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Posts posted by Utahraptor
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Cell rumbling to my north.
Another huge cell is approaching from the south, just beyond the border.
It has made a decent amount of lightning strikes too, fingers crossed that it reaches here!
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This is the cell that hit me.
It made a bunch of flashes with some loud thunder, and unleashed the heaviest rainfall I have seen all year, with a bit oh hail mixed in too. There were some pretty strong winds before it hit.
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Just got a storm in NI not too long ago. I will upload pictures later if I can.
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Some Towering Cumulus to my west, feeling a bit humid as well.
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I doubt that I will see any storms though, it has just been fast moving low cloud and drizzle all day.
I guess I spoke too soon. A storm has now popped up in NW Ireland.
The low cloud has also mostly gone, and now I have a view of what looks like a Cb to my south west, although it is hard to make out...
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There is currently a group of big thunderstorms to the west of Ireland, I don't know if they will effect the UK. I doubt that I will see any storms though, it has just been fast moving low cloud and drizzle all day.
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Lightning strikes now detected towards the north west of Ireland
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There seems to be a lot of CAPE where I am on Friday, nice negative lifted index values as well. Hopefully it will be put into action, I'm really hoping so!
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Those in ROI maybe more interested in this:
Valid: 31/07/2013 1000z to 01/08/2013 0600z
Headline: ... THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE STORMS FORECAST ...
Synopsis
A slow-moving long-wave upper trough continues to amplify to the W and NW of Europe, warm air advection spreads north today behind warm front lifting north across the UK and Ireland this morning. A cold front moves in from the SW across Ireland this afternoon into an increasingly warm, humid and unstable airmass across Ireland and SW UK.
SLIGHT RISK FOR IRELAND
Warm and moist airmass will advect north across Ireland and Sern UK this afternoon behind warm front lifting north, with a plume of steeper lapse rates moving in from the SW across Ireland and SW UK at the same time. If the general cloudiness across Ireland clears this afternoon from the SW, then insolation will likely create an increasingly unstable atmosphere as lapse rates steepen atop of warm/moist airmass, with CAPE values of 500-900 j/kg possibly realised. If convection does develop, it will do so in an environment characterised by moderate deep layer shear with values of 30 to 50 knts and low-level shear of 20-30 knts ahead of approaching cold front. So any storm developing may have the potential to rapidly organise into line segments towards the cold front, with perhaps a supercell or two where cells are more discrete. Any storms may bring the risk of strong wind gusts, excessive rainfall with risk of flash-flooding and hail. Given low Lifted Condensation Levels (LCLs) below 600m, an increasingly moist boundary layer and marked backing of surface winds, strong storm-relative helicity could mean stronger updrafts produce rotating mesocyclones - perhaps lowering to produce a tornado or two. Therefore have issued a SLIGHT risk for Ireland.
SW ENGLAND, WALES and THE MIDLANDS
A more isolated risk of convection here this afternoon where cloud breaks occur above an increasingly warm and humid airmass, lapse rates may steepen enough to allow rising parcels high enough to form heavy showers and perhaps a few thunderstorms, with a risk of gusty winds, hail and flash-flooding.
Issued by: Nick Finnis
If only the risk was more to the north This would be great to see!
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Nice shots! I am amazed you can see into the future :-)
Haha I caught that mistake xD I fixed it now
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I managed to get another storm today in NI. It had a fairly nice structure to it, but it wasn't anything overly special. Looking forward to this Friday when the CAPE where I am looks like it will be the highest. Fingers crossed! -
I got yesterdays storms caught on video here in Down, Northern Ireland.
Got a nice still of a lightning strike too from the video.
Convective / Storm Discussion - 31st July onwards 2013
in Storms & Severe Weather
Posted · Edited by Utahraptor
I was thinking so myself The storm is much closer now, and it has retained its solid looking anvil. This thing looks like it is on a crash course with me!
Just heard a loud but distant rumble of thunder. Wind picking up now too!