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lassie23

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Everything posted by lassie23

  1. I think that it might be a bit icy before the storm comes in, it is 3.8c in the london suburbes already. Or, they have so much grit they are trying to get rid of it.
  2. kera off topic but your cat is cute awwwwwwwwww looks exactly like my cat. She will be shut indoors tonight.
  3. knight rider, just read about October 2000 storm, sounded like it caused damage throughout London too.
  4. The atlantic is suppose to wake up in March as the temp gradients increase, spring warmth meeting late winter cold etc, if that happens, it will be a continuation of the weather we have been having all winter
  5. Thanks knightrider, St jude was the most powerful storm i can remember since 1987, and the strongest winds were at around 7am which was a nightmare for travellers.
  6. What time will the strongest winds be over the London area? Would like to avoid being outdoors as nearly got hit by an advertising board back in October. It came at me so fast, I didn't even get a chance to see what it was advertising.
  7. The met office are forecasting more unsettled weather, however the lows won't be so vigorous and there will be longer breaks between each system, are the models showing this?
  8. winter so far in london, snow fall= 0 snow level= 0 snow flakes= 0 depression= high intrest in weather =waining
  9. Low, after low, after low, pushing over the high and nose diving across the UK according to GFS, could be wintry here and there, but no freeze. Need a polar vortex shut down, which isn't going to happen.
  10. The GFS northerly does look impressive and I remember 2003, thunder snow, total white out conditions and horizontal snow....if that makes sense.
  11. We are probably most likely to get a northerly rather than an easterly accorrding to the latest model runs, although it may be brief. Regarding stratospheric warming, if the warming is weak on our side of the pole, does that mean it won't affect the weather patterns so much here.
  12. The Azores high has been trying to link up with heights further north but the link keeps getting snapped by the jet stream. If the jetstream does eventually weaken come February, then the two could finally meet and set up a block.
  13. All the models are going nuts at the moment and it is really difficult to pin down any pattern, although the most likely outcome is more atlantic lows and rain, unless the depressions take a different route towards the UK and give us brief northerlies as they clear away.
  14. The problem is that the large Azores high cannot link up with the Greenland high and the Greenland high keeps getting bullied by energy coming out of the eastern US. The GFS keeps showing these link attempts, whilst the ECM is playing with an easterly. If the GFS starts playing with an easterly too, then we could be in luck.
  15. I agree it would be boring on this forum, the only thing is that people are genuinely dissappointed when the snow doesn't arrive. I love the suff and get very peed off when easterlies shown on the ECM keep vanishing. The GFS has been good this winter though.
  16. I can't believe everyone keeps getting sucked in by the ECM and its fantasy winter wonderland charts. It has been a bit rubbish this winter, the form horse is the GFS, if that continuously shows cold and snow, then we are onto something, untill then the pesky jet rules.
  17. GFS =Mild........just a stab in the dark though, with may be a high pressure in the wrong place for any cold over the UK, another stab in the dark. Screaming jet not allowing any blocking to become established. Am I learning fast?
  18. ECM seems to specialize in predicting non existant snowfalls this winter, how many of its cold spells have actually happened this winter..................0 Now if the GFS predicts a cold spell, then I may get interested. Haven't seen the latest GFS, it hasn't let us down yet this winter, what is it predicting.
  19. GFS now pushes a nose of the Azores high way up to the NE towards Iceland bringing us an unsettled easterly flow with low pressure nearby rtowards the south and east of the UK. Will this pattern still be there this evening?
  20. GFS wants to attempt to link the Azores high with a high forming over Greenland. However, this is predicted to happen during the first part of February so things will chop and change a lot. There is also a deep low coming out of the eastern US which could scupper the link and ruin the block. This has been the story of the winter so far.
  21. Lots of high pressure around on the latest GFS, but still too much energy coming out of the states to allow it to settle in a decent position for cold. It's unable to push north and unable to push up to the north east, instead it could land slap bang on top of the country which is a bore fest of a different kind.
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