Flash bang flash bang etc

Why am I liking posts by this traitor? This makes me feel like shouting a word of four letters. And it isn’t “Nice”

I think society would be collapsing all around us, so might be a lot harder and more expensive to chase? Also it would limit the choice of snack at the service station

Tired of waiting for autumn to deliver. We will get our turn but it will be in the dying days of the hot season and I wouldn’t be surprised if all we have is a bunch of squally messy convective showers. Total joke. At the same time I’m quite enjoying the hot spells, but hate that we are always robbed of a concluding chapter

You can’t be angry with warm or hot. This year will be a picnic compared with what’s to come. Was reading about the Gulf Stream and potential for it to stop. If it does we will have a much cooler climate in the U.K. - but other parts of the world will become a furnace. Either way it’s one extreme or another…

Another gripping event to etch into the marbled plaque of U.K. storm history

Eh?

Tony G at UKWW suggested a lot of hail will melt before hitting people on the ground. So… expect soggy people, albeit unhurt.

Don’t forget we have a low probability of a slight chance that it might be possible that there may be almost a storm. Good odds for the CS

We are right under that central band. Not knowing the forecast I would assume there were storms due. Great sky

Skies looking increasingly potent overhead. Long way to go to produce any lightning but I’ve seen skies like this before on days when we have had results

I really don’t understand anyone who takes anything but a grain of salt with any forecast beyond 6 hrs … Saturday may as well be mid-November in terms of what we know will happen, and even in terms of what the supercomputers modelling the models know what will happen. That said - it’s good to look into ‘close FI’ (as I’m now calling it) as a guide to what may be in store - but seriously don’t expect any of it to be even marginally correct. Hot, anomalous bodies of water are proving to be one of mankind’s biggest headaches at the moment - in terms of forecasting. Thunderstorms are complicated beasts at the best of times, but I can’t even begin to imagine the complex interplay between polar, stateside and European airmasses and all those oceanic thermal influences that will play out over the coming days to produce whatever the weather will do by Saturday. Things do look good at the moment from an IMBY perspective, but it will change many times before we get there - and the weather isn’t fair, so the likelihood is a warm evening with the odd shower and nothing more (that’s my forecast and I’m sticking with it lol)

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Gotta be honest it’s looking good for the CS on satellite - stream of cloud right up from western France. Nothing to get too excited about but worth keeping an eye on

Milky skies here but not got any of that stormy look to it

To be fair they sound quite sceptical about it. We have a low chance of a low chance of possible storms. That’s a nice way of saying “not a chance mate”

If it’s another northern event I’m seriously not interested. Had enough of that this year now. It’s gone past frustrating, it’s just pointless following something that will never produce results anywhere within reach. A good write-up though. Sad I can’t get excited about it

Breathtaking shots mate

I thought UKMO was U.K. Met Office? I use Ventusky and they have a model selector but I don’t really know what I’m doing other than ICON which turns every shower into a thunderstorm and GFS which seems to just be made up on the spot

I know it’s been mentioned before somewhere, but what model do they use?

A giant eastward shift is needed tbf

Very warm here this evening

Weds thurs and Fri has low potential for the south. Chances are becoming more frequent, but still low confidence. Autumn is beginning and the tables and chairs are turning. We wait for an actual result from one of these opportunities however.

Supercell? Tomo? you havin a giggle or what?

On sat24 there looks to be things. But they are probably over Dorking now

Something developing over hants, think