ryanoroo

Cheers chieftain ???? Modern technology ey! I wasn’t expecting to see anything tonight anyway so if I do Bonus! thinking maybe 3-4am(ish) for the good stuff but only 126asl here so knife edge stuff! Might have to sack off work tomorrow over at Thruscross though ??

I live in Glasshouses next to Pateley Bridge and just got heavy cold rain at the mo ????

Wanted to put this in the model discussion thread but don’t think the MODS would allow hahaha! oldskool breakdown of the 63’ snowmageddon Boxing Day onwards... quite comical how the ‘weather experts’ at the time broke it down... they ended by saying the route cause for the epic winter weather could be blamed on... the Hawaiians

Hi Adam hope your well ?? if you don’t mind me asking what are you watching that shows the 7-9hrs of snow fall over our region? I’m based up near Pateley Bridge and would love a good dump of snow ?????? building my tabs up of stuff to watch hence why I’m asking ?? ta!

14 can be quite a good number of days when relating to SSW events ??

Once you pop n all that!... tentertive signs of a 2018 magnitude SSW event being hinted at now by some of the weather wise big dogs... my present puzzlement... if back in 2018 SSW was modelled around 13th Feb... BFTE Pounced 25th/26th Feb... this would have been back end of winter... so... if SSW is picked up (maybe gfs?) in the next couple of days say 6th/7th Jan... Would BFTE pounce around 15th-20th Jan?... more mid winter perhaps?... colder average temps etc= BIGGER BFTE??? again lots of ifs and buts... if it’s anything to go by I was based in Leeds during 2018 and yes it was great and lengthy but very choppy off and on affair that didn’t seem overly magical at the time... was still great though ????

Haha! indeed, got onto that bit in the subsequent threads of the beast arriving! Think it kinda went... gfs saw it 1st... ecm smoothed out the details and the ICON nailed it (as such) atmospherically!??

It would seem that back in 2018 post SSW the gfs picked up on the BFTE 12 days before (modelled it 13th and hit us around the 25th) it hit our little island... might mean nothing but worth keeping an eye on what the gfs is saying in the coming days ???

just started reading through this in relation to the SSW and what was going on pre 2018 BFTE... interesting read and “somewhat” similar to current situation anyone struggling with model fatigue this could be a welcome break from the current ones ?? there is also archived threads from when the beast arrived which I’ve not got onto yet but could also be worth a deek ?? again in weather terms we are predicting lottery numbers so all the usual applies in terms of not being gospel etc could be epic though ??????

Ayup all! follow every year since the 2009/10 medley way back and can only agree that this year is feeling unusual in hopefully the best way possible!?? quick question... (in no way would I even put myself even at amateur level!) Swept up in all this (as I’m sure 99.9% of us are at the mo) what are the actual viable “consequences” should all things fall exactly into place in terms of what the models are showing? 46/47 62/63 etc etc have been thrown around over the years but almost in a “if only” sense... are we heading to something similar or maybe even worse if all things fall in place this time round? I mean, what would we ACTUALLY see in front of us should an easterly for real stretched from Russia all the way to Canada?(is that even possible?) anyway you catch my drift...hopefully? loving the drama good and bad as always (beats Emmerdale haha!) keep up the good work everyone ??? im based in North Yorkshire in the Nidderdale valley and it’s been very lack lustre here so far so guess I’m seeking some visions of a winter to remember haha! ryan

Hey peeps, anyone else notice the random advert spliced into the adverts on ITV last night from united utilities (water suppliers in Yorkshire)? must have been paid for and was quite a lengthy one about a guy not doing the “one job” he had to do which was to make sure he had clad his water pipes to protect them from freezing!!!...hmmmmm never see adverts from united utilities on’t telly???... do we think maybe they have some info of an up coming VERY cold spell maybe???

3 way split vortex!!!... have we seen this somewhere before???... sorry mods

Found this

Quick one to all those far FAR more knowledgeable than I... are there any other winters past that have had a similar timed SSW falling over our little isle with a split rather than a displacement? and if yes then what was that January/February/March period like for us? in other news... based in Strensall near York at the moment waiting for the snow but this wind is more of an issue than I thought it might be!!! Guess I got too caught up in chasing the snow to factor in anything else!!! Oops!!!??

Hi Steve Murr ?? Starting to feel very quiet in here and it’s the only thing getting me through my long days at work lol. do you or anyone else fancy having a guesstimating Stab at what will happen over Friday and Saturday? my brain has been fried over the last few days with the yes it will no it won’t posts regarding this weekend and now I’m at a loss what to think? thanks in advance, Ryan (long time lurker... love the show guys and gals ??)

The minutecast on accuweather is stating that it will start snowing in 10mins!!! Bit precise me thinks!?!... we shall see lol

Wind is howling here in Beeston and it seems like it’s trying to snow but not too sure if I’ve Been staring at the snow over yesterday to the point I’m getting ghost snowfall in my vision! Lol

Anyone got any updates on which models are performing best at the mo? or are they all a little dizzy with the current set up?

Just a quick question... Do the models factor in the recent eruption of popocatepetl in Mexico? as I remember reading that volcanic eruptions can cause a shift in winter weather somehow... or is this something that I made up???... sorry if off topic but if its something the models don't see/factor in then it could lead to a surprise further down the line.

Hi all, very rarely post on here but follow the rollercoaster every year in search of a uk snow fix. The Models as they are at the mo reminded me of a time a few years back (possibly 2009/2010) when all other models were saying no chance and the GFS being the only model to predict correctly at distance. Think it was literally a couple of days if not one day before that the other models switched and jumped on board. Not saying this is what is happening now, and like I said, it was some time back so I could be remembering it all wrong. Would be interesting if anyone else remembers this happening re our current situation!