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kaz

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    Watching The Channel Low

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted · Edited by kaz

    rain has cleared from me now so no chance of snow, still will prob get windy later on but no more ppn it did clear sooner than i thought it would. which is a shame as if i had of been able to hang onto the ppn for a while im sure it would have turned to snow

    kaz x

    Watching The Channel Low

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    Thanks in general (including PMs) ... Kaz, you are definitely going to see much stronger wind and sleet turning to snow in your area, the low centre is about to move far enough east in the Channel to bring your region into the strong NNE winds now starting to blow further to your west. It will come on fairly quickly, like old age (sadly) ...

    Ship report 100 kms southwest of Brest is saying 80 knots from 120 (ESE), I suspect, in fact I know, that these reports are probably reversed in direction under the stress of trying to navigate whatever vessel that is through the hurricane force winds, so read it as WNW 80 knots (sustained) and draw your own conclusions for the Channel Islands in four hours time.

    Otherwise the very strong winds appear to be WSW 60-90 mph across a large swath of France from around Nantes and Le Mans up to Paris, it won't get that bad in the Channel but probably will be pretty windy by 0300 around the Dover Straits, would suggest SW 40-70 mph for a brief time, don't think this will touch any part of Kent but you never know for sure, the low centre is shown crawling along the south coast from midnight to 0300 then east into Belgium.

    It's fun to have some winter weather for a change, isn't it?

    Just one other thing, this is more for novices than seasoned weather watchers, but this low will have quite an extensive calm centre like a sort of hurricane eye (but it's not as tightly wound as a hurricane), anything inside the 980 mb contour if you're watching meteociel.fr pressure unfold, should remain under 20 knots. This may extend onto land, so we don't want to keep reading from people along the south coast "I thought it was supposed to be very windy" because it will be, just wait for the centre to go past. Then it will suck in air from the north at a rapid rate to replace all that air that is going up into the atmosphere over Paris and over that way. But at some point in the next few hours, people in the IOW and Sussex coast will be seeing a sharp drop in windspeed, maybe almost calm for an hour or two, then it will haul around to NNW and back to NNE picking up to 35-60 mph. The low tide around 0700 could see the water pushed unusually far out from the south coast harbours as a result. But the Wash and some other parts of the east coast could have a very high tide around 0100-0200 tonight with the strengthening NE wind.

    Wow thanks roger you should be a teacher think i have learn more form you in the last few days than all the yrs on here have to say snow is defo not my thing as we never norm get any so never get the practice :lol: ..

    I agree with the hurricane type eye because that is exactly how it feels.. It does also feel like something is going to go boom here very soon it has been scarcely quiet here so far.. Now i know where the low is .. Still cant believe i lost it feel such a twit, how can someone loose a massive low system .. Me thats who. :nonono:

    thanks again hun take care

    Kaz x

    Watching The Channel Low

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    hi im on call again tonight so might be called out .. can someone tell me if conditions here are going to get better.? or is this the calm before the storm.. sorry i know its a pain in de bum when people ask but i need to know in case i have to go out. No snow no winds just lt drizzel thanks for any help

    kaz x

    Watching The Channel Low

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    you might find your in the center of the LP. give it an hour or 2 then see :D
    Kaz it's because we are right under the centre of the low i.e. in the eye of it. As it clears the wind will pick up ...

    :) how daft do i feel now :D .... I lost the low thought it was in the channel somewhere :) ... I will let you know if it picks up .. The ppn is moving away??? or am i looking at that all wrong to :D

    thanks for the reply's lol kaz x

    Snow Watch: Cymru And South West England

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    I know! As for winter storms, I've seen better storms in a tea cup! rain is just what it does up here, nothing out of the ordinary... Pah! :o

    I know very sad after all that build up ive not even got a leaf moving here where is the storm force 9 that was forecast .. very embarrassing for the met and bbc.. I cant even find the low anywhere where's it gone.. ??

    last time i will take any notice of the weather warnings should have gone with my gut feelings

    kaz x

    Snow Watch: Cymru And South West England

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    here

    sleet, precipitation of small, partially melted grains of ice. As raindrops fall from clouds, they pass through layers of air at different temperatures. If they pass through a layer with a temperature below the freezing point, they turn into sleet. Snowflakes that have melted by passing through a warm layer will turn into sleet if they then pass through a freezing layer. Sleet often falls together with snow and rain, and may deposit an icy coating on exposed surfaces. Sleet occurs only during the winter, while hail, a different form of icy precipitation, may fall at any time of the year.

    Snow Watch: Cymru And South West England

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    hi this the shipping forecast

    Niton Gale Warnings:

    RADIO GALE WARNING MONDAY 09 FEBRUARY 0954 UTC BISCAY SOUTHWESTERLY GALE FORCE 8 INCREASING SEVERE GALE FORCE 9 IMMINENT, VEERING WESTERLY AND INCREASING VIOLENT STORM FORCE 11 SOON

    FITZROY SEVERE GALE FORCE 9 VEERING WESTERLY AND INCREASING VIOLENT STORM FORCE 11 IMMINENT

    SOLE NORTHERLY SEVERE GALE FORCE 9 IMMINENT, INCREASING STORM FORCE 10 SOON

    LUNDY NORTHERLY SEVERE GALE FORCE 9 EXPECTED SOON

    FASTNET NORTHEASTERLY GALE FORCE 8 IMMINENT, BACKING NORTHERLY AND INCREASING SEVERE GALE FORCE 9 SOON

    Snow Watch: Cymru And South West England

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted · Edited by kaz

    you never know it might get more wide spread and end up in different places just like last week...

    though you cant nick my snow ;)

    ive got about 6 dumper trucks on my way up to you and the others .. they have orders to pinch all snow and then im going to surround my house with it ;):cold:

    i will believe we are going to get snow when the sheep are gone from the top fields .. ;)

    who needs radar's and chart eh? just watch the sheep ;)

    not had much rain just heavy drizzel and very calm.... right off to do a work out . all this chart watching makes one flabby

    kaz x

    Snow Watch: Cymru And South West England

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    i was never expecting snow in north devon .. Just as well as we are not going to get any. I am more worried about those winds that are on there way..and the risk of flooding.. The only places in the south west which is likley to get snow/sleet is Exmoor Dartmoor and maybe a dusting up there on Bodmin, Otherwise it is again M4 up up and away ... For the rest of us lucky people (not) here in the SW heavy rain and gale force winds.

    kaz x

    Snow Watch: Cymru And South West England

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    Don't forget that the last low was progged to be further north and in reality it was further south, leaving Dartmoor, North Devon and above in some lovely snow, I have some confidence in that happening again possibly...

    H Matt.. Thanks for the mention :cold: ... But in truth its not the snow im worried about its the strength of the winds mon into tue, I can see the wind is going to be a major talking point over the next few days.. Add snow into the mix then we have some very potent blizzards now take away the snow and add rain then we are looking at flooding. What ever happends regarding the type of PPN we are looking at a very exciting few days. Thoughts please :doh:

    lol kaz x

    Snow Watch: Cymru And South West England

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted · Edited by kaz

    I'm not bothered if it snows or not to be honest. If it does then i'm happy,

    i fell around laughing when read this from our Jay.... Talk about reverse psychology.. Jay the day your not worried about snow i will eat my hat (if i had one) thanks for making me laugh :lol: oh dogs thank you for wanting to share your snow... you have had are grit and salt so suppose its only fair

    lol kaz

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