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Bartlett High

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    Wales/Cymru Regional Weather Discussion

    in Wales / Cymru weather discussion

    Posted

    20 hours ago, keithlucky said:

    Other snow risk maps agree with this for Saturday ATM.The problem is nobody knows how fast east this front will get.We normally get west ward correction of the front, if it  even makes it to Wales! We also HP ,moving towards UK.From the N East ,Plus Greenland High building ,total bloody confusion.Enjoy the mild weather while it lasts.

    Trouble is we've been getting stellar winter synoptics since mid December and it's now 12th Jan!....cold always 10 days away! 

    • Like 1

    Wales/Cymru Regional Weather Discussion

    in Wales / Cymru weather discussion

    Posted

    26 minutes ago, A Frayed Knot said:

    Thursday into next week then onwards  Next week week backbinto cold and very wintry and 3rd phase of SSW. Also don't go in the mad thread as they are all ramping do mongers who just post so much dung to get a like and bump up there premium likes... What a sad world they live in. Also the Sausage has been booted I think.. What a Murr that was. Never mind it will be Spring soon and I cannot wait and then Summer. I know we are all peeved of with the weather not doing what we want it to do but I have been isolating in my bubble for 20 days due to family members with symptoms of 19..

     

    27 minutes ago, A Frayed Knot said:

    Thursday into next week then onwards  Next week week backbinto cold and very wintry and 3rd phase of SSW. Also don't go in the mad thread as they are all ramping do mongers who just post so much dung to get a like and bump up there premium likes... What a sad world they live in. Also the Sausage has been booted I think.. What a Murr that was. Never mind it will be Spring soon and I cannot wait and then Summer. I know we are all peeved of with the weather not doing what we want it to do but I have been isolating in my bubble for 20 days due to family members with symptoms of 19..

    Yes I saw Mr. MURR'S comment...bit out of order I thought and yes there is a lot of toy throwing going on so taking a break for a while. 

     

    Model output discussion - January cold spell ending, what next?

    in Forecast Model Discussion

    Posted

    4 minutes ago, Paceyboy said:

    The -40c 850s shown in Northern Siberia on the 18z GFS and their potential journey towards is fascinating, exciting but also a scary prospect.

    Let's face it, even if that airmass propelled itself toward us it would inevitably be moderated but if it was sort of -20c 850s for any period of time around 5 days or longer, this country would be in serious trouble. 

    I remember looking forward to the 2018 BFTE and when it came my boiler kept cutting out due to condensate pipe freezing and eventually the heating broke completely as a valve went in the CH system. Once this happened I was praying that the weather would warm up and go above freezing as my house was being kept above 10c by patio heaters etc and it was unbearably cold with the easterley near gale howling through our dog flap, that ironically faces east! 

    If a more severe, prolonged version occurred this year, especially in the main height of winter it would be incredible/ epic but would feel for people in peril. In these situations the cold can gain the upper hand and deliver such an impact on our normal routines and life, i.e. no thaw, heavy snows, burst pipes, unbearable windchill. The likes of which we never normally see.

    Having said that it would assist lockdown, reduce traffic and keep people inside.

     

    4 minutes ago, Paceyboy said:

    The -40c 850s shown in Northern Siberia on the 18z GFS and their potential journey towards is fascinating, exciting but also a scary prospect.

    Let's face it, even if that airmass propelled itself toward us it would inevitably be moderated but if it was sort of -20c 850s for any period of time around 5 days or longer, this country would be in serious trouble. 

    I remember looking forward to the 2018 BFTE and when it came my boiler kept cutting out due to condensate pipe freezing and eventually the heating broke completely as a valve went in the CH system. Once this happened I was praying that the weather would warm up and go above freezing as my house was being kept above 10c by patio heaters etc and it was unbearably cold with the easterley near gale howling through our dog flap, that ironically faces east! 

    If a more severe, prolonged version occurred this year, especially in the main height of winter it would be incredible/ epic but would feel for people in peril. In these situations the cold can gain the upper hand and deliver such an impact on our normal routines and life, i.e. no thaw, heavy snows, burst pipes, unbearable windchill. The likes of which we never normally see.

    Having said that it would assist lockdown, reduce traffic and keep people inside.

    Not to mention the difficulty in distribution of vital vaccines across the country. 

    • Like 2

    Model output discussion - Jan 3rd onwards

    in Forecast Model Discussion

    Posted

    4 minutes ago, sukayuonsensnow said:

    Is this low pressure on Friday worth watching as a potential snow event? Its not the first time GFS has highlighted this as a possibility.

    It really depends on how that low from the northwest interacts with us. Whether it keeps the energy, if a new low forms out of it, or whether it decays before it moves into England. Also how far east it gets.

    I don't know if it is that well supported though, could be a non-event for more southern areas. Something to watch at least.

    Screenshot 2021-01-04 at 22.56.43.png

    Ignore! Will be mainly dry and chilly rest of week and becoming slightly mildr next week.

    • Like 1
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