lamppost watcher

Absolute filth

Should be even better than here then. Bit higher up mate

If it pivots as predicted then it follows Mets prediction

In llanishen which is north cardiff so within the Amber zone. Side streets totally white and snow coming down nicely. From what I see on the met office the heaviest precipitation is for the next 3 or 4 hours. Think south cardiff struggling to get a dusting at the moment but that should change soon

Seems like the right time to bring this one out

Get the Bantz on!!!

ECM totally different again in medium range. What's the point in worrying about it?

A semi

Tuesday is a long way away with regard to the weather. Seen these situations upgrade plenty of times in the past

The weather models are like a ride in an amusement park, and when you choose to go on it you think it's real because that's how powerful our minds are. The ride goes up and down, around and around, it has thrills and chills, and it's very brightly colored, and it's very loud, and it's fun for a while. Many people have been on the ride a long time, and they begin to wonder, "Hey, is this real, or is this just a ride?" And other people have remembered, and they come back to us and say, "Hey, don't worry, it's just one run. The trend is our friend, and it's looking bloody great!" Bill Hicks (if he was into the weather)

That'll do pig, that'll do

But you have to agree, when Steve says the gfs will do this or that because of its bias, more often than not he is usually correct

@Shaftesbury Snow The "respected forecasters" you mention are what makes this forum worth coming on here for. This is the hunt for cold thread, and hunt it they do in earnest. Nobody comes on here expecting guarantees, as far as I know, but for an insight into what the possibilities are and where the route to cold may be.

This dude is American though so could he be talking about his own backyard? Also, la nina/el nino not though only driver

Quite a difference to the tilt and northern extent of the high at t126 on gfs. 12z first

A nice split of pv shown on the 18z compared to 12 z same time at t180 gfs

Game on at t348. They do say mid Jan is the landing zone

GFS looking a bit better than the 6z at 156h

Think man with beard means that the low in that picture would give 10 times what is shown as the same system in warmer temp would give an inch of rain. That's how I read it anyway

Ahhh! Haha...ok ok you got me!

Seems a bit defeatist mate?Also thanks Gtltw...much appreciated!

Thanks Nick, long time lurker on this forum but newbie here wrt weather charts...could you explain why there are so many conflicting charts on the current models? I know most are in FI but it seams like quite a close time frame at the mo and usually out to day 5 is pretty solid Cheers, Rory

I have tried to scan through last few hours of comments but can't work out where we stand? Has there been an upgrade or some sort of agreement between any models? Regards Rory

Next Friday