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storm1080

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Everything posted by storm1080

  1. storm1080
    £500 extra to leave 2 days early on holiday, just so I can have some of this heat before models change, off to west central france...Worth it? I'm tempted
  2. storm1080
    I agree with this, a lot could even hinge on T+24, even this close is it a dead cert that the iberian low will pivot underneath anti clockwise that other low, then go off on its rather convulted journey down to spain and back up to us...?
  3. storm1080
    @tempestas you seen france at T180 yikes! Fi zone I know
  4. storm1080
    you refering to +45 mins ago or just now
  5. storm1080
    we're both looking at this from the same viewpoint too ;-)
  6. storm1080
    Interesting latest GFS chart with precip chats loaded, seem to do away with any LP rotation post T93
  7. storm1080
    GFS 6z T93 has this iberian low more strung out N to S...vs previous run
  8. storm1080
    Is there an outside chance at GFS 00z T51 of the low NOT being cut off...or is it highly probable it will track from Canada (where it is just leaving now) to france, spain Still set for a bumpy flight 500 miles south Thurs 25th by the looks of things
  9. storm1080
    On the latest 00z GFS I struggle to see where the cutoff low actually ends up, seems to dissapear once it reaches Spain, it's the area at the top of the azores high that concerns me more..
  10. storm1080
    I think that if you're taking your kids on hols w/c 29th and you don't frequent here, you may be in for a shock. One thing having dry cooler 25c, but 20c and frequent showers.....(this is deep in GFS FI though)
  11. storm1080
    At T135 on the now ageing 00z GFS run, that iberian low at T135 is so much lower in line with central spain, compared to previous run when it was level halfway up france... Captain I agree about that low, after all, it's still over Newfoundland as we speak, though at T48 GFS seems pretty adamant it gets cut off...
  12. storm1080
    and thats just the GFS, you shd see the ECM..
  13. storm1080
    One thing I truly love about this thread is Frosty's posts and enthusiasm for the ECM! What are your thoughts about after Fri 26th... or other models...
  14. storm1080
    I see no question of really hot weather continuing to the 27th with occassional severe wx..then it will change 27th, I too have been watching the 27th with interest given its the first weekend of my holiday, and all the charts , well aprt from UKMO have this mass of cooler/yellow,less orange air coming. I am intrigued as to what could happen to change that I'm flying, prob aorund 25000 ft from Southampton to La Rochelle Thurs 25th, me thinks the pilot will have to navigate around some "big stuff"
  15. storm1080
    Think I'll be out chasing later..., up M3 Winchester way,..
  16. storm1080
    I think the issue is what happens post 23/7 , all that [wait for my technical term] - green air on the 850 UKMO chart near Iceland/Greenland is coming SE to us?
  17. storm1080
    My parents live 45 mins inland from La Rochelle, west central France, I think they're dreading next week...
  18. storm1080
    They're already here, in the severe thread mention of cells near Basingstoke.
  19. storm1080
    Wow, superb, storms today...Gotta say , this inbound iberian low early next week should cause mayhem, it stalls west of brest, then sinks to spain, then comes back up to us again..plumecity...
  20. storm1080
    GFS 12z has iberian low on a more northerly track so far T120 has centre level at top of france vs centre , don't know if we can call it iberian anymore, oh ok.. T150 we can, it sinks southwards once more...
  21. storm1080
    In laymans terms does it seem like both ECMWF and GFS agree on this undercutting low system heading towards portugal, the low is currently over canada, coming underneath the current high we have, current high we have dissapates and the low tracks NE...replacing it? The track seems agreed upon by both...can the system build/diminish by then?
  22. storm1080
    Sferic on that animation lol
  23. storm1080
    Makes you wonder where it will really kick off after this weather, recall those amazing storms over Germany/Denmark last month - and that as well, kill two birds with one stone
  24. storm1080
    Latest 6z GFS...I'm up Portsdown Hill Mon evening and a burger from Mick's van, getting my deckchair out and selling tickets for admission lol - Kerboom (that's a technical term)
  25. storm1080
    T147 seems to have the life squeezed out of the biscay iberian low compared to 0z last GFS
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