Pennine Ten Foot Drifts
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Posts posted by Pennine Ten Foot Drifts
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Just now, CasMan said:
Can you confirm this please as my father in law is flying from Manchester airport later today and they are travelling over this afternoon
If you check the link to the cameras I just posted you can see that at the moment it's at a standstill. They may well get it running again over the next few hours, but the weather needs to improve a bit before it's running normally again I'd have thought, and looking at the radar that isn't going to happen for a few hours yet over the top (J22). What time is the flight ?
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Cameras make for interesting viewing at the moment, glad I'm not on there
https://www.motorwaycameras.co.uk/england/m62/eastbound/traffic-camera/267
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Getting reports M62 is shut over the top, that doesn't happen very often
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It's days like this that I regret being a home worker, no 'snow days'
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To illustrate:
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7 minutes ago, Kentish Snowman said:
Anyone get the feeling our part of the world is being forgotten in terms of the warnings due to the red warning in Scotland and Storm Emma?!
Coming down really bad here and looks like setting in for most of the day! Could be 2010 levels of snow for some by the end of the day if this carried on?!
Meto text forecast certainly suggests it will!
Yes absolutely, just showed a current UK radar image on the TV and there were a few showers over central Scotland (i.e. the 'red' warning area), a few showers over NE England (i.e. the 'amber' warning area), and big thick blob of precipitation of west and south Yorkshire............
But never mind, I prefer them to have got it wrong that way round :-)
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2 minutes ago, Gray-Wolf said:
One thing I've noted happening this P.M. are the shower cores beefing up as they ride up the Pennines unlike yesterday when they fizzled on hitting the hills??
I've been watching nice patches of pink on the NetW radar suddenly grow dark pink cores as they reach Leeds and then more extensive by Bradford. By the time they get here they have a 5 min whiteout core ( with associated winds increasing).
With all in the north Sea beyond Hull yet to come ashore I'm wondering whether we'll end up under an Orange if we are seeing orographic intensification of any show hitting the hills
Yes indeed GW, a much more snowy day here because of that, right now having one of the most intense showers so far. Perhaps down to the change in wind direction to a more direct easterly ?
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7 minutes ago, Kentish Snowman said:
Amber Warning issued for most of the region!
I wonder if Sausage is feeling any happier !!!
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1 minute ago, LeeSnowFan said:
oh I think you have taken @terrier 's place and you've switched personalities lol
our region is still expected to do well some more than others! just enjoy the ride!
Exactly, in this setup accurately predicting actual snowfall is extremely difficult even 36 hours ahead. Of course one location will do better than other, but to try and pinpoint those 2-3 days in advance is a waste of time. As it stands it's almost certain everywhere in Yorkshire will see snow over the next five days, (but how much is impossible to be precise about), and right now towards the end of next week is looking very interesting for our area (but this of course could well change).
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1 minute ago, terrier said:
Can’t do with the mod thread at moment every other posts is about the south. It’s as if anywhere north of Leicester doesn’t exists. Anyway still looking good for our region I think.
Aye, if GFS is to be believed large parts of Yorkshire won't get above freezing for a week. If that happens that will be a pretty remarkable cold spell.
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1 minute ago, vizzy2004 said:
Didn't expect todays model upgrades, however we should remain grounded as there are still time for downgrades.
Agreed, I'll be very surprised if the depression modeled for next weekend stays like that, looks a prime candidate for the dreaded 'southward corrections' evolution to me
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Just now, Kentish Snowman said:
I am getting worried about the severity of this to be honest looking at the present model outputs! Army on standby and Cobra meetings anyone?!
One thing is for sure you will have to change your username to Pennine Twenty Foot Drifts!
Aye, as my sig suggests, deepest snow I've seen in the 'internet age' is 37 cms level snow in 2010, although the drifts were bigger in 2013, but that was when I lived up on top of a Pennine hill, now down in Huddersfield, so will be interesting to see how such conditions impact an urban area.
Mind you I was a young lad in mid-Wales in the '81/'82 winter, our village was cut off for 5 days, that's the most severe snowstorm I've ever personally witnessed, it'll take something extraordinary to beat that I think...........
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42 minutes ago, LeeSnowFan said:
Charts just keep giving and giving!!! we really are in for a treat next week!!
Yep, on latest output there is either heavy frequent showers or prolonged snowfall for the whole of next week from Tuesday onwards, with a full on major snowstorm currently showing for next weekend. Obviously still a long way out so quite likely to change, but if that scenario plays out some parts of our region will be buried, it could actually be quite serious.
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What a strange place this has become.......
The ECM 12z operational shows virtually the whole of the UK under at least -5 to -10 air, briefly flirting with -15, from T120 right out to T240. The slightly 'messy' picture in fact means more potential for smaller scale disturbances and troughs, so more likelihood of snow, and yet people are not happy ??? Honestly, how much would most people have given for charts like these at just about any point over the last 6 or 7 years ???:
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Well we've had light (very occasionally moderate) snow since 9.00 am, pointlessly floating down onto wet ground.............. Nice to look at I suppose
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I know it almost certainly won't happen, but how often do we see -10 850s from an Atlantic depression ?
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Moderate snow in Huddersfield, starting to stick
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18 minutes ago, Kentish Snowman said:
We might get an all snow event after all if it drifts any further South!
It might even miss us altogether if it keeps correcting South over the next 48 hours!
Gosh, not another small depression getting steadily shunted further south with each run, how unusual...............
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32 minutes ago, snow*please said:
according to my partner its snowing fairly heavily in Huddersfield
28 minutes ago, vizzy2004 said:M62 camera at junction 23 would confirm this.
https://www.motorwaycameras.co.uk/england/m62/westbound/traffic-camera/1271
Yep, 'tis true, settling but won't add up to to much I wouldn't have thought
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6 minutes ago, Cheese Rice said:
Latest ECM snow depth.
Further correction south expected.
This one might make the news though, I can see there's a good chance of 2 cms in London..........
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35 minutes ago, Cheese Rice said:
Another shift south on the EURO4.
As it stands.
West Yorkshire: Light patchy snow, covering at best, though very real chance of no falling snow at all
South Yorkshire: 2-3cm though fragmented.
Yep, as per my post yesterday, experience suggests that in these type of situations corrections are almost invariable southwards. I'm not entirely sure why that is, unless the models for some reason often under-estimate surface cold in the UK - maybe because the proximity of a huge body of water means that until the models are able to take account of short range current surface conditions they don't deal with the effect of higher pressure and surface cold on the level of deflection of 'slider' low pressures ?
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46 minutes ago, Mark Bayley said:
Again, just to emphasise the risk of further southerly corrections.
Agreed, any further corrections will be southwards. I think prolonged heavy snow unlikely for our region on Sunday. Some in more southern parts of our region will see a bit though.
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2 hours ago, The PIT said:
Sadly downgraded by the GFS today with the main energy reserved east of here. For us sunny Sheffield a few gusts to lower 50's before it moves away. Basically blink or snore loudly and you've missed it jobby.
Absolutely PIT, what's the amber warning for ???
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Went for a walk up above Marsden this pm, still some reasonable snow cover.
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Meto text forecast certainly suggests it will!
our region is still expected to do well some more than others! just enjoy the ride!
Yorkshire & E England Regional Weather Discussion
in Regional
Posted
Might have improved a bit by then, but current situation:
"M62 is virtually impassable and being closed periodically to be ploughed. Severe disruption & two/three hour delays both ways"