[Kent, Home counties and south London general weather discussion 25/02/2018 onwards]

6 minutes ago, CrimsonSunset said:

Are we to expect anything in Central/SE London today? I hope this won't be another wild goose chase  

a few flurries might get going later a bit like yesterday but substantial settling snow across the conurbation - not likely

[Kent, Home counties and south London general weather discussion 25/02/2018 onwards]

5 minutes ago, stainesbloke said:

Early days in the cold spell, to be fair. The end of the week may see more interest for London, usually we need a trough/front or be very lucky with a Thames Streamer. Have a feeling my area will see sod all.

agree above , its just when you look at things like the fax chart which was issued last night, you would say that is very snowy chart which should deliver. I guess we need luck and dream synoptics..?

 

2 minutes ago, mulzy said:

Yes, a case of ‘for the few, not the many’. 

Thursday/Friday remains the best bet for the region as a whole.

-3.3C and clear.

maybe a piers corbyn forecast !!

[Kent, Home counties and south London general weather discussion 25/02/2018 onwards]

I think for the however  many millions of people who live inside the M25 ( 9 million ? ) it has so far been underwhelming? 

[Kent, Home counties and south London general weather discussion 25/02/2018 onwards]

Still time today I guess but very disappointing given the dream Synoptics - all those people saying will it be dry seem vindicated so far !

[Model output discussion - the beast arrives]

Just now, Badgers01 said:

thats because its the dew point and not temp

 

definitely an echo in here !

 

[Model output discussion - the beast arrives]

5 minutes ago, Tim Bland said:

Wow not often you see 2m temps of -6c in the midlands at 3pm in March! 

thats because its the dew point and not temp

 

[Kent, Home counties and south London general weather discussion 25/02/2018 onwards]

10 minutes ago, Nick F said:

Plenty of twigs on the T+00 fax for 18z this evening

Wind seems to be veering more from NE to ENE upstream over the S North Sea and Holland, so hopefully we may see the snow showers currently affecting coastal E Anglia, Kent and E Sussex perhaps shifting a little more inland toward the W in the night.

that fax chart surely puts many of us back in the game...

 

[Kent, Home counties and south London general weather discussion 25/02/2018 onwards]

1 minute ago, london-snow said:

Yup anything north or west or south of a line from Norwich to Brighton looks a fail. Good luck to those further east and south east.

got a meeting tomorrow in Kingston which I was secretly hoping I could canx because of snow - was expecting a rerun of Feb 09 overnight but looks not likely so better prepare instead for meeting !

[Kent, Home counties and south London general weather discussion 25/02/2018 onwards]

Just now, FlightlessWings said:

Thanks! Although I wish that our red was up to Bordeaux standards! 

yes but the sparkling whites seem to be doing really well

[Kent, Home counties and south London general weather discussion 25/02/2018 onwards]

is it a bust then for a streamer ala '09 ? such a shame if so we got the uppers but not the right wind alignment ?

[Kent, Home counties and south London general weather discussion 25/02/2018 onwards]

27 minutes ago, FlightlessWings said:

A day of showers on and off in Dorking and in Kingston during my hospital appointment this afternoon. No snow on my way home but stopped at Denbies vineyard on the way home and the sky was beautiful 

love the Denbies shot could be Bordeaux !

 

[Kent, Home counties and south London general weather discussion 25/02/2018 onwards]

Just now, Kent Blizzard said:

Once this sun goes down and the showers start to roll in it'll be fine mate and will settle quick.

why will the sun going down enhance the showers? there are showers around they just don't. seem to have the oomph like they did in 2009. Then the radar was lots of bright yellow with the odd red bit for really heavy convection that is what seems lacking so far.

[Kent, Home counties and south London general weather discussion 25/02/2018 onwards]

that said the max today has been just 0.7c in Cobham Surrey so that alone is impressive.

 

[Kent, Home counties and south London general weather discussion 25/02/2018 onwards]

Just now, nicktabs said:

I'm surprised to have seen anything here today, even though it was very light and certainly didn't settle. None of the charts or forecasts said we'd get anything this far west so I'm optimistic that when the real stuff comes we are in the right setup. 

I agree  but my only concern is are we not under the real stuff already -10 or less uppers etc and it doesn't seem to be firing up the really heavy showers and even thunder snow  I thought we might see..?

[Kent, Home counties and south London general weather discussion 25/02/2018 onwards]

1 minute ago, snowbob said:

Getting a little nagging feeling about this eastern promise

only little mind

I know what you mean it’s all a bit meh so far. Are the uppers meant to get even colder during today and tomorrow?? 

[Kent, Home counties and south London general weather discussion 25/02/2018 onwards]

Big flakes blowing in the wind here in Cobham Surrey looks pretty nothing too disruptive yet though. -1.2c shows no sign of warming up yet maybe our first ice day ?

[Kent, Home counties and south London general weather discussion 25/02/2018 onwards]

1 minute ago, James Oliver said:

Are we pushing back the first snow showers? I think 8pm feels a little optimistic 

I think you are probs correct - but keep the faith looks like the supercharged chilled uppers can’t miss us !! I reckon 7am tomorrow lots of speckly showers over the Thames valley Home Counties region ..?

[SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 11/02/2018 onwards]

20 minutes ago, Paul Sherman said:

Lets have a check in around the region

Temp : 2.6c

Dewp : Minus 7.6C

Wind : Easterly

Temp 3.0c

Dewp - 8.5c

wind ESE

[SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 11/02/2018 onwards]

My few point has dropped like a stone here in Cobham Surrey currently -8.2c any body else starting to see more dominant continental surface flow yet ?

[SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 11/02/2018 onwards]

Just now, Roadrunner said:

Stunning morning here looking out directly east towards Brentwood. Still quite pleasant in the sun and actually ok wearing a tee shirt (nothing on bottom half, just a tee shirt, lol). 

Looking forward to hopefully a week of fun and games culminating hopefully in a blizzard on Friday. Come on weather gods, make this one to remember - the cold never bothered me anyway. 

Identical here in Cobham Surrey - just been out for a run with the dog amazing dry air and clear skies like the High desert in California. Although it’s 2c and a dp if -4.3 would be happier if these started falling soon ....

 

[SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 11/02/2018 onwards]

18 minutes ago, CK1981 said:

To put things into perspective, upper air temperatures are hovering around 0c today and we’re maxing out at 6c thanks to the easterly feed off the continent.

Next week upper air will be down to -15c.....epic!

Thanks for that was curious about the uppers here in Surrey we have managed a high of 4.5c do-4c it really feels cold in the wind

[SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 11/02/2018 onwards]

2 hours ago, Southender said:

For sure. The whole country will be under at least a yellow.

I am not too bothered yet by being out the zone. In Cobham / Oxshott in the more opportune places you can actually look down into the Thames estuary and see the Shard / City of London / Canary Wharf skyscrapers- so should the streamer get going we normally get a real dumping we had 11’ here overnight Feb 09.

[SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 11/02/2018 onwards]

4 minutes ago, warrenb said:

The way the DP's are today and the temp would not surprise me to see a little early wintry precipitation.

have to agree it's feeling cold already only 4c here in Cobham and-2c dp feels continental !

[SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 11/02/2018 onwards]

1 minute ago, metaltron said:

Are areas in the west of East Anglia, such as Cambridge, likely to be dry in this setup? Certainly, looks that way from the models; we get the least snow in the whole country! Does anybody remember what is was like in Cambridge in past easterly spells like Feb 91?

it was very snowy in Cambridge 91 uni was closed for a day I think it was pipe freezingly cold with lots of halls having no hot water etc ..

[Model output discussion - here comes the beast!]

58 minutes ago, Summer Sun said:

That pool of slightly less cold air to the north of Scotland is a bit further south compared to 00z doesn't make any difference to the UK

Seems to make a difference to the 850 values in the south the coldest are pushed into France on the latter.