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Everything posted by booferking
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Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
booferking replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Maybe time to get a job in the metoffice rewrite the rule books and recalibrate them 5 trillion pound computers Main while the control has other ideas. -
Winter 2023/24 Chat and Discussion
booferking replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
booferking replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
booferking replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
booferking replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Why is 00z always progressive *Data*? Early morning fatigue -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
booferking replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The difference is the heights north of scandi and the area of very cold air forcing the lows under compare to 12z. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
booferking replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The thing is Exeter didn't say no and mentioned alot of uncertainty? -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
booferking replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Wouldn't be calling anything for a few days yet very volatile anything could happen some very blocked gefs. https://www.meteociel.fr/cartes_obs/gens_panel.php?modele=0&mode=1&ech=168 -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
booferking replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Oh what have we got here then weak vortex not at it usual home weakened jet and Atlantic pressure building close to UK and over scandi. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
booferking replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
This is my point also its for the broader scale of Northern hemisphere and won't pick up micro scale blocking the Atlantic could become active which is very likely but the vortex is weak and so is the jet stream plus running south throw up a small ridge north of us and we end up on cold side of the jet prolong the cold spell. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
booferking replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Plenty of blocking options on the eps 192hr think the ops are being to progressive. Meteociel - Panel ECMWF/CEP WWW.METEOCIEL.FR -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
booferking replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The block still trying to hold on in 18z ens we see what tomorrow brings. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
booferking replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
booferking replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The same gfs that picked up the northerly then the greenland heights leading to the cold spell lol and it's getting shoot to bits again -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
booferking replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
It's the signal tho to follow and there trying to build height rises North - NE of the uk -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
booferking replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
booferking replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
It's what happens with the lows forming off ESB & South of Greenland at the weekend that leads us to next week that needs watched early on. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
booferking replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
booferking replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
booferking replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
That low Saturday @120hr looks to be sliding further south run by run this could turn into a highly potential cold spell ukmo look absolutely baltic. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
booferking replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
There's some extremely cold runs there on 1.5m temp lots of ice days and absolutely baltic at night. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
booferking replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The Thursday low will be hitting morocco if it adjusts any further souththe south has no chance of that low hitting but will see snow shower activity once the Easterly winds set in. -
Met Office and BBC Weekly/Monthly Outlooks
booferking replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
If that's the weekly forecast it mentioned possibilty of laying snow to low laying areas Thurs and further on into weekend. BBC iPlayer - Weather for the Week Ahead - 26/11/2023 WWW.BBC.CO.UK The latest weather forecast. -
Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
booferking replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
As whole picture the high is much stronger on the last ARPEGE was thinking was posting in wrong thread for minute there happens every year.