lamppost watcher
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Posts posted by lamppost watcher
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2 minutes ago, Jayfromcardiff said:
I'm in Thornhill.
Should be even better than here then. Bit higher up mate
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2 minutes ago, Panayiotis said:
Coming down nicely here in Cardiff, settling on cars and pavements...that band of ppn to the south looks nice hoping it comes this way!
If it pivots as predicted then it follows Mets prediction
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In llanishen which is north cardiff so within the Amber zone. Side streets totally white and snow coming down nicely. From what I see on the met office the heaviest precipitation is for the next 3 or 4 hours. Think south cardiff struggling to get a dusting at the moment but that should change soon
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Get the Bantz on!!!
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ECM totally different again in medium range. What's the point in worrying about it?
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2 minutes ago, I remember Atlantic 252 said:
Is that a Murr sausage?
A semi
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3 minutes ago, WalsallWeather123 said:
What I'm most disappointed about is that Tuesday seems to be almost nailed on as a rain event looking at majority of models when it had an oppurtunity for significant accumulations with heavy precipitition. Everything else is too far in FI.
Tuesday is a long way away with regard to the weather. Seen these situations upgrade plenty of times in the past
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The weather models are like a ride in an amusement park, and when you choose to go on it you think it's real because that's how powerful our minds are. The ride goes up and down, around and around, it has thrills and chills, and it's very brightly colored, and it's very loud, and it's fun for a while. Many people have been on the ride a long time, and they begin to wonder, "Hey, is this real, or is this just a ride?" And other people have remembered, and they come back to us and say, "Hey, don't worry, it's just one run. The trend is our friend, and it's looking bloody great!"
Bill Hicks (if he was into the weather)
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15 minutes ago, January Snowstorm said:
@Steve Murr I back the gfs because my years on this forum (and I go back to snow watch) tells me the gfs is every bit as good as the other top two. I don't believe in slating a model to be popular rather what I see
I also believe the gfs precipitation charts can be exceptionally good. It's my opinion not saying I'm any more right than you
But you have to agree, when Steve says the gfs will do this or that because of its bias, more often than not he is usually correct
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The "respected forecasters" you mention are what makes this forum worth coming on here for. This is the hunt for cold thread, and hunt it they do in earnest. Nobody comes on here expecting guarantees, as far as I know, but for an insight into what the possibilities are and where the route to cold may be.
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6 minutes ago, ArHu3 said:
Apperently we are back to neutral even more Nina conditions
This dude is American though so could he be talking about his own backyard? Also, la nina/el nino not though only driver
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Think man with beard means that the low in that picture would give 10 times what is shown as the same system in warmer temp would give an inch of rain. That's how I read it anyway
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Ahhh! Haha...ok ok you got me!
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Seems a bit defeatist mate?a bit of a northerly then thats it for winter it would seem....
Also thanks Gtltw...much appreciated!
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Thanks Nick, long time lurker on this forum but newbie here wrt weather charts...could you explain why there are so many conflicting charts on the current models? I know most are in FI but it seams like quite a close time frame at the mo and usually out to day 5 is pretty solid
Cheers,
Rory
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I have tried to scan through last few hours of comments but can't work out where we stand? Has there been an upgrade or some sort of agreement between any models?
Regards
Rory
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Next Friday
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Model output discussion - late November
in Forecast Model Discussion
Posted
Absolute filth