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SnowLover2010

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Posts posted by SnowLover2010

  1. Don't you mean W, NWN flow, or you referring to the weekend? Showers will certainly make it across the Pennies, just a question of who they hit!

     

    I doubt it. It works the other way when you have an E/NE flow, they die as they try to cross over the Pennines. Seen it so many times.

  2. To be honest I think the really interesting time could be Thursday morning rush hour, chaos possible, there could be disruption to travel with the precipitation rates.

     

    I agree, but I think we will see the heavy snow showers moving in by 10pm tonight.

  3. I think in this set up for late Wednesday afternoon & overnight in to Thursday will bring a lot of heavy snow showers to a lot of the region perhaps merging together to give longer heavier periods of snow throughout the night just like December 2010 on the night of the 17/18th. But that's just my opinion.

     

    EDIT: The amber warning for heavy snow that night was only issued at 5pm Friday evening only 3 hours before the snow event began. Just worth keeping in mind.

  4. Hope mod's will allow me this one...

     

    Fergie just tweeted..

     

    How long will cold conditions stay once here? Latest UKMO diagnostics hint at less cold, more W'ly-influenced weather by end of next week. This change - as is often the case - may prove rather 'messy' (perhaps yielding a risk of further snow in *some* parts of UK)...

    Cont'd...but until then, we have high confidence on cold weather frm Weds PM thro rest of this week; & also possible for a few days nxt week

     

    Simple answer they just aren't sure. Still a good week of cold & potentially snowy weather for many for sure. :)

  5. Oh dear I've completely set off the North West forum for suggesting it to be wintry rather than snowy, with a risk of rain towards the coast, as per the met office warning.

     

    Seems some can't have a reasonable discussion without resorting to digs.  

     

    And its funny how the thread that continually worships the computer generated BBC/Meto five day forecasts are now completely disregarded for showing rain.

     

    Its nice on this thread we have reasoned discussions on why we think certain conditions will occur without silly digs just because we aren't all singing from the same tune.

     

    Stay in here pal & you'll be fine. Cheers.

  6. Thank you for a reasoned response  :)

     

    I've looked at various parameters and am struggling to see snow away from mostly high ground inland.

     

    The short window of opportunity I was talking about earlier still exists when the NW taps into a pool of -8  uppers (Wed Night).

     

    attachicon.gifuppers.gif attachicon.gifwbl.gif attachicon.giffreezing level.gif

     

    Above the wbfl is at about 100m all well and good for low lying areas. Freezing levels around 200m so while I expect falling snow it will need to be pretty heavy/continuous for low lying accumulations.

     

    Throughout the night higher uppers creep in.

     

    The next night sees uppers of -5 which aren't good enough I'm afraid.

     

    attachicon.gifuppers -5.gif attachicon.giffreezing level 1.gif attachicon.gifwet bulb 1.gif

     

    Freezing level for cheshire is 600m on that.

     

    Could you please stick to your regional thread and leave us in the North West to discuss in ours? Thank you in advance. :)

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