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ALL ABOARD

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Everything posted by ALL ABOARD

  1. ALL ABOARD
    GFS again much closer... 2-0 on SSW so far...
  2. ALL ABOARD
    Not in 2013 nick according to snowmans brilliant post above. Anyone want to do a 2018 ten day and 5 day?
  3. ALL ABOARD
    Maybe the clusters are a day behind and haven't factored in the SSW reversal yet....
  4. ALL ABOARD
    Oh go on then... Clear signs of the downwelling now... Should see it start to become more evident on future runs now...
  5. ALL ABOARD
    I'm not sure anyone can answer the question as to which way it will go.. I'd be more Inclined to think the SSW will win but who knows. I have a theory that lanina produces a warmer second period to winter but it could be the case that this only occurs when we have a strong SPV and TPV.. This year we have neither.
  6. ALL ABOARD
    Yes definetly the effect of the SSW look at the vertical WAA appearing in the Atlantic....
  7. ALL ABOARD
    Here we go.... Maybe?
  8. ALL ABOARD
    What's perplexing this year is we've had ripe conditions for major Greenland blocking.. Yet we still can't get a decent one to stick... There's something in the background the last few years working against us.. Wether we know what it is is another matter, but at the moment there is no way of telling.
  9. ALL ABOARD
    You'd think so but then
  10. ALL ABOARD
    Its quite confusing.. Because if the GFS is showing no downwelling.. What's causing the sudden change to more of a westerly influence?
  11. ALL ABOARD
    Was looking promising for a long reversal and another warming for a split.. Wonder what's driving the rapid recovery.
  12. ALL ABOARD
    Yes this should be the point that the Atlantic depressions realise they don't have thier usual oomphhhh...
  13. ALL ABOARD
    Hi mate, Top of your head what's the longest reversal we've ever had in terms of days? Obviously excluding final warnings?
  14. ALL ABOARD
    Feb.. The mean ends on 0c and its only such a steep rise cause we currently at almost - 10c. Could be a cold surface high for all we know going off them charts.
  15. ALL ABOARD
    The cold building out east is remarkable... Hopefully the blocking falls favourable from us as you can see the decline in the ural blocking and the mega cold feeding down. The UK would be in the freezer for a substantial amount of time. ECM overall is bit mehhh if your looking for wintry nirvana.. But if your looking at it from a chart in January then it's amazing as we should be seeing a rampant jet and temps into the low teens.
  16. ALL ABOARD
    Nope it's back... Doubt it would stay on for long thoo... Ice ice baby....
  17. ALL ABOARD
    Wow...
  18. ALL ABOARD
    Huh? Low dropping through scandi... Jet recurving.. Definition of a 'blizzard' 'a severe snowstorm with high winds' ???
  19. ALL ABOARD
    Mother of all blizzards incoming on the GFSP?
  20. ALL ABOARD
    Wow what a run.... Anyone got a shovel??
  21. ALL ABOARD
    So next week we have 850s at or around - 8 - 9... 60 miles of ocean at 7 degrees or so? Need roughly a 13 degree difference for Lake effect snow?
  22. ALL ABOARD
    Much better heights into Greenland Low ready to drop cold uppers as well...
  23. ALL ABOARD
    Can we start a petition to get Marco commenting on here. He's really engaging on twitter, take tonight as an example. Answering almost everyone's questions.. Exeter clearly seeing the chance of somthing significant?
  24. ALL ABOARD
    Let's go...
  25. ALL ABOARD
    Split?
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