Lincslad
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Posts posted by Lincslad
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I think its fair to say that any sigificant snow risk has now diminised and the cold will begin to slowly moderate over next 10 days.
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From the Mod thread, ECM precip for 4th April, could be interesting!
And of course it's not getting noticed by anyone, because it's the south that would be affected, nobody else!
This feature has cropped up on a couple of frames now. Too far out to say whether this will be snow and where its likely to affect. However, these small features tend to track NE and skim the SE rather than the SW.
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Temp has recently fallen to 1.5C at Jersey Airport and precipitation is becoming more wintry
There is snow falling and settling across the water in France. Its now 0.5c in Alderney and snow is begining to settle - albit very wet. Jersey may see some wet snow, but this is unlikely to accumulate to anymore than a slushy 1-2cm.
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Our local shipping forecast (just updated) is forecasting the risk of snow near the french coast. It's still sleeting here now so I wouldn't be too surprised to see some of the white stuff here
overnight especially if Alderney has already had some
Local temps have fallen in Jersey over the past hour to 2c and 0.8c in Alderney, where it is now snowing but not settling. They maybe some snow in Jersey later for you.
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Yes, the front currently to the South of Cornwall is weakening and pushing away. Temps in Truro are 2.8c and 2.6c in Jersey where it is either raining or sleeting. There was a period of snow in Alderney earlier where temps were 1.6c.
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Temps have risen in Jersey and S Cornwall over the past hour. Confirms that any precipitation is of rain.
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Yes DP are 0 degree, but surface temps are around 3 degrees. Slightly cooler on Sark, where its 2.3 degrees.
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Its rain at Jersey Airport. Temps are 3.1 degrees.
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Rain in southern Cornwall will push away later. Very unlikely to bring any settling snow.
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looking like Jersey could get a pasting again according to those charts
It will be wet in Jersey. Local temps are around 5 degrees at present.
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Yes looks like more snow and Gales for them tomorrow
With temps of 7 degrees there today, i would say it will be wet and windy in Jersey tomorrow, not snowy.
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The ECM shows midlands southwards does not stay milder for long with colder 850 temps returning before the end of next week.
Indeed, but with a lack of lying snow and the strength of the sun, surface temps can actually rise quite well. This happens in tundra landscapes every spring. Will be cold nights though.
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The models continue the colder weather for somewhat longer, but the threat of significant snowfall has now reduced in the outlook with temps moderating slightly next week.
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Where you from mate?
Lincolnshire, but work in SW quite a bit.
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Any snow will fade over next hour or so.
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I do feel sorry for those who live along the east coast this spring and early summer following this extended cold spell.. When, eventually, conditions do warm up, there will be a horrendous amount of sea mist/fog and low cloud plag
uing eastern areas everytime the wind is from an easterly
direction thanks to those North Sea temperatures being so subdued. Given synoptic patterns that could be a very frequent occurrence indeed, more so than normal.
Potentially, but the sea temps are not that difference to previous years. This is generally the coldest the N Sea gets. Mid may will see those sea temps slowly rise.
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The radar is looking busy :-) .... Shower of two today maybe and a light dusting on Friday is on the cards for us in Cornwall .
Maybe on Bodmin. Very little, if any, will settle at low levels - especially during the day.
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Updated 120hr fax
How much further can it get in..
Could make further inroads, but any precipitation would be restricted to the SW and S Wales.
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Any shower activity was only going to be light and patchy. No significant falls. Most places will get a dusting but nothing more.
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I think we are all flicking through the frames speechless with mouths open.
Yes it`s T192hrs but look
-8C uppers into April-this is just so unusual considering the
length of time this could go on.
Unusual in terms of our general clinatic pattern, but not unusual given our latitude.
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The cold and dry theme to continue for sometime. This should moderate through April. Polar air across Iceland and N Europe normally does every year around early to Mid April as the sun strengthens. Even tundra landscapes can become locally warm in strong sun under -8 uppers.
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Cornwall and S. Devon is unlikely to see any settling snowfall. However further inland - say Dartmoor, S Somerset and N Dorset may see a slight dusting. Local onshore wind and Atlantic will tempar coastal temperatures.
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Any precipitation that manages to get into the SW will be largely rain or sleet. Any sweet spot for temporary snowfall would be Dartmoor come friday. Thereafter, mainly rain.
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In terms of shower potential, the east wind will relax in Eastern Scotland and NE England through tomorrow therefore the showers will become fewer here. Further south acorss Yorks and Lincs it is a case of a light flow of preciptation, which will fall as sleet and snow. Any settling snow will be reserved to higher ground and inland areas. I believe the Metoffice latest warning reflects this.
Model Output Discussion - Heading Away From Easter
in Forecast Model Discussion
Posted
Well, it shoukd become slightly warmer. At low levels temos are reaching 8c even with pretty low uppers, so i can only see them getting warmer really. In terms of weather, i believe any breakdown of the cold will introduce more unsettled conditions.