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Everything posted by Mark wheeler
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Model output discussion - into July 2020
Mark wheeler replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model output discussion - into July 2020
Mark wheeler replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model output discussion - into July 2020
Mark wheeler replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion Sept 2019 onwards
Mark wheeler replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Regional
It can hold up for a couple of hours please as having a meal this evening in a pub garden ( the star in Malden Rushett ) for me and wife are celebrating our 10th wedding anniversary and also my mum and dad celebrating their 44th anniversary. no storms just yet please . -
South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion Sept 2019 onwards
Mark wheeler replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Regional
Here is that tweet . -
South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion Sept 2019 onwards
Mark wheeler replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Regional
Where are you seeing 37.8 guys ? -
South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion Sept 2019 onwards
Mark wheeler replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Regional
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Model output discussion - into July 2020
Mark wheeler replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion Sept 2019 onwards
Mark wheeler replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Regional
John Hammond has just said on Talkradio that the actual Temps are 2c ahead of what the models suggested today . Also said heatwave coming back at the end of next week . -
Model output discussion - into July 2020
Mark wheeler replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yes I’ve seen that , Very unfortunate for you in NI hopefully next week is better for you guys , I too wasn’t to chuffed with the ecm as amazingly other models like the GFS and gem had less heat but more widespread conditions and potentially for longer , let’s see what tonight’s and more especially tomorrow’s runs bring . -
Model output discussion - into July 2020
Mark wheeler replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I just watched the Beeb Forecast now saying 35c possible . Also said uncertainty about rain moving in on Monday , well the icon is out . Not much rain here . Gfs does have this feature more pronounced. -
Model output discussion - into July 2020
Mark wheeler replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yep and it hasn’t been highlighted yet , probably because of tomorrow’s heat but that means we now have May , June and July hitting 30c with hopefully now August to quickly follow next week . -
Model output discussion - into July 2020
Mark wheeler replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Hi Zak this is the ecm @240 you posted the 218hrs Being picky I’d take the gem please as in Devon and come back Monday so Sunday not so good . -
Model output discussion - into July 2020
Mark wheeler replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Navgem , Hold your head in shame . I’m withdrawing my unofficial sponsorship until it shapes up again . -
Model output discussion - into July 2020
Mark wheeler replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Like today MWB wasn’t 28c the top temperature predicted but it got close to 30c ? -
Model output discussion - into July 2020
Mark wheeler replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model output discussion - into July 2020
Mark wheeler replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Hi MWB , I’m going to ask probably a silly question to you and others but where do you find the graph for where the operational sits within the ensembles , I’ve looked where I think it might be but can’t seem to find it ? I’d appreciate the help . Please note the chart I’ve posted is yesterday’s run . Kind Regards Mark -
Model output discussion - into July 2020
Mark wheeler replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yes Please , it’s finally latched on to the correct solution -
Model output discussion - into July 2020
Mark wheeler replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model output discussion - into July 2020
Mark wheeler replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yep still scorchio so no actual downgrade , I was only alluding to the temps it predicted yesterday at 36c I think . -
Model output discussion - into July 2020
Mark wheeler replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
High pressure moving in again later on according to this mornings GFS . meanwhile Aprege had downgraded the heat this morning with a max now showing at 34c -
Model output discussion - into July 2020
Mark wheeler replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Well Gfs 18z is again positive later on . Ps - I’m especially intrigued with the charts at the moment as I’m off to Devon on the 3rd so really need at least some decent weather on my 1 weeks hols . And the Beeb have upped the temperature by a degree . -
Model output discussion - into July 2020
Mark wheeler replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Here 22nd of Julys Ecm 12z outlier ... tonight’s seems more out of kilter though if that makes sense . -
Model output discussion - into July 2020
Mark wheeler replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Didn’t the ecm a few days ago first sniff out the upcoming plume with a outlier op at the time ? -
Model output discussion - into July 2020
Mark wheeler replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion