ALL ABOARD
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Model output discussion 24/01/21
ALL ABOARD replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Perfect. Enough of the vortex left across Canada to prevent the high retrogressing to far west. Low heights into the majority of Europe. Lows spawning and running under the block.. As good as it gets. -
I'd presume a correction south.. You just have to look at the way the models have handled the Atlantic fronts moving in this week Initally it was a rain fest with Atlantic low after Atlantic low. As the models move closer and they realise they can't displace the cold air they will continue to correct south. That's what usually happens anyway.
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Model output discussion 24/01/21
ALL ABOARD replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Trough drops down engages with vortex over northern europe Heights retorgoress to Greenland Beast is unleashed. Simples. -
Model output discussion 24/01/21
ALL ABOARD replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Para gets there quicker and is a brilliant cold run... GFS sais hang on a minute... You want the beast here it comes.. -
Model output discussion 24/01/21
ALL ABOARD replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Para has multiple snow events to 174. -
Model output discussion 24/01/21
ALL ABOARD replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The BBC just use the dermitatic ECM.. You can watch thier forecasts or look at the model for yourself. Don't be surprised if as each run ticks down the lows slide further and further.. Models overcook the potential to displace cold air. -
Model output discussion 24/01/21
ALL ABOARD replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
ECM with snow for part of Wales, the Midlands and South West England on Sunday See attached mean below as well GFS, however more of rain to snow event as the low slides. Place your bets -
Model output discussion 24/01/21
ALL ABOARD replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model output discussion 24/01/21
ALL ABOARD replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Icon goes for a snow event south Wales southern England again. Then this at 105.. Were not far away from a great undercut. -
Model output discussion 24/01/21
ALL ABOARD replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Look at what's ready to drop as well.. Mega cold would ensue. All hypothetical btw, but it's nice to dream. -
Model output discussion 24/01/21
ALL ABOARD replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model output discussion 24/01/21
ALL ABOARD replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
You have 4 models that potentially show the cold reasserting itself at day 5, even if it's only for a brief period saying it won't snow in the south in the next week is ludicrous. -
Model output discussion 24/01/21
ALL ABOARD replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Have to disagree with this nick as I look out of the window here .. Large parts of Wales today are under snow.. Even swansea has a decent covering which is right on the coast, large swathes of the Midlands right down to London... The North East and North West have had laying snow.. Scotland has had a few days already as had Northern Ireland... Barring the far south west of England I'm pretty sure most have done better this year already than we have for a few years.