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Everything posted by Argyle1980
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Model output discussion - here comes the beast!
Argyle1980 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Regarding Friday. UKMO & ECM both marginally better this morning from last nights viewings. As it’s been said, been a little too progressive in removing the cold uppers so quickly and I think a trend of correcting further south is on the cards. -
Model output discussion - here comes the beast!
Argyle1980 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Quite often you see the track of these systems often trend further south within the final 5 days. 2013 springs to mind. If so should keep the colder weather with us for longer and give us guys down south some much needed excitement. wayno -
I think anyone on the far south coast of Cornwall and Devon should start seeing snowfall from as early as Monday next week. I remember on a couple of occasions on the Roseland & Lizard peninsula where the shower bands have just hugged the coastline and maybe 3 Miles I Land’s it’s been bone dry. Still loads to play for especially for next Friday, fingers crossed we see a better correction to that low coming up from our south west. Wayno
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Model output discussion - here comes the beast!
Argyle1980 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I’m still a little concerned re the trend for that low coming up from the Bay of Biscay on Friday. The GFS has been hinting at bringing in slightly less cold air in with it for the last few days and I wonder if the UKMO is picking up on it also. ECM for me is a blinder! And one that has been steadfast in holding onto the colder air past next weekend with a better angle for the Low. Interesting times coming up, one that I hope brings a 80s style snow event to Cornwall and the whole of the snow starved south. wayno -
Finally something to look forward to. Not only do we have some nice Dry weather to enjoy for the next week but also some more exciting early next week! I still Remember from the 80s what really snowy days are like and I’m beginning to wonder whether next week something big might unfold.?? Enjoy the ride guys