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ancientsolar

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Everything posted by ancientsolar

  1. It looks like it's weakening as it heads South... however, the last band of snow showers that came South intensified for a time as it headed South of Hereford. i'm not sure if nocturnal cooling applies .. but it seemed it's effects were the same
  2. think that's what I can see from here,. it goes as far west as Pentwynmawr / Treowen (so it seems at the moment )
  3. not snowing in Blackwood, but a couple of miles to my East, I can see the valley and it's disappearing as what looks like snow / hail is hitting it
  4. potential low trying to develop over us ? (why is my chat underscoring , it's not even on)
  5. Looks like a nice area of snow , and expanding, going into Abergavenny and heading South - Blaenavon - Pontypool - Newport , Another fairly sizeable snow shower ready to hit monmouthshire
  6. Love the pictures being posted here! Let's hope we get some more snow tonight, some pushing in from the borders
  7. What are the chances we'll be discussing a similar output in 24hours ? Given the volatility of the last 24 hours ?
  8. Took this video, there may be more videos if I can find my memory cards,. I think I recorded other clips on my phone,. and probably a good few photos too. (life wouldn't be complete without trying to make a snowman with the snow from your shoe)
  9. Will a good snow dumping affect the the required uppers of currently -7 to -8 ? -- I wonder how significant -5 and -6 uppers would be to snow covered land? I believe the beast from the East when it started to break down lead to some very heavy snow events as the milder air clashed with the cold air.. nearly the whole of the UK , shown on a satellite was covered in snow.
  10. the 12z GFS ,. seems to always upgrade what was shown on the 06z ~~ let's hope I haven't cursed this now
  11. The way it is, wouldn't it allow to pick up more moisture from the atlantic. A South East tweak may allow colder air but perhaps lessen potential snow fall ?
  12. people say the models need to show uppers of -8 for us to get snow in (to lower level?) ~ If there is already lying snow, how much does this affect the requirement of the uppers?
  13. Much preferring this GFS run over the last 2 runs, ~ although I am very divided over this run compared to the 12:00 GFS from yesterday - this run seems to give us a bit more reliability regarding temperatures, - the 12:00 would appear to have given us an absolute pasting of snow and windB's .. but could have created a slush puppy for others -- now let's hope we get a final run in between the two of these runs !
  14. a little more intensification, I wouldn't be surprised if there's a bit of thundersnow still another 90 mins before sunrise, so a good chance for some to settle, - could be quite disruptive for some car journeys
  15. Observing some Seriously heavy looking sleet on the radar, coming in from the Ocean, is that the centre of a LP in the region ? In rain terms it's heavy.. but when that falls as snow.. it can look torrential
  16. some seriously heavy sleet coming into the North East England , looks like it's already turning to Snow , East of Manchester according to NWRadar
  17. seems to be troughs galore on this GFS How likely are they to be very heavy ? ~
  18. A slush puppy of snow on the bin lid this morning,. and a few solid flakes on top of fences.
  19. I have a video of that very storm here -- (if we get another, I promise a better video )
  20. Talking about severe and minor snow events.. It's often the snow showers that prove to be potent. 2004-2005 winter ,. I remember looking out of the college window, I said to my class mate, if that mountain (Welsh valley) disappears behind snow.. we're in trouble.. A snow shower came along 30mins later, everything covered, mountain/valley disappeared.. and we were all sent home. Now reading through the comments , the word "marginal" keeps showing up. If even a small cover of snow over a fairly decent sized area falls ,. how much impact will it have on the air temperature and the precipitation falling? I feel like we're in a degree of uncertainty.. (pun intended)
  21. there's some high topped clouds coming from Abergavenny, too far for my camera to get any good shot, but look to be part of a squall line, - similar but less so than that on the south Coast and Approaching Oxford... let's see if it pops!
  22. 3 different towers growing in this picture one in the foreground , one behind it and the one to the right
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