[South West/Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 26/1/14 12z ------->]

4.3 here.

[South West/Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 26/1/14 12z ------->]

Only had a few Sleet showers so far tho evening.

[South West/Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 26/1/14 12z ------->]

Don't think we will get Snow here. Sledge still at the back of the Shed!!

[South West/Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 26/1/14 12z ------->]

Lovely clear Blue Sky,setting Sun and falling temp 6.1.

[South West/Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 1/1/14 18z ------>]

5.7 and Raining. Grey and Gloomy 

[South West/Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 1/1/14 18z ------>]

Looking like,Sledge MAY have to move from the back of the Shed to the Front??………….. Fingers crossed

[South West/Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 1/1/14 18z ------>]

My Cousin lives in New Jersey and they woke up to 15ins of Snow today………we haven't had 15 bloomin Flakes 

[The Winter 2013/14 ramping thread]

Looking slightly just slightly better..

 

If only…….one flake would do!!!

[South West/Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 1/1/14 18z ------>]

YES a big storm for the uk this sunday into monday

 

 

We do not need this storm with all this rain and wind.

Not looking good

[South West/Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 1/1/14 18z ------>]

No Fog, just Frost.

[South West/Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 1/1/14 18z ------>]

If only all this Rain was Snow………I wouldn't have to burn my Sledge (as some one said) 

[South West/Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 1/1/14 18z ------>]

We've had 16.0mm of rain so far today, really not needed here for sure. I find it interesting that Northern Ireland is under a weather warning for showers when, at least currently, the showers down here look much more potent!

I know,we have had some heavy ones here today. Must be terrible for you,go to Thorney lakes a lot with the Caravan for weekend getaways and know a couple that live not far up the road from Thorney.

[South West/Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 1/1/14 18z ------>]

Sledge from back of the Shed to front…..???? or  only time will tell..again.

[South West/Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 1/1/14 18z ------>]

Frost,Fog and Ice all in one go.

[South West/Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 1/1/14 18z ------>]

SO fed up with this Weather, in need of some lamp post watching followed by a Snow Day…….please!  (i know,not a chance  but we can hope,after all ,it's hope that keeps us all alive!!) lol.

[Model Output Discussion - 10th Jan Onwards]

I'm trying to remain as reserved as possible here re any colder weather because we've all been put through the mill over the last week. But the early timeframe here is so crucial to how the pattern could develop, for newbies I'd advise you to keep a close eye on this area circled red:

 

ECH1-96.gif

 

As you can see on this chart you've got the darker blues , so you lose some of the forcing on the low, essentially here we're trying to get that low further south and west.

 

So we would need to see the high further nw and extending a ridge into that area this acts like a weight pressing down on the low and increasing the chance of it disrupting sooner.

 

If you look at those ECM postage stamps you will likely find a strong correlation between where the high is and how it ridges across to that area with the colder outcome, of course we also have upstream changes we'd like to see but in terms of the early part of the outputs that circled red area is certainly very important.

Thank you!!!!!!!!  Had not a clue as to what on earth was going on!!!! Makes sense. Newbie and have been a lurker on here for a few years .

[South West/Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 1/1/14 18z ------>]

I would keep the sledge right at the back of the shed if I were you, unless your off to the alps that is...

Oh,ok………. More waiting then oh well.

[South West/Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 1/1/14 18z ------>]

My god,it's gone mad on the Mod output thread,over 1000 members!!!! looks very interesting……..might dig out the Sledge!!!?????

[South West/Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 1/1/14 18z ------>]

OMG!!!!!! WOW!!!! Everything nearly White with Hail, Fork Lightning,Thunder,Rain!!!! Black as your Hat out there. 

[South West/Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 1/1/14 18z ------>]

How much more can we have thrown at us!!!!!?????????

[South West/Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 15/12/13 18z ------>]

Happy New Year from Deepest Darkest Somerset  Had Thunder and Lightning most of the evening and a few Flashes just after Midnight. Christmas Eve AND Christmas Day……………..T&L…….Had more T&L, this Winter than in the Summer

[South West/Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 15/12/13 18z ------>]

Just finished doing the Veg for Xmas Lunch and stood doing the Washing up and it's Lightning !! The Cars are covered in Frost and Ice,Stars are out and the Moon (cloud in the distance,South ) Thats a first,for me, Lightning on Christmas Day !!!!!!! 

[South West/Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 15/12/13 18z ------>]

gone a bit stupid out there!!!!!!!!!

[South West/Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 15/12/13 18z ------>]

Getting worse here, wind wise, not too much Rain at the mo

[South West/Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 15/12/13 18z ------>]

Going to be an interesting day