[The Midlands Regional Discussion 10/02/13 17z ------->]

heavy snow here ... stickkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkk how do i find the dew point for my area

[The Midlands Regional Discussion 10/02/13 17z ------->]

not even starting to stick here, is it possible to when the grounds so wet

[The Midlands Regional Discussion 10/02/13 17z ------->]

wet snow here now, do we know how long the precipitation will last and does anyone have a link to a website that can gibe real time temperatures

[The Midlands Regional Discussion 10/02/13 17z ------->]

Sleeting quite heavily now here in Brierley Hill, starting to settle on bin lid and cars etc.

amazing your only up the road and its stil rainy sleet here

[The Midlands Regional Discussion 10/02/13 17z ------->]

i wish it would just turn to snow grrrrrr

[The Midlands Regional Discussion 10/02/13 17z ------->]

just been out and it is slowly turning to sleet here hopefully will keep going

[The Midlands Regional Discussion 05/02/13 08z ------->]

just been out to tidy car and it feels bitterly cold, which is strange as still showing nearly 4c

[The Midlands Regional Discussion 05/02/13 08z ------->]

temp is dropping now 0.5 degrees in an hour

[The Midlands Regional Discussion 05/02/13 08z ------->]

Temperature still rising here

[The Midlands Regional Discussion 05/02/13 08z ------->]

It's chopped and changed today from rain to sleet to heavy snow and back to sleet all in 8 hours???

[Winter Model Output Discussion -12Z 07/02/13 onwards]

Met office APPS, Links & 5 days update twice a day after the UKMO Raw data 00z & 12z-(IIRC)

so thats whys its changed-

12z ECM @ 48 V UKMO 48

ECM

UKMO

Very similar- ECM further Swest

S

Thanks Steve so this is positive for the West Mids

[Winter Model Output Discussion -12Z 07/02/13 onwards]

Still looking marginal on the models for the West Midlands. Although I fancy an upgrade/widening of the snow area tomorrow as the colder air being dragged in floods south....

We can hope :-)

[Winter Model Output Discussion -12Z 07/02/13 onwards]

Met office is now showing heavy snow to my area from 15,00hrs Sunday is was showing as rain/sleet 2 hours ago. Wonder what charts they have seen for this

[Winter Model Output Discussion -12Z 07/02/13 onwards]

What is strange about the warning update is the areas covered on Monday. This would indicate that the low will not slip SE as previously forecast and will instead take a more West to East Trajectory? This also has ramifications on any easterly early in the week etc. Or maybe Im reading too much into it?!

its changed the warnng area but is still forecasting rain/sleet

[Winter Model Output Discussion -12Z 07/02/13 onwards]

I'm confused, it doesn't take much. I've just had a look at BBC/met office etc who aren't really showing any snow just sleet for west mids area, yet the charts here from what I gather are showing something may happen. Are they just being cautious? Or are we getting over excited and hoping? Sorry again for the basic question

[WInter Model Output Discussion 12z- 28/01/2013]

Not heard much regarding the SSW lately, are the charts beginning to show its effects, or could they still, or did it not have the impact we thought it would. Would be interesting to know your thoughts

[WInter Model Output Discussion 12z- 28/01/2013]

I've been nosing at the charts and reading posts, just wandered, based on the charts what chance, percentage wise people think there is of having another significant cold/snow period

He that makes sense..long day!

[WInter Model Output Discussion 12z- 28/01/2013]

That 528 line just IMBY will take that as a start to Feb.

Hi I'm new to this can you explain why that line is significant ...thankyou :-)

[Winter Model Discussion 12Z 22/1/13 onwards.]

Hi all, Is there a consensus on here as to which charts and runs are the most reliable. I'm trying to get to grips with them and it would be useful to know what everyone thinks...

[Winter Model Discussion 12Z 22/1/13 onwards.]

Welcome to NW, Dibdabbers...

Please can you pop your location into your profile??

Thankyou and done

A definite forecast can approximately be obtained at 12 hours in cold/blocked synoptics and 144 hours when mild Atlantic bilge kicks in...hope this helps.

Thankyou

[Winter Model Discussion 12Z 22/1/13 onwards.]

Hi, personally I don't tend to rely on anything past 72 hours and even at 72 the models change..... Hard one to call really especially right now with the SSW....

I thought that was about right, the models have been fascination lately as im trying to piece together how they work

[Winter Model Discussion 12Z 22/1/13 onwards.]

I love weather watching (particularly snowy weather) and have been following this forum this winter. I have learnt a lot from everyone even though you can be a bit scary to newcomers. Anyway my question regarding charts is at what timescale can you pin the charts down to a definate forecast and has there been a time when the weather has well and truly defied what the charts have forecast.

Apologies that this is a basic question I very new.