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Everything posted by Bazray
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Outlook for the UK over the next 6-30 days UK Outlook for Saturday 24 Feb 2018 to Monday 5 Mar 2018: The weekend will be mostly dry, with frost and freezing fog patches clearing to give cold days with sunny spells. Snow flurries may develop across eastern and southern areas where a brisk easterly wind will make it feel bitterly cold. It may be less cold in the far northwest with some rain possible. Into next week it is likely to turn colder with brisk easterly winds, giving a significant wind chill, especially in the south and east. This will give the risk of further snow flurries, which may become heavier and more widespread. There is also the risk of more significant snow pushing northeastwards across southern and some central areas. The north and west will be brighter, and it may be less cold across the far northwest at times. Edit: just noticed this was posted on last page, sorry.
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Note to self, don't watch county file anymore.
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SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 11/02/2018 onwards
Bazray replied to Captain Shortwave's topic in Regional
Thats great - Thank you. -
SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 11/02/2018 onwards
Bazray replied to Captain Shortwave's topic in Regional
What time are the next charts out please? Is it 3, 6 and 10? thanks -
SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 11/02/2018 onwards
Bazray replied to Captain Shortwave's topic in Regional
Thank you - very good info. -
Thanks for sharing - very interesting.
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Met office forecast looking good. Dry, sometimes bright weather and light winds will predominate in the UK throughout next week, with increasing amounts of overnight frost. Rain or drizzle and stronger winds are possible at times in northwestern areas. Temperatures at the start of next week will be around average for the time of year, and probably slightly above average in the north. However, there will be a trend toward colder weather by the end of the week and into the following week, as winds turn predominately easterly. Wintry showers may develop,with the potential for some significant snowfalls focused on southern, central or eastern areas. The location and intensity of any snowfall will be uncertain until much nearer the time. UK Outlook for Thursday 1 Mar 2018 to Thursday 15 Mar 2018: In first week of March, it is likely to stay cold with widespread overnight frost. There will be a greater chance than usual of easterly winds, which would bring very cold weather at times and the potential for some snowfall in eastern and even southern parts. Unusually, it will probably be driest in the northwest. In the second week of March there are indications that it may become more changeable and less cold, with the wettest weather and mildest temperatures likely to be in the south or the southwest of the UK.
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Model output discussion - Post SSW - Will it turn cold?
Bazray replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The models are just a bunch of man made algorithms, Sort of like a calculator, but instead of being asked questions based upon fact, like what is the result of 1+1 it has to predict the outcome of events in the future, where the input of data has not been resolved yet. Trend is the friend here, not taking every run as gospel, because the fact is the model is just outputting a semi-educated guess till we get to a closer range and until then it will flip-flop from run-to-run.