Woollymummy
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Posts posted by Woollymummy
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1999. We got the last 4 ferry tickets to Dieppe and saw the build up, through to totality and the warm sunny aftermath on a cliff top looking over the Channel, incredible. Temperature dropped 11 degrees, porch lights came on, dogs barking, horses running around and neighing, best of all from our high cliff position we could see the shadow actually racing across the water towards us, very spooky and exciting. During totality the whole horizon had sunset pinky red colours in all directions, it actually felt like we were under a lid. Saw Baileys beads, diamond ring, hilarious to see the sun as an intensely black spot. We spent so much time laughing and squealing, but also just saying wow! I have to say the experience in America, 2018 could be more like that than a cloudy Friday in the Faeroes in March, but you never know! Good luck hunting eclipses, it is worth it if you get a good one.
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According to that great nullschool live windspeed animated globe, Scotland has the strongest winds in the world just now, is that true?
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Excuse the question please if it is obvious, but do the above charts show that the main vortex is gradually shifting across the NH from the Canadian side to the Russian side, meaning that even if it is not split there will be a significant change in the patterns of weather systems affecting the UK?
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I was right, gales! We can blame the heat wave in Alaska which is spooling the Arctic air round the US, to give us more jet fun and games. I find actual gales more exciting than possible snow.
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NYE was latest sunrise, held steady one minute earlier for a few days since, tomorrow it will be two minutes earlier and then the only way is up, yay! I couldn't care less if it snows or not really, at least we know the sun is coming back :-)
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Is there a way of seeing what the Sun's activity at the moment could be doing to the very outer edge of the atmosphere? Maybe the models are difficult to interpret because of something that isn't being shown properly.
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This is a great new way to fritter away the remains of your holiday: I just did. Sort of like top trumps for weather:
http://www.ready.noaa.gov/READYcmet.php
I only chose Helsinki as the target city as it is the nearest in line to northern parts of UK who looked lined up to get the next incoming gale.
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Thank you for the reply. If the cold air comes far enough South in the USA will it have the same effect on the jetstream as the displaced vortex did last year? Therefore giving us some possibly some gales?
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Didn't something like this happen last year (big cold snap in Eastern USA, heating up of West Coast USA including Alaska), and then we got loads of storms?
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Speaking of old winters, last winter seemed very similar to the one 101 years before:
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Happy New Year, how addictive will the weather watching be in 2015, I wonder? Thankyou for all your informative predictions and ramblings, my family think it is all a silly waste of time but they were suitably impressed that the 26th/27th storm showed up in the end. At times it seems best to go back to what I used to do (looking out of the window ) but learning to understand the models is great fun.
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I am only just trying to understand things about the stratosphere but am interested so forgive my ignorance; is this image showing an "attack" on the polar vortex, and if so, what kind, and is the time scale (a week from now) too far away to usually prove "true" ;are the forecasts for patterns in the upper atmosphere easier or more difficult to model than the lower down snowy ones that everyone obsesses about, and finally, on one of the charts for the middle of the atmosphere , it seemed to show air moving from a low pressure region in the Pacific this week, in a system of swirls that remind me of cogs, so that the air would then pop straight over the North Pole and appear in Scandinavia and Europe in the near future; is that normal, or unusual/unlikely, and if it has a name, what do you call it? Many thanks :-)
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The snow warnings were meant to act like grit, (making roads safer) I think people were hoping they would sound dramatic enough to stop people driving in the snow. Far more effective than gritting. Unless the advice is ignored.
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They might have been sneaky late cheap tickets as they only found over £140 a few weeks ago, but also that might have been Eurostar not the Eurotunnel.
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Just a question, when do sea temperatures around the UK and land temperatures normally match each other? Is this chart unusual for this time of year?
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Spikecollie: "Come with us on Eurotunnel!" They would normally but left it too late to book the normal price tickets and were faced with BookedTooLateSoWeWillChargeYouWhateverWeLike:Ha! -price tickets, so theyopted for the boat/coach combo. I am so worried! :-(
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Any ideas welcome please: my sister and her boyfriend are booked on an evening English Channel ferry crossing 28th Dec, should they try and rearrange travel?
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Am I right in thinking that in the previous chart, the low pressure rapid development would (might) come about because of the unusually high temperatures shown off the coast of Spain? So if the warmth turns out to be less strong, the "weather bomb" will be less explosive?
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Where is Michael Fish today? I always try and watch his forecast, haven't seen one for a while :-(
I hope he is ok.
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I agree gillybean.
As far as I have gathered, anything after 1 week in the modeling is less reliable, and so after that anyone's guess as as good as the next, plus their own experience helps? Is that right?
Also, am I right in thinking the moans and ramps bit is less strict on having to post specific data? Was just checking.
My specific model output question: if you only had one data set from one model to choose from , and could only use that to make forecasts from (for weekly weather) which would it be? I automatically go for the jetstream for some reason, maybe because it is what first got my attention last year. This question is for anyone with an opinion, and you can give your answers as written statements, pictures, charts or haiku if needs be, as long as they are what you really think.
And by the way, I only make "forecasts" to myself. Just a hobby when I can't sleep!
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Ah yes, I want and hope for snow, always, every year, but having proper extreme weather on the Telly every night, netweather.tv -coloured Jetstream pics on every decent weather forecast, people starting to have whole shows discussing the effects of climate and hydrology on where people should be living in the UK..... It was great! So I will be not be sad if we have another windy rainfest this winter, but I would much rather see if you lot are all right and things turn colder.
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Not just the winter, now camping in summer has to be preceded by a thorough check for any approaching hurricanes, then all other potential hurricanes, then a few pages about hurricane formation, etc.
I will be quite sad if we never get another winter like last year, I found it very amusing to see so many storms chasing each other. But I do want it to be cold and snowy this year.
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am I right in thinking that every time a big dump of cold air pours down off the Actic in our direction, then an equally large blob of warm air swaps places with it and melts a bit more of Greenland? Has winter always been like that? I get a feeling I am watching a car crash in very slow motion, and no matter how much I would like a bit of snow, maybe I would settle for muddy or sunny uk if it meant the arctic could stay as cold as it can. no amount of slushy rubbish tobogganning and woolly hats can justify polar bears having to walk around on rocks to hunt for shellfish.
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I suppose the problem is we get used to calling the solstice "midwinter" and it really is at the start, not mid.
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Winter 2014-15 thread
in Spring Weather Discussion
Posted
I just popped out into the garden to watch the pine trees in the strong gusts, and saw a big pale moth fluttering about to get to the porch light, and trying to sit and rest on the wildly waving washing line!