weather Discussion - 16/01/2018 Onwards
pdiddy replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Regional
Much depends on the alignment of the streamers as, by definition, they follow a similar path. As other have posted, this could be a significant event. Last Red warning up here was Dec 10, I believe, and it turned out to be a damp squib, though we did already have 30cm of lying snow at the time. -
Scotland/Alba Regional Weather Discussion - 16/01/2018 Onwards
pdiddy replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Regional
Looks to be some precip incoming to Eastern Scotland on latest radar... -
Scotland/Alba Regional Weather Discussion - 16/01/2018 Onwards
pdiddy replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Regional
The Schaf pointed to Eastern Scotland and stated potential totals of 10-20cm of snow Weds. Impossible to forecast accurately at this range (The Beeb forecast in Nov 10 said "you may need to scrape your car this morning" whereas there had been 30cm of snow...) -
Model output discussion - here comes the beast!
pdiddy replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
yes, all day and all of the night. -
Model output discussion - here comes the beast!
pdiddy replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
That's for Slovakia, right? (49N 17E). Aberdeen looking ok... -
Scotland/Alba Regional Weather Discussion 23/04/17 onwards
pdiddy replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Regional
interesting week of weather watching coming up. Chance of some snow and who knows whether we will get some strong winds weds and thurs. -
just as it was shaping up to be a fairly dry event for Edinburgh! 300 miles difference between GFS Op/Control and the Beeb's track of the low.
- 2,572 replies
-
- 3
-
Agree - I thought 850s were unaffected by day/night meaning a better indication of air mass temps?
-
Scotland/Alba Regional Weather Discussion 23/04/17 onwards
pdiddy replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Regional
snowing in Morningside now, so I will be booking this as a White Christmas! -
Scotland/Alba Regional Weather Discussion 23/04/17 onwards
pdiddy replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Regional
trying hard to snow in Edinburgh... almost sleety! Heavier drops taking longer to hit the ground - will still be marginal, I fear! -
Scotland/Alba Regional Weather Discussion 23/04/17 onwards
pdiddy replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Regional
-
Scotland/Alba Regional Weather Discussion 23/04/17 onwards
pdiddy replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Regional
Hmm. Knife edge stuff. I've got Edinburgh at 15/2, so I'm keeping an eye on the traffic Scotland live cameras. Looks like rain everywhere at present. https://trafficscotland.org/livetrafficcameras/ -
Model output discussion - heading into 2018
pdiddy replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Latest GFS pushes the Arctic High further towards Iceland, making the track of any slider further south, presumably.- 1,418 replies
-
- 1
-
Model Output Discussion - cold spell to end Autumn
pdiddy replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Any charts to back this up? -
Model Output Discussion - cold spell to end Autumn
pdiddy replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yes, Control looks an outlier, but it's relatively flat, suggesting no return to zonal. Control moves more towards an Easterly in FI -
Model Output Discussion - cold spell to end Autumn
pdiddy replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Hang on... you asked the question and I replied why there is, as far as you're concerned "so little enthusiasm". I have looked at the models. I'm not less enthusiastic. That said, the Azores low you mentioned quickly fills and heights replace it, so back to +ve NAO. That's what I see when I go look at the models. Happy to hear your alternate reading of same? -
Model Output Discussion - cold spell to end Autumn
pdiddy replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I think it's because the split on the 6th/7th has now favoured the milder solution having been firstly 85/15 in favour of colder, then 50/50... Still not certain in my view but more runs needed. -
For all the talk of similar synoptics to 2010, it should be borne in mind that there was a significant cold pool to our North East then. The cold is not there (yet).
-
There is some inevitable model-fatigue ahead of the winter starting. I think the important factor is not the detail, but the continuing signal for a disorganised PV and heights to the NW.
-
HNY all. Staying in Lossiemouth for New Year and plenty of squally showers earlier with hail and a bit of sleet. Was really hoping for snow but Temps never got below about 6c.
-
Thanks HC. As you say, Edinburgh can be the same... I've seen rain forecast and seen 6 inches of snow fall. Likewise rain/sleet when it's off the sea. I'll post on the day to confirm!