lamppost watcher

gfs t144 0z This mornings gfs

Brian Gaze's comment this morning.... There look like 3 outcomes late next week. Cold spell, cold snap or it stays milder! The computer models are having difficulty pinning down the pattern which develops across the UK and Western Europe. I’m still favouring a cold snap with the most wintry conditions in the north. A cold snap I’d define as lasting a few days. Nonetheless, I’d say the chances of a cold spell have increased, as have the chances of it remaining milder, especially in the south. So to conclude, it’s now looking like a 3 way race, with cold snap remaining the favourite.

Day 3-5 met office update this morning mentions wintry showers up north Monday, rather cloudy, some light showers, mainly in the northwest. Mostly light rain edging southeastwards through Tuesday and Wednesday. Showers following, perhaps wintry over high ground in the north. Looking forward to a possible upgrade for day 6-15

At t216 the south holding on to the cold uppers

Crazy difference Mucka...Please God let the ECM be correct V cold uppers down to Birmingham area at t168 <img src='http://images.meteociel.fr/im/4712/ECM0-168_qkg5.GIF' border=0>

http://images.meteociel.fr/im/272/ECM0-144_zjy1.GIF T144 850 temps Looking good

I don't think anyone is saying the northerly is nailed on, people are suggesting possibilities and using charts to back up their forecasts....better than just writing it off with no evidence just pessimism.

I know this is cheeky and that this forum isn't the place for it but...I'm getting married on Monday in Cardiff. What kind of weather can We expect? Would appreciate your expert opinions

bah humbug