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marksp

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Posts posted by marksp

  1. 9 minutes ago, Scott Ingham said:

    Very interesting period coming up as high res modelling comes into view.

    Right now i wouldnt want to be living anywhere but Yorkshire as things stand but still probably another 48 hours for that to change just yet.

    If i took a punt id be happy living between chesterfield and nottingham as this has the biggest margin for error for me.

    Also watch for a developing wedge between iceland and scandinavia for the new year.

    Im seeing tentative signs of this atm but thats all it is

    well that will do me fine living 8 miles south of chez, haha.

    this has always had a classic 80s feel, cold air in situ, really cold at surface, systems coming in from the Atlantic with lots of PPN hopefully, and readily turning to snow, especially here.

    its just do the systems bump into the cold air, then slide away south east, grind to a halt, then drop south, ride over it, or under haha, what am I saying haha. it will be fun to radar watch.

    but I will be watching to see if the projected system has enough energy to get up to the North Midlands, as we know alot of posters think it might fall away south, but I hope not.

    as a side note I have family coming down from Leeds Christmas Eve 8pm and some coming up from London, both hoping to travel back to Leeds on Boxing day afternoon, so that could be interesting.

    • Like 1
  2. well thats the first time in a long time I will not view the GFS model after 96h.

    if it keeps placing bowling ball lows like that, whats the point. I don't think I have ever seen them come off, so if it cannot model the Atlantic at 96h

    then the rest of the run cannot not be serious. I mean jet stream looks punchy from 48 out to 96h, but in all reality a round bowling ball low, not buying it,

    unless more experience folk on here can explain these bowling ball lows that GFS keeps throwing out, onto the EMC.

     

  3. 1 hour ago, Mike Poole said:

    UKMO T144 and it is good:

    165FAAAA-5E84-4837-B6E1-820D911F4A70.thumb.gif.ef8808a422edef6e2b1ecf598170a36c.gif

    First step - a UKMO hold!

    Thats a chart full of promise, I too have waited watching the Atlantic this past few months, not really livened up much , more knowledgable could probable explain.

    This weekends storm came down from the north, not west or south westerly very  unusually. Todays snow fest appeared short term.

    I will be watching the ECM with some optimism looking for some height rises North East, as long as the Atlantic can be kept quite, theres some hope.

    • Like 2
  4. 35 minutes ago, jamesgold said:

    Credit to @UKWX on twitter for the lines, but I feel like this is right. It’s absolutely borderline for me in Bromley which is frustrating

    1B20B4BA-D9D9-4A0C-955D-36E57F43CCAB.jpeg

    I think its got more easterly shift in there. if it holds up, and temp and dp ok then London in for a susprise.

    up here in North Derbyshire we will have 4 hours of it, another 10 to 15cm. not used to checking out London weather but the system looks like it has the legs to get there

    • Like 1
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