ancientsolar
Members-
Posts
1,051 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Forums
Blogs
Gallery
Events
Learn About Weather and Meteorology
Community guides
Everything posted by ancientsolar
-
Model output discussion - Into 2021
ancientsolar replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
-
Model output discussion - Into 2021
ancientsolar replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
GFS 12z time !! -
Model output discussion - Into 2021
ancientsolar replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
how long till we see it ? -
Model output discussion - Into 2021
ancientsolar replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
What are the chances we'll be discussing a similar output in 24hours ? Given the volatility of the last 24 hours ? -
Model output discussion - Into 2021
ancientsolar replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Will a good snow dumping affect the the required uppers of currently -7 to -8 ? -- I wonder how significant -5 and -6 uppers would be to snow covered land? I believe the beast from the East when it started to break down lead to some very heavy snow events as the milder air clashed with the cold air.. nearly the whole of the UK , shown on a satellite was covered in snow. -
Model output discussion - Into 2021
ancientsolar replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
the 12z GFS ,. seems to always upgrade what was shown on the 06z ~~ let's hope I haven't cursed this now -
Model Output Discussion - Into the new year
ancientsolar replied to SMU's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Much preferring this GFS run over the last 2 runs, ~ although I am very divided over this run compared to the 12:00 GFS from yesterday - this run seems to give us a bit more reliability regarding temperatures, - the 12:00 would appear to have given us an absolute pasting of snow and windB's .. but could have created a slush puppy for others -- now let's hope we get a final run in between the two of these runs ! -
a little more intensification, I wouldn't be surprised if there's a bit of thundersnow still another 90 mins before sunrise, so a good chance for some to settle, - could be quite disruptive for some car journeys
-
Yorkshire and E England regional thread 30 Jan 2019 onwards
ancientsolar replied to damianslaw's topic in Regional
Observing some Seriously heavy looking sleet on the radar, coming in from the Ocean, is that the centre of a LP in the region ? In rain terms it's heavy.. but when that falls as snow.. it can look torrential -
some seriously heavy sleet coming into the North East England , looks like it's already turning to Snow , East of Manchester according to NWRadar
-
Model Output Discussion - Into the new year
ancientsolar replied to SMU's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
-
A slush puppy of snow on the bin lid this morning,. and a few solid flakes on top of fences.
-
Winter 2020/21 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
ancientsolar replied to Seasonal Trim's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
I have a video of that very storm here -- (if we get another, I promise a better video ) -
Winter 2020/21 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
ancientsolar replied to Seasonal Trim's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Talking about severe and minor snow events.. It's often the snow showers that prove to be potent. 2004-2005 winter ,. I remember looking out of the college window, I said to my class mate, if that mountain (Welsh valley) disappears behind snow.. we're in trouble.. A snow shower came along 30mins later, everything covered, mountain/valley disappeared.. and we were all sent home. Now reading through the comments , the word "marginal" keeps showing up. If even a small cover of snow over a fairly decent sized area falls ,. how much impact will it have on the air temperature and the precipitation falling? I feel like we're in a degree of uncertainty.. (pun intended) -
Storms and Convective discussion- 15th August onwards
ancientsolar replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
there's some high topped clouds coming from Abergavenny, too far for my camera to get any good shot, but look to be part of a squall line, - similar but less so than that on the south Coast and Approaching Oxford... let's see if it pops! -
Storms and Convective discussion- 15th August onwards
ancientsolar replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
3 different towers growing in this picture one in the foreground , one behind it and the one to the right