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Snowy L

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Posts posted by Snowy L

  1. 8 minutes ago, B87 said:

    2018 was good in the south, the above doesn't sound good at all. The only precipitation that month was from dew, only 0.4mm for the entire month.

    Maybe your spot got extremely lucky dodging the showers. Met office description does say loads of thundery showers in late May and some in early June too.

     

    https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/binaries/content/assets/metofficegovuk/pdf/weather/learn-about/uk-past-events/summaries/uk_monthly_climate_summary_201805.pdf

     

    https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/binaries/content/assets/metofficegovuk/pdf/weather/learn-about/uk-past-events/summaries/uk_monthly_climate_summary_201806.pdf

  2. 4 minutes ago, B87 said:

    2018 was good in the south, the above doesn't sound good at all. The only precipitation that month was from dew, only 0.4mm for the entire month.

    Late May/early June had loads of thunderstorms with a similar pattern of high pressure to the North and shallow Iberian lows regularly bumping into the South

     

    CFSR_1_2018052212_1.pngCFSR_1_2018052606_1.pngCFSR_1_2018053006_1.pngCFSR_1_2018060606_1.png

    • Like 1
  3. 4 minutes ago, Weatherman_93 said:

    Met Office Long Range;

    Monday 29 May - Monday 12 Jun

    The most likely scenario for the end of May is for drier weather in the north, with an increased chance of periods of rain and possibly thunder in the south and southwest. Into June, high pressure is predicted to remain dominant, especially for northern areas, with cloud, rain and showers more likely to the south, although there is a level of uncertainty associated with this. An increased likelihood of above average temperatures for many.

     

    Looks like a 2018 repeat exact same time of year as well. Let's hope that continues into rest of June and July.

    • Like 2
  4. 13 minutes ago, richie3846 said:

    It's also down to us amateurs to understand the limitations, and learn and grow from that, instead of this constant bashing when things don't work out. 

    There is no excuse to have a nowcast saying it's sunny when you can just look out the window and see it's cloudy. 

    • Like 2
  5. 20 minutes ago, kold weather said:

    The models seem to be having having hard time down the line, howevwr Id be surprised if at some point soon a ridge doesn't push up more convincingly.

    My bigger uncertainty is where it lies, quite possible it ends up being too far north again and let's in LP through the backdoor into the south as the higher pressure zone pivots, then we are back to square one.

    However I really do think we need not get stuck in the mindset that just because it has been a poor Spring it doesn't mean that the same patter  will just march the whole way through summer. It will break at some point, probably quite suddenly. Of course, it doesn't mean it has to break in a favourable way either...

    It's hard to say what your average should be as there isn't isn't good official station nearby. Similar stations further south in Suffolk close to the coast currently have an average in the 16s for maxes, so I'd argue that that range of temperatures is probably a little under par for what you'd expect (probably a range of 15-19c would be more typical allowing anomalies daily 2c either side of normal.)

    It's been happening all Spring. Azores high takes weeks struggling to break north, but as soon as it makes it to the UK it quickly gets sucked north to the high latitudes. Impossible to hold onto a mid latitude block at the moment 

    • Like 1
  6. 41 minutes ago, I remember Atlantic 252 said:

    May is an overrated month, often more in 'winter' mode, wetter days especially mornings are milder than the sunnier/clear nights

    Summer is the other way round, wetter means cooler

    It's the best month for a UK high though. Temps in low twenties gradually building into mid twenties if the high sticks around, but you still get a good cool down overnight.

    • Like 2
  7. 9 minutes ago, Sunny76 said:

    Yeah it’s not been great has it.

    Plus, I was working yesterday, so talk about adding insult to injury lol.

    We need a good dry sunny spell for a week or so, and this spring has yet to achieve that. 
     

    2020/21 and 22 all produced at least a week or so of long sunny dry periods(irrespective of temps) by this stage of the year. 2021 had a terrible May, but a few days in April were nice, despite the cold, and last year late March was lovely. 
     

    Perhaps 2023 will make up for it with a nice sunny dry June. One can only hope.

    They will be back once we have a few weeks of nice warm temps in the mid to high 20s.

    If we win the lottery at work, I’m definitely relocating to another country. I like England, but the weather is naff.

    Sad thing we are normally just barely out of reach. Literally just move 200 miles Southeast into France and away from the Northwest coasts you are in a completely different climate most of the time. UK weather is so frustrating it has to be by design. We spend all winter chasing northern blocking then the second northern blocking isn't worth it is the time northern blocking is most likely.

  8. 2 hours ago, kold weather said:

    Down in the SE I think we have a legitimate chance of getting to the very top of the rankings list. A May with similar level of rainfall to April gets us real close, and we are off to the pace required as well.

    South looking at over half of May's average rainfall in 3 days. There was a nice map on twitter I can't find anymore, but widely showing 30mm+ in the next 3 days. Hosepipe bans are looking more ridiculous by the day.

     

     

    • Like 1
  9. 29 minutes ago, richie3846 said:

    19c and partly cloudy IS typical May weather.

    It's the lack of sun and decent temperature combination that's justifiably annoyed people. The two need to come together. If we had a 10 day sunny spell with temperatures around 16-19C I can guarantee almost everyone would be happy even if it's not 20+ warm. Today is a rare day when the rare above average day itself has not been a shower fest.

    • Like 4
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