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Zerouali lives

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    Scotland Regional Discussion - Cold Spell Part 1

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted · Edited by Zerouali lives

    yeah looks nothing like the mass spotted on November 27th 2010....I radar watched from 2pm until midnight the 30 hours of snow roll in starting at midnight....whilst watching the greatest match of the day ever when the last game was a 2-2 draw and i knew none of the scores because had watched the radar and models all day!!

    I am hopeful of a bigger mass forming behind as per last nights fax or is this simply what was progged tonight arriving early?? only just back on net so a bit behind.... hopefully net at home fixed when return but could be 5 days so any snowfall may be a surprise as may not have a radar #liketheolddaysiguess

    You remember that! I thought only I would remember a night like that.

    It was very exciting watching the mass yellow blob coming in from the North Sea and temperatures were sub zero so we knew it would snow and lie.

    Started about 9pm until midnight and deposited around 6 - 8".

    Scotland - Regional Discussion - January

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted · Edited by Zerouali lives

    Well the snow level for lying snow is at least 100m at the moment as there is still bits of snow lying from a shower at 8.30am this morning and by the looks of things even colder will be digging in through the rest of the afternoon and evening in behind that trough. I expect snow in Aberdeen around late afternoon

    Model Output Discussion - 1st - 7th January

    in Forecast Model Discussion

    Posted · Edited by chionomaniac
    Editted for the short sighted amongst us!

    The straw clutching seemed to be based around a ridging Azores high giving a northerly outbreak if the PV weakens.

    I assume there's absolutely not evidence of High pressure building out to the east and north east of us then? All cold potential seems to be pointing towards a northerly as opposed to an easterly...?

    For Aberdeen, I'm hoping for pressure rises around Greenland for a March 2006 scenario but that about a 20/1 shot for this winter I'd say.

    Scotland - Cold Spell Discussion

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted · Edited by Zerouali lives

    I am not sure. I have a feeling we may be out luck until Friday and even at that range many things can change. The showers are being successfully killed by the mountains.

    Yeah we've barely had any cloud in the past 2 days nevermind snow.

    Just too much of a westerly component for us.

    I did see a car with a dusting of snow on it an hour ago though.

    Snow and remaining snow patches

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted · Edited by Zerouali lives

    Looking at the latest rainfall radar, heavy precipitation seems to be merging around the Nevis / Glencoe area. In addition to the strong NW'ly wind as Firefly mentions above, I think there's a fair chance lasting snow for the winter has arrived here meaning Ob Gully, Point 5, Beag and probably Coasters Cave are home and dry...

    Here is summit of Meall a' Bhuiridh 3600' (1st image) which is right in the middle of the firing zone http://www.glencoemo...uk/webcams.html

    Snow and remaining snow patches

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    Pleasure! Thanks for the comments.

    The snow you're seeing in these photographs is 'new'. That is, snow that fell in late 2010 and early 2011. There are tiny little bits of that patch that have been around since 2006, but they will be at the bottom, and won't be exposed until (I suspect) November. It's possible that we won't see them, as I expect lasting snow will come before they are exposed.

    The oldest snow actually visible in Britain just now is a patch here. It is now, strangely, much smaller than we've seen in recent years given the time of year. The snow visible in this photograph fell in 2006.

    Firefly

    Do you know if there is a book on the history of snow patch survival in the Highlands?

    Something's telling me Adam Watson has detailed reports going back several years although I could be wrong...

    I follow the thread on Winterhighland with great interest.

    Cheers

    Christmas 2010

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    So can we now say with some confidence that some major cities WON'T have a white Christmas?

    I'm thinking about putting on a considerable bet for some places NOT to have a white Christmas as the bookies are giving decent odds as they are still caught up in all the hype.

    Here are the odds FOR a white Chrismas - odds for no white Christmas will still be quite similar

    http://sports.williamhill.com/bet/en-gb/betting/e/1463417/Snow-On-Christmas-Day.html

    Surviving Snow Patches

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    I visit Braemar every year for an annual golf tournament (first Saturday in July) and noticed more snow patches on surrounding hills than in recent years.

    There were 5 small south facing patches on a mountain to the North - I've checked these on a map and I think it could be either Carn Liath ot Culardoch and I've never seen snow visible on them before from the golf course and this time of year.

    I did see a few patches on the east face of Lochnager as I was driving out (what a dramatic looking mountain it looks from the A93 near Crathie!)

    Beinn a Bhuird seemed to have it's usual amount on it's south east facing slopes.

    Perhaps Firefly could educate me on more of the above??? I would be intersted to know if snow has ever survived on Lochnager through to the following winter?

    Keeping a close eye on the threads on WinterHighland which are excellent

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