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marksiwnc

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Everything posted by marksiwnc

  1. Hi Ian is Nxt weeks breakdown from the west /NW a guarantee according to your models or are they like all other models getting conflicting info and anything is virtually up in the air?
  2. That sounds a lot more promising. I remember our conversation from last week for the fun and games to start dec10th ish. Looks like your going to be close and with @fergieweather informing us of mid December being on the cold side then hopefully we will see some lovely winter charts with a few snow opportunities (I think more especially coastal areas prone to showers from N/NW/NE.) let's hope so.
  3. Surely between 140hrs and 240hrs the high pressure would stand up against the low a bit more than shown on the 00z. it seems to shunt it East a bit easy. it moves about 1500 miles in two days lol
  4. Heavy rain here all day. flooding an issue along the a55 and heavy snow a problem between Bala and Trawsfynydd https://mobile.twitter.com/gareth78roberts/status/800799769492942849
  5. Hahahhaha I was expecting that tbh. one things for sure.. weather forecasting will be very hard over the next few weeks or even months with probably a quite rare setup in the northern hemisphere at the moment
  6. Gp I know you used to provide an in depth summary of the weather for winter especially. but if you were to place a bet. where would your money be on the likelihood of a very cold snowy outbreak around mid December (or give some kind of percentage wise)
  7. Temps seem to be dropping at the end too which is nice to see. Remember around the 10th Dec is when I expect the fun and games to start
  8. I have a sneaky feeling that Ian has more info that he can't confirm at present but the chances of quite a substantial cold spell happening from 29/30 onwards is quite big. I've said this since end of October.. I think December will get colder through the month but not masses of snow only glancing blows from the Atlantic for south Western areas and Ireland. anyway let's hope
  9. Up to 87hrs and there's hardly any change. this is fascinating weather watching. which one is correct. my money is on GFS (again) this has happened over the last few months and I think will happen until the vortex behaves luke it should do. (hopefully not until March
  10. Hahahahha Fergie playing the game surely is a good omen. I think that weather systems pushing up against a strong block over the north of the British Isles would and hopefully will provide some snow at least although hopefully nothing major as I don't know how this country would cope to be honest.
  11. I'm sure the blocking is not until start of December or last few days of November. I might be wrong. interesting model viewing at the moment
  12. Ian f did say that there could be a few windy spells before the transition. this could be what he had in mind maybe??
  13. I remember the models were flipping and flopping prior to the major cold in 2010 and to have the met office on board surely is enough confirmation that's it's going to be colder. especially after their outlook update today with the month getting colder and snow to even low levels in the north. I expect the south and especially central parts to be hit by some of the white stuff by the end of this month. time will tell I suppose
  14. Hahahahah Ian you know how to wind the coldies up lmao.. I can see December being cold with a wishbone effect on some costs resulting in quite a dumping of snow on exposed coasts. that's my pounds worth. interspersed with drier colder weather in-between. also a few weather systems brushing the south at times. .. see if I'm right come Christmas
  15. To be honest gp I am getting lost in translation or I'm failing to understand what consequences this may have. any chance of a round up of what you expect in the next 6 weeks ish??
  16. Is this your preliminary thought for the start of winter then mate?? anyone would take this anyday surely. any chance of a detailed summary??
  17. Ruben stop it now lol. Everything seems a bit odd weather wise this autumn. Maybe were on to something totally new to the world weather. A big change on the way maybe?? Who knows. All I want is some cold ❄ ❄
  18. Having read gp and rubens in depth summary of the stratosphere. What is the most likely scenario weather wise out of this weak vortex?? Or like most on netweather need to know. Will this provide a cold and snowy outlook in the nxt few months. Hope so
  19. I'm still over here until Monday and although some panic was Raised by that rubbish newspaper s*n there has been no stress here. What was weird was that the earth tremors were not in teide itself. They were above adeje which is significantly lower down so it could be brewing from low down.
  20. Part of me wants it to erupt so my stay abroad can me lengthened. On a more scary note is the amount of tremors that have hit here (tenerife) last few days. I haven't felt any in Las Americas. Could be that teide is preparing herself for an eruption too. Hopefully nothing major. What would be the affects on this volcano erupting??
  21. Looks like a few surprises today weather wise Amazing sunny skies here and real warmth. And you've guessed it met office shows cloudy all day. Shockingly crap computers
  22. Looks very snowy on snowdon this week
  23. Just an update on the snow for a few have been fortunate. Snow has fallen to less than a 100 meters tonight in North West Wales. Even to sea level nearly. Sorry mods but I'd seen a few posts above on snow details.
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