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ReindeerMarmalade

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    SE and East Anglia generalweather discussion 08/11/2017 onwards

    in Regional

    Posted

    1 minute ago, stainesbloke said:

    I'll be gobsmacked, too! Like you, am expecting cold rain. Not like me to post these silly, ramp charts so I apologise but they are being produced. Plenty to be resolved but currently, Monday is looking quite interesting. I hope at least some of us will see some snow :)

    Ramp away! Chances are low but I'll take this over the nonsense we've been facing over the last few years. I suspect I'm in one of the worst places for snow - too far east to get anything from the current set-ups and too far west for a lot of the stuff that hits London or Kent :wallbash:

    • Like 1

    SE and East Anglia generalweather discussion 08/11/2017 onwards

    in Regional

    Posted

    8 minutes ago, stainesbloke said:

    Agree with you, I'm expecting sleet here at best on Sunday, with lots of rain and strong winds. I'm more interested in Monday's synoptic as it is quite rare to have such a deep low give our region NE'ly gales, plus some model output is predicting snow for our region. I'm rather sceptical but this chart shows us in with a chance of some lying snow.

    IMG_4956.PNG

    If that comes off I'll be gobsmacked! ? I mean, in a good way, but still! That's a million miles away from anything I've seen from Met...tempering my expectations after several years of bilge, as much as I'd love that to verify. At the moment I'm not even expecting sleet on Sunday, just rain and temps around 7-8°.

    • Like 1

    SE and East Anglia generalweather discussion 08/11/2017 onwards

    in Regional

    Posted

    2 minutes ago, stainesbloke said:

    This is of interest, it gives much of our region a snow accumulation. Not sure how accurate it is, we will find out soon.

    IMG_4955.PNG

    I'll be amazed if I see sleet in a lamppost at this rate. MetO forecasts still flip-flopping only a couple of hours out...the light snow they earlier thought my area would  get around 1700 today has disappeared, so it's all incredibly marginal. Monday currently looks a bit better but I won't be surprised if that disappears too tbh. The weather does whatever it does ?

    • Like 1

    Model Moans, Ramps and Banter

    in Forecast Model Discussion

    Posted

    1 minute ago, Deep Snow please said:

    Look at Monday-Wednesday - you're going to get pasted. And yes I would rather see the south covered in rain if I'm going to get nothing than watch endless snow drift south of me.

    Pasted?? Where I am is currently due rain on Sunday and a brief flurry of sleet Monday. Hence the only weather warning I'm under is for wind.

    I'd prefer more areas get some decent snow than only a few get blizzards. I don't begrudge children in other regions experiencing snow in winter.

    • Like 1

    Model Moans, Ramps and Banter

    in Forecast Model Discussion

    Posted

    3 minutes ago, Deep Snow please said:

    Good for you. I can't be that self-less; having not had a proper white-out for many a year - I'm going to want to naturally see it track towards me. The point I was making is that's a want I can express a thousand other places than the model thread, for intelligent discussion of output not childish wah wah wahing and woop woop woop ing. Good for you guys if the blizzard does hit you; I'd be happier if it falls as rain though.

    I've no idea why you think the south is in any way likely to get a blizzard in the next few days? We're not the ones under a yellow or amber snow warning. You'd be happier if the south only gets rain? I haven't seen anyone express such sentiments about people in the north.

    Model Moans, Ramps and Banter

    in Forecast Model Discussion

    Posted

    4 minutes ago, Deep Snow please said:

    A small amount of snow isn't something to write home about; if that's what was tracking south we wouldn't care; we're talking about a blizzard disappearing from our eyes to the south; you guys would be happy with a few flakes so why can't the weather gods let you have that and give the blizzard to us; who need more than a few flakes (I've had that a few times this season).

    We wouldn't just be "happy with a few flakes", that's just a testament to how snow-starved we are compared to the usual areas that tend to do much better. Congrats on already seeing snow a few times this season. When I lived in both the north and the midlands I was always delighted when the south got to see some snow as I was aware my region(s) had a much better chance of snow each winter, in terms of both frequency and accumulation.

    Model Moans, Ramps and Banter

    in Forecast Model Discussion

    Posted

    We always get IMBYitus when snow's forecast but what's truly staggering this year is watching a minority of people who're currently sat under MetO warning areas and with a really good chance of being dumped on over the next few days still bemoaning the idea that snow-starved places might actually see a few flakes.

    • Like 2
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