LetItSnow!

SunSean That's the fun part about the world, preferences, everyone's got some even if they are atypical. I certainly am happy for the sun starved people liek yourself. I'm just waiting for things to go boom but I don't think I'm in luck this time but we'll see!

In Absence of True Seasons Well, a couple of days of sunshine are nice of course but I never really got the weeks of endless anticyclonic weather that some people (validly) crave. Exceedingly boring weather. My only personal gripe since July is the abhorrent mildness really that killed the winter months. Dullness can annoy me too, if it goes on for ridiculous amounts of time. But generally I haven't been bothered with the rain aspect. But bear in mind I live in an urban setting and don't have to deal with flooded fields and such. I did for the first 20 years of my life though so it's not as though I don't know what that's like. I'd find a summer like 1976 or 1995 breathtakingly boring and unpleasant, not even just for heat. I may be a vampire because sunshine genuinely doesn't really improve my mood that much, certainly less than it used to. But it is nice.

The skies have a very pre-thundery look to them here despite not being in danger zone today.

Next one. The winter was stormy and wet though had unexceptional temperatures overall. January was very snowy in the north but not so much further south. The spring was quite cold overall, particularly in March and May. April was very dry and sunny however. May was wet in the south but very dry and fine in the north. The summer was quite good with a decent June and July but a hot August. After this it was generally wet and mild for the rest of the year. The year was rather warm and quite sunny but slightly wetter than average.

WYorksWeather That was definitely the case for July 2023. If that pattern had occurred just a couple years earlier it would have been cooler I think. If that pattern had occurred in 2015 in the peak of the cold blob era then it would have been quite chilly.

2024 marching into record territory by the looks of it… Well might as well go for a run at 1st or 2nd warmest May in such a warm spring/start to the year.

I hope the lower pressure next week brings some thunderstorms. I’ve actually realised as bonkers this may sound to some but sunshine is one of my lesser favourite weather types. I find it boring when it lasts too long. I find rain and snow more pleasant. I’ve definitely become a thunderstorm appreciater later in life too.

Weather Enthusiast91 1961!

B87 2004?

Not quite the same but it sort of continued as December 1995 did see the equal lowest UK temperature on record, matching that of 1895.

B87 In the C.E.T it only ranks 82nd coldest and has an anomaly of only about a degree so in the scale of things it's a cool one but not exceptionally so. An exceptionally cold September happened 5 years earlier though with a C.E.T. of 10.7(!!!). Yes, it was 1973. It was actually quite non-descript apart from rainfall so quite hard to write about.

Summer8906 If you lived in the north then you would have basically missed out on both heatwaves. August 2020 heat didn't reach Scotland/the far north but it did bring a spell of humid sunshine in the mid 20s. After that the very wet and dull weatther that dominated July continued. In fact the month wasn't even warm in the far north. Very much a month that varied greatly on location. For Scotland and the far north of England the summer of 2020 was distinctly cold, wet and dull and I imagine would rank alongside some of the more widely known poor ones. I know because I was there!

B87 Ah, okay. The winter wasn't as wet as I thought it was. I was confusing it with the winter of 1936/1937 which was very wet. Also September 1957 isn't exceptionally cold but it is a chilly one. Wow O'm doing really good at this game. Here's my next one. The winter was dry and mild. February was quite a north-westerly month and there was a fairly potent cold spell mid-month. The spring was changeable with a very dry March but more unsettled in April and May. There was an exceptionally cold reading late in April. The summer was mixed with a decent June which had an exceptionally wet day on the 19th but was otherwise unremarkable. July was quite poor but August was decent and though by today's standards it would be considered average it was the warmest for quite some time. The autumn was very dry with a warm and fine September with some severe thunderstorms with exceptional rainfall totals, but a cold October and chilly November. December started cold but ended up rather mild but still was dry. The year had near-normal temperatures and sunshine but was very dry.

B87 This one is stumping me a bit actually. Up until August it sounds like 1957 but the rest doesn't match. Any clues?

B87 1988! Correct

B87 nope not 1974. first one that people automatically haven’t got interestingly

damianslaw 1996!

Summer8906 Good luck getting one of those in today's day and age lmao.

CryoraptorA303 Yeah, 2008 easily I don't give clues, they make it too easy haha. but maybe my memory is just too good lol

My brick flat has already warmed to an uncomfortable degree with a measily 24C day so long may the westerlies shunt the plumes of doom away all summer.

SakuraOwl You may want to consult the astral realm for answers. They're probably more reliable than long range models.

Onto the next. While the winter was actually statistically unremarkable for temperature, it was unusual for the time period for having not a lot of snow. The spring was generally changeable and quite mild. There were some memorable thunderstorms in London in May. The summer started out unremarkably and even very nicely in Scotland, but quickly turned into a horrendous July. August didn't do much to save the summer either. The autumn was generally cool and changeable with some decent snowfalls in November. The below normal temperatures may have seemed another generally cool-to-cold winter was on the way but things drastically changed to remarkably mild in December.

Just having a quick look at the outlook for mid-month and seeing the trends for day 10. Starting with the GFS. Pretty much an agreement that there will be a very unsettled spell around the 14th with an unusually deep area of low pressure centered just to our south-west. The low has nowhere to go so it generally weakens, pressure becomes slack and this could be ingredients for a showery period after perhaps some more general rain. My original thoughts of mid-May being a period of longer spells of rain, showers and some thunderstorms remains. The GFS wants to link this limpet low with an area of low pressure to the south of Iceland by Saturday the 18th. Details like that should be taken with a pinch of salt over a week away. Uppers generally remain around average so where the sun does come out it will feel pleasant in the May sunshine, otherwise nothing exceptional temperature-wise here. The UKMO has a similar scene, a deep low on the 14th with generally weak pressure in the coming days with further bits of rain and showers around. The +5C uppers get mixed out which means if any longer spells of rain set up it could be pretty cool by day, otherwise unexceptional temperatures here. A potential pattern re-set at the end with a similar deep low around Iceland so perhaps a more north-westerly element may attempt to set up after the model parameters. The GEM also starts with this quite deep low and also has it generally sit over the UK for the next few days. It also has some pretty cool uppers at times (0-5) meaning any showers or longer spells of rain may be quite cool, but sunny spells would be pleasant. However by day 10 there is build of pressure that may lead to an attempt to return to some warm and dry weather. I don't think the ECM has updated yet but I'll throw its 00z output in the mix too. Same picture short term with the low meandering around the place with some showery conditions probably. Cooler uppers further south-west so once again, if longer spells of rain were in the mix perhaps some cool days but this won't be a problem if sunny spells occur. A slightly different end picture too with high pressure to our north-west and a gentle NE wind. This could bring a risk of cool temperatures, further showers and cloud, but details are far too out there to worry about. My overall thoughts for mid-May and day 10. Mid-May is looking like a step down from the warm and dry weather we've had the past couple of days. I don't think it's looking entirely horrific but changeable, nearer-normal temperatures (with perhaps regional variation) and with rain and showers around. It's probably not going to be a period that many people will remember as particularly amazing. Having said that, strong May sun and weak pressure aloft (and perhaps some cooler air mixed with the strong sun) may generate beefy showers, perhaps some thundery weather at times too. Indeed it's quite a typical May pattern. Further out is a bit harder to call. Perhaps low pressure to our north-west may introduce a northerly element but there is also signs that perhaps high pressure will return, though in what position is unclear.

Azazel The only problem there is just like when some people say something had changed in 2018 and 2022. This spell will end and it would surprise me if this forum wasn't talking about abnormally dry condtions by 2025-2027.

I haven't checked for sure (I will probably do another model rundown post in the main) but I'd imagine mid-May will probably be sunnier than charts may suggest. Meandering lows can often breed sunny spells. Having said that though I imagine there will be frequent bands of rain and showers, thunderstorms too. I imagine very high totals will be recorded but perhaps somewhat localised. Widespread enough that it will probably be a wetter than average, but not that everywhere is going to need a rowboat. That's the fickle nature of low pressure systems in the warmer half of the year, especially when they weaken.