Jump to content
Will it snow? 7 day forecast Weather Radar Will it be cold?
Snow?
Local
Radar
Cold?

Spikecollie

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    3,179

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    2

 Content Type 

Posts posted by Spikecollie

    Atlantic Storms February 2014

    in Storms & Severe Weather

    Posted

    The bad thing about this coming storm, is that people are generally home from work, near the coast this leads to nutters being brave and being in danger of getting swept away during daylight hours, during the week in Winter this does not usually happen because its dark and dangerous down by the sea at night when people are home from work IMO

    Secondly, large coastal erosion events usually get worse during such prolonged rough seas, like now through to Sunday. Big slips are a real possibility, how big is any ones guess.....

    Thirdly, the wind is going to blow the sea to such a state that will be bound to cause damage to already weakened structures that cost money to mend/replace.. 

    Number Four, Trees are likely to become a problem again in Southern England like 87, its the big evergreens, they were at their limit during the last storm, just 10 mph more and lots of big evergreen trees will be blown either to bits or right over, the time these trees have been relentlessly blown in all directions is taking its toll aswell. I especially worry locally as we have lots of large evergreens still standing on the Isle of WightPosted Image

    Good luck everybody, avoid the temptation to go where the sea or the wind might get you. Stay in Is best near the  Southern and Western coast's during the worst.

    Big evergreens like overgrown leylandii should be banned and/or compulsorily removed. They are a landscape eyesore and, in these kinds of conditions, a danger by being in the wrong place.

    • Like 1

    Atlantic Storms February 2014

    in Storms & Severe Weather

    Posted

     

     
    4

    inShare

    The US National Weather Service's Global Forecast System keeps track of the world's weather. It's an incredibly valuable repository of information, but its data, shown in DayGlo charts peppered with numbers, isn't the easiest to visualize without a degree in meteorology. That's where the Earth Wind Map can come in handy. It takes the the Global Forecast System's data — updated every three hours — and applies it to a zoomable map. The result is a beautiful representation of the world's wind in almost real-time.

    Earth Wind Map is interactive. Click and drag the globe and you'll spin it in place, then wait a few seconds before the data appears in the form of snaking lines. Gentle breezes are thin strands of green, strong winds are long streaks of bright yellow, while the strongest currents are an angry red. Take a trip around Earth Wind Map's globe now and you'll be able to compare the light summer winds currently wafting across northern Brazil with the swirling gusts off the north-east coast of Japan, a hypnotic and colorful reminder of our planet's wildly changing weather.

     

     

    This supercomputer-powered site, called simply "earth," takes global weather mapping to a whole new level. Software developer Cameron Beccario built this visualization of global weather patterns, which updates ever 3 hours.

    You can turn the animated globe, and you can zoom in on particular locations. You can also see the earth from different heights, and use different overlay options (such as temperature and sea level pressure) to make the globe that much more beautiful.

     

     

    The map relies on data compiled by NOAA's Global Forecast System to update its global wind patterns every three hours, and OSCAR Earth and Space Research to update its ocean surface current patterns every five days.

    Details are thin on the ground on the sparsely-designed website, created by software engineer Mr Beccario, but it describes itself as a 'visualisation of global weather conditions forecast by supercomputers'.

    It follows an interactive global wind map, also created by Mr Beccario. Studied together, they reveal just how unpredictable our planet’s weather system can be.

    Ocean currents transport huge amounts of heat around the world, making them one of the most important driving forces of climate.

    Perhaps the most striking example is the Gulf Stream, which makes northwest Europe milder than other regions at the same latitude.

     

    The currents are generated from the forces acting upon the water like the Earth's rotation, the wind, the temperature and salinity differences and the gravitation of the moon.

     

     
    Hope that helps

     

     

    It is a truly beautiful modelisation...

    Now using the NMM high res model for Saturdays storm,

     

    Friday 8pm to Saturday 12am - Strong winds from the South East will move in from the West bringing gusts of 65mph around the coasts of Ireland, Wales and Southern England.

     

    Posted ImageG1.png

     

    Rainfall totals up to this time will be high over Southern Ireland, Wales and the SW of England,

     

    Posted ImageR.png

     

    Saturday 1am to 7am - The strongest winds will now be over South Eastern England giving 50 to 60mph gusts. At the same time round 2 of the strong winds starts to move in from the West again across Southern Ireland bringing 60mph for them,

     

    Posted ImageG2.png

     

    Rainfall totals continue to rise across the country with Northern England and Southern Scotland seeing a lot of rainfall during this time,

     

    Posted ImageR2.png

     

    Saturday 8am to 8pm - Southern Ireland, Wales, Southern England, SW and SE England and the Midlands will see a long time period of constant strong winds. Along the coasts and exposed parts 60 to 70mph gusts and inland parts 45 to 55mph gusts,

     

    Posted ImageG3.png

     

    The rain continues mostly across the West and North with parts of Ireland, Wales, S England, N England and S Scotland seeing high totals by this point,

     

    Posted ImageR3.png

     

    Saturday 9pm to Sunday 9am - Eastern and South Eastern England by now have the strongest winds and into the early hours of Sunday they begin to drop. 45 to 55mph gusts for inland parts but I think some places may reach 60mph. Along the coasts 65 to 70mph gusts,

     

    Posted ImageG4.png

     

    The highest total rainfall is the worst for Western Ireland, Wales, SW England and N England,

     

    Posted ImageR4.png

    Can I be heard howling from here in Dijon? As I have said to others, I will let you know what it was like to traverse Ruth and her entourage tomorrow evening (or if I am totally knackered and hit the wine bottle and then the bed, Sunday!)

    Atlantic Storms February 2014

    in Storms & Severe Weather

    Posted

    http://www.yr.no/satellitt/europa_animasjon.html

     

    This is a good one because it shows yesterday and up to the present time.

     

    http://www.sat24.com/?ir=true&ra=true&li=false

     

    For the Met Office generated charts

     

    http://www.weathercharts.org/ukmomslp.htm

     

    I'm sure other people may be able to come up with some more.

     

    Never be afraid to ask questions there are some very knowledgeable posters on here and these are sites that I have picked up from them.

    Cool for the first one as I have a reasonable bit of German and scandi lingos, and I bet the others are useful too.

    Atlantic Storms February 2014

    in Storms & Severe Weather

    Posted

    http://www.yr.no/satellitt/europa_animasjon.html

     

    This is a good one because it shows yesterday and up to the present time.

     

    http://www.sat24.com/?ir=true&ra=true&li=false

     

    For the Met Office generated charts

     

    http://www.weathercharts.org/ukmomslp.htm

     

    I'm sure other people may be able to come up with some more.

     

    Never be afraid to ask questions there are some very knowledgeable posters on here and these are sites that I have picked up from them.

    Thanks!

    Atlantic Storms February 2014

    in Storms & Severe Weather

    Posted · Edited by Spikecollie

    Heavy rain here now in Cork.I think some are under estimating this one possibly due to storm fatigue.Looks rough here yet Met Eireann have just a yellow warning out

    Hi JS

    I love Cork. I lived on the east coast of Ireland for many years (Bray). I've broached the issue and been given a smack on other forums, but what I've suggested is that these sort of events were actually pretty frequent when I lived there. Bray's seafront flooded, a lot. Boats got smashed in the harbour, from time to time. The seas were mountainous. I was on a ferry to the UK during the "Fastnet storm", they sailed. Maybe ME are less reactive, I don't know. I know folks are going through serious poo but haven't they always. I've a psychology background so I always question the human thinking - that make me seem obtuse, sorry. All of this is very complex and takes a lot of reasoning through...and as you will have seen, I'm stuck in the middle of it!

    • Like 1

    Atlantic Storms February 2014

    in Storms & Severe Weather

    Posted

    Saturday's winds look set to bring another battering to Cornwall/DEvon, although the Southerly is brief, veering to Westerly later so could be north Devon and north coast of Cornwall bearing the brunt, although fair way off. If low goes south, worse will be through the Channel, wouldn't want to be on ferry at any point this weekend

    Hmmm! I have colleagues in Normandie who use the ferries as a matter of course to go to and from work in the UK and France. I don't know how they do it. Stories of "hoving to" for 12 hours off the French or UK coast makes my stomach (well, you know). I've had ghastly crossings in summer and would never book a winter one. Folks have laughed on here when I say I'm flying back to the UK this Saturday, but it's infinitely better even when it's rough...

    Atlantic Storms February 2014

    in Storms & Severe Weather

    Posted · Edited by Spikecollie

    Wow Cyclonic, those photos are amazing! We have a had a series of events which should make us think. Sometimes the forces of nature are insurmountable. We have chosen to live and built in places where nature is in charge. We have dammed, culverted, concreted and drained landscapes which should be left alone. I like the capacity of nature to put us in our place, humility is something we have lost. Cold, horrid words if your house is flooded right now, but...Posted Image

    • Like 4

    Atlantic Storms February 2014

    in Storms & Severe Weather

    Posted

    My travel sickness only appears if I am due food so I always eat before a flight or trip on the sea and am bomb proof, I will not travel on an empty stomach, suppose I am lucky in that respect at least I know my cure. Good luck for Saturday.

     

    The wind is a full gale now here, no rain as yet. The LOW is showing as 948mb Posted Image Tasty. 

    I just crank my music up and sit back and cloud watch! If it gets really rough I just accept it and erm...well you know. Yep, I always eat too. Other half baulks and asks how I possibly could, but it works and the blood sugar level and stomach activity science behind it seems robust. No luck involved...what happens happens. It'll all be fine Posted Image

    • Like 1

    Atlantic Storms February 2014

    in Storms & Severe Weather

    Posted · Edited by Spikecollie

    Famous quotes of the Winter "I'm flying back to the UK on Saturday from Paris" LOLPosted Image If you manage it back on Saturday it will be a thrilling flight, I am jealous as I have always enjoyed flight in bad weather, it is far from boring.

     

    The wind has increased here in the last hour, doors and windows rattling.  It looks like the tip of Cornwall has started to feel the storm approaching proper.

    I'm a pretty relaxed traveller. If it's possible it is, if it's not you wait until it is without getting stressed and let the folks who know best make the decisions! I'm just happy, for once and in the right way, that I don't have my other half with me. We came back from France during the St. Jude's Day storm and trying to stop him having a panic attack interrupted my cloud watching Posted Image The aircrew and ATC actually did a decent job of keeping above the worst of the turbulence but when everyone wants a smooth FL you have to take what you get. I'm with Air France, so at least they have sick bags (sorry, I am a relaxed traveller but I suffer from travel sickness - eeek!) If I have an extra night at CDG, I have one and I've had one before. Stay safe.

    • Like 1

    South West/Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 26/1/14 12z ------->

    in Regional

    Posted

    Yes complete mayhem, as they have shut the blandford road due to a sewerage leak, so the only way out of Hamworthy is over Poole bridge(s)

     

     

    That's going on the list Posted Image

    I responded to a post by Seaweed earlier who was asking about storm naming. This is done by the Free University of Berlin and the current one is "PETRA", the second "QUMAIRA" and the Saturday one is likely to be "RUTH".

     

    You have some possibilities. Cherish your moments and enjoy

    Atlantic Storms February 2014

    in Storms & Severe Weather

    Posted

    I'm over in eastern-central (Dijon) France at the moment and the contrast couldn't be more marked. A lovely mild sunny day, you know the sort that is a pleasure to be out in and makes deludes you that spring might be on it's way! I'm flying back to the UK on Saturday from Paris, so that should be interesting, if it's operationally possible - really feel for all you folks down south and those on the western French coast who have also taken too many batterings Posted Image

    • Like 1

    Atlantic Storms February 2014

    in Storms & Severe Weather

    Posted · Edited by Spikecollie

    I just found out from a French weather site that the first storm coming today is called "PETRA", that is to be followed by the second storm called "QUMAIRA", the lows are all female this year! It seems to be the Free University of Berlin who name the storms. Here's the link: http://www.met.fu-berlin.de/adopt-a-vortex/tief2014/ It looks like the third low will be called "RUTH" although by the time she is done with us on both sides of the channel, "RUTHLESS" may be more appropriate Posted Image

    • Like 2
×
×
  • Create New...