Flash bang flash bang etc

At the moment it’s a very good resource for finding out how many days we won’t have anything spectacular happening down south … but I’m certain all that will change as we enter the second and third chapters of U.K. summertime

Edit: “not to say you haven’t” (this is a phrase I always struggle with

I use Metcheck for longer range (up to 4-5 days ahead) then UKWW give excellent summaries the night before (if not first thing the morning of the day in question). CW was also a great forecast and it’s really a sad day to see it gone, but there are still a lot of other sites on the case including the very good Netweather storm risk forecasts, and of course the forecasts being put out on this very forum - which has some excellent synoptic discussions when needed

I’m not seeing that on my Metcheck forecasts, but that’s not to say you haven’t got better resources at hand

I dunno, difficult because you can’t see if it matches the pattern of the main strike. Doesn’t look like what a streamer would do though, aren’t they looking for a direct path to earth? Squiggling about like that doesn’t make sense to me

I recall not too long ago (sometime around 2018) chasing a storm up to Kenilworth along a CZ that sprung up along the M40 throughout the afternoon. On the way back the whole system began to backbuild in a way I have rarely seen, which on radar gave the impression the storm had done a complete 180 and was heading south (we were under plume-type conditions so the flow was predominantly northward) I followed it all the way back to near Watford, where it puffed out its last few sferics and promptly died out. The lightning I saw from it as night fell was spectacular, but I was driving at the time and had nowhere to stop to get a good vantage with the camera.

IMG_5393.MOV No lightning (not visible anyway) but this timelapse from the approaching storm at lunchtime today shows how unstable the skies were. Interesting to note that for a day of predominantly elevated storms, today delivered a lot of visible lightning, and a surprising number of serious CGs. Some pretty dangerous severe weather across the country - by all accounts - so was good that weather warnings were put out. Great photos and videos from everyone, thanks for getting out there and observing just a shame it’s gonna be a while before we get to return the favour lol There’s stuff just across the channel from you. If it’s still visible? otherwise, unfortunately I think we are back to fairly innocuous warm weather down this neck of the woods for the foreseeable

Drat, drat, and double-drat

We just need the wind from the north to push down a cold front as winds from the south push up a warm moist plume. It’s only a matter of time

I would hold out massive hope, but that is a nice cloud

Northern France going bang again. A good sign for central areas later?

This one as well. Finished rather abruptly

So this was the closest one but I had to duck about with the image to bring it out

Incoming!

Clear skies as well

Something just up the road , looks like a rain shower developed from nowhere

Think we will se some fairly rapid development in the channel and west of the IOW over the next hour

West London lightning up a little

Front clearly defined on radar to the SW suddenly… this is the one to watch

Absolutely no rain. Wish it had kept going but I guess it was very shallow albeit elevated. Remided me of a storm I saw in Beijing back in 2004, vivid forks and silence and no rain at all

IMG_5082.MOV

Eerie overhead lightning. Woken up by a rumble and saw two or three flashes (2 visible IC) but the rumbles were beautiful - long & loud against amazing silence

Too early methinks . I’m guessing 2:30am we will see some electrification south of Bournemouth and then things will evolve quite messily towards london

my alternative forecast: Like an invisible arm smearing itself onshore at 5am - becoming an electric arm as it smudges itself into surrey and scrapes it’s way into London - tomorrow’s weather front will expand northwards throughout the day, becoming more of a leg and then electrifying even more at it’s northern extents (albeit more discretely at certain points along the shin). At this point, it’s neither arm - nor leg - it’s a cold front - the coldest of weather limbs, awkwardly stretching itself from the toe of Cornwall right up to the nipple of Hull. As the fist of the front begins to tickle Brighton, the foot will fall upon the NE like a clumsy maid down a narrow set of stairs. The ankle of this meteorological event will now be suggestively splayed across Peterborough. Then there will be a thunderstorm in the North Sea. Gutted.

Well I’m confident enough of some overnight action that I’m setting the alarm for 5am… Hoping she’s in the mood. (Mother Nature I mean)